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Those Five Hours of Darkness

Every day nowadays seems to end with 5 hours of darkness. Here is how I use them when I am out camping.

5 PM. Build campfire, catch up on the news.

6 PM. Cook dinner and eat dinner.

Albany

7 PM. Sit back and enjoy the night by the campfire

8 PM. Listen to a podcast or read a book

9 PM. Head to bed early, as it’s best to get up early in the morning to maximize the daylight.

Where Do the Blanks in NY State Live?

In New York State, you have to register in a political party to be eligible to vote in primaries. You can’t vote in a Democratic primary, for example, if you are not a registered Democrat. The same is true with Republicans and all minor parties.

That said, in most parts of New York State, 15-25% of all voters choose to not register in a party. They may choose not to enroll in a party, as they don’t want to publicly identify with one side or another, or they do not feel comfortable with either party’s platform.

So where do the the voters who choose not to register in a party, aka blanks live? To answer that question, we take a look at Google Maps, using LATFOR voter registration data. Due to the limitations of Google Maps, we only included data at the municipal level, but it gives you a definate feel for enrollment patterns in different parts of state.

Next week we will take a look at actual “swing” voters on a state-wide basis at the MCD level. Swing voters are different from “blank” voters, as they are voters who choose to vote cross-lines, such a voting for a Democrat for President, then choosing to vote for a Republican for State Senate, and a Democrat for State Assembly. “Blank” voters might be enrolled in a party, but they may always consistently vote for Democrats and Republicans.

2010: Percentage of Blank Voters.


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2008: Percentage of Blank Voters.


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2006: Percentage of Blank Voters.


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Reviewing these maps, you will note that the Hudson Valley and Suffolk County have the highest percentage of blank voters in the electorate. Suburban areas also tend to have greater number of blank voters, compared to urban centers and rural areas.

So how has the number of blank voters changed in the state from 2006 through 2010? It varies widely based on region of state, but in general partisan enrollment is up in the state, except in some rural portions of the state that used to be more heavily Republican.

2006-2010 Municipalities with Decreases in Blank Enrollment.


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2006-2010 Municipalities with Increases in Blank Enrollment.


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Hiking Lyon Mountain

Last October I went for a hike up Lyon Mountain. The first 3/4 of a mile you can drive up to the parking lot, then from there, it’s a two mile hike to the summit, or about 3 miles if you take the new trail.

Same campsite I sprained my ankle in one year ago. This time, used a step stool

The old trail, following an old woods road is eroded and rough in places, but it well traveled as it much shorter. The new trail, being so twisty is not as well traveled, but it is far less steep and tends to be less wet in the spring time.

Start of Lyon Mountain Trail

Heading up from the parking area, the first part of the trail follows the old trails route, before swinging left near a registration kiosk.

Maples Along Trail

It was very colorful along the new trail as all the maples where at about peak color going up the mountain.

On the Old Trail

I decided to switch over from the new trail to the old trail, once I reached the point where the trails reached their closest point at the midpoint up the mountain.

First View of Chazy Lake from Mountain

As you get about 2/3rds the way up the mountain, you can look back and see Lake Chazy.

Steep and Eroded Old Trail

The old trail certainly is eroded and in rough sape in some parts. You can understand why they re-routed it.

There's the Lyon Mountain Firetower

Ah, finally see the fire tower.

North Towards Chazy Lake

Chazy Lake and Farms Along It

Hazy day, but there’s Lake Chazy and the farms along it.

Altona Wind Farm

Wind turbines of the Chazy Highlands…

People Out on Lyon Mountain

Lyon Mountain is a popular hike, as seen by all the hikers on the ledge.

 

4 months later… my thoughts on dual battery setup

My dual battery setup works decently on my Silverado pickup truck for producing camp power for use under the truck cap. For the first night at camp, it provides more then enough power at night, including lots of lights, alarm clock, and moderate use of a portable fan, and 90 watt laptop charger.

Sparkle

After the first night, the deep cycle battery starts to wear down. The inverter will show lower and lower voltage, until it starts beeping every 15 seconds, and eventually shuts off at around 11 volts, to protect the battery. Yet, it can be continued to be run, all you have to do is turn on the engine, and let the truck run at idle speed for like 10 minutes, every 1-4 hours, depending on how heavy your electrical load is. I used an average of 1/3 gallon of fuel for every night after the first night parked, without driving.

Cornfield in Half Moon

As the battery is isolated from the starting battery, running the deep cycle down to the point where the inverter shuts it off is not a big deal. Your starting battery is still fully charged, and the deep cycle will after all get recharged as soon as truck restarts, and the inverter prevents you from going below 10.9-11 volts, a point where damage can occur, even with a good deep cycle.

For most moderate lighting demands — let’s say 75-100 watts — enough to run a couple 26 watt florecents, your pretty close to the 4 hours. But when you start adding a laptop charger or fan, and after the third day without the truck moving, you start to drop things down closer to once an hour. Reducing the load when charging, also helps the truck charge faster, as does swapping out the 60 amp fuse between the batteries with a 100 amp fuse, to send any excess amperage to the deep cycle as fast as possible.

Fuse

The system originally came with a 80 amp fuse, but I cracked that fuse, when I was re-tightening the connections on fuse holders. Apparently, the fuse holder between the deep cycle battery and the starting battery was loose, and on the bumps of dirt roads would become disconnected. While ultimately, I fixed it by retightening the connections, I ended up breaking the 80 amp fuse, and could only get a 60 amp fuse locally. I plan to buy a 100 amp fuse over the internet at some point.

I rarely stay in the same campsite more then one night, at least without driving somewheres in the truck. Even relatively short periods of charging the battery at above idle speed, e.g. driving rapidly increases the rate of charge. It does however use much more fuel to drive the truck then staying idled.

Bumping Along Burnt Hill Road

My Love-Hate Relationship with Albany Pine Bush

I have a Love-Hate Relationship with the Albany Pine Bush. It is an …

  • urban unique
  • wildlife preserve

Out in the Pine Bush

The Albany Pine Bush’s strengths are are ..

  • It is conviently located near the city of Albany, you can take either take a bus and walk to get there, or drive a short distance from the city
  • It is a fascinating Pine Bush/sand-dune ecosystem, with fantastic views of the Heldebergs and Catskills and wildlife close to the city.

Overlook Dune 2

At the same time those strengths are it’s greatest weakness …

  • In many ways the preserve is over-regulated and over-governed by the overbearing Albany Pine Bush Commission
  • The Madison Avenue and Karner East Barriens are overused, dominated by joggers and those walking dogs
  • There are too many restrictions on hunting, camping, and even hiking and nature observation — such as a ban on traveling off of trails except in the taking of wildlife.

Stop! Trail Closed

The Adirondack Forest Preserve model might not work in Albany Pine Bush Preserve, but a hybrid model could work. The Commission should try to work more with the public’s desires and demands, and have friendly processes and policies that show that they are there to work with the public rather then restrict access.

Untitled

Urban preserves are a tricky balancing act. It means easy access to yahoos and those who don’t know basic respect. There are far greater human demands compared to relatively unknown state forests, far off the beaten track.

Pitch Pine Outline

A Script to Make Pretty Political Google Maps

A while back I wrote I script for converting and styling KML files from ERSI Shapefiles, like you might download or export form a program like Quantum GIS. It requires you have the web programming language PHP 5 installed, along with the ogr2ogr command.

‘ ?>


View Larger Map ‘ ?>

This program extensively uses the PHP/DOM model, to read and write the XML file. I am not an expert programmer — it’s a hobby, but I am very happy with the results. You might consider using the LATFOR data and Census TIGER/Line for this if your a New York State resident.


#!/usr/bin/php -q
<?php
// POLITICAL STYLING FOR KML
// Converts a Shapefile with Election Results in Percentage
// 
// Input:
//      File_Title = Title for KML Name Field (as Seen in Google Maps)
//      District_Name = Field with District Name In It
//      Percent_as_Decimal = Election Result with Percent. 
//      0.00 - 0.49 = Shade of Red
//      0.50 = White
//      0.50 - 1.00 = Blue
//      Shapefile_Name = Path to Shapefile
//
// Output:
//      Google Maps KML File, Nicely Styled

if (!isset($argv[4])) {
        echo "usage: php politicalKML.php [File_Title] [District_Name] [Percent_as_Decimal]  [Shapefile_Name]\n";
        exit;
}

// required fields
$fileTitle = $argv[1];
$nameField = $argv[2];
$percentField = $argv[3];

// filename
$filename = $argv[4];
$KMLfileName = substr($filename,0,-4).'.kml';

// convert shapefile to kml using ogr2ogr
system("ogr2ogr -f \"KML\" -sql \"SELECT * FROM ". substr($filename,0,-4)." ORDER BY $fileTitle ASC\" $KMLfileName $filename -dsco NameField=$nameField -dsco DescriptionField=$percentField");

// load our new kml file
$doc = new DOMDocument();
$doc->load($KMLfileName);

// first let's replace the name field with a nicer one
$oldnode = $doc->getElementsByTagName('name')->item(0);
$node = $doc->createElement('name', $fileTitle);
$doc->getElementsByTagName('Folder')->item(0)->replaceChild($node, $oldnode);

// delete schema field to save space
$oldnode = $doc->getElementsByTagName('Schema')->item(0);
$doc->getElementsByTagName('Folder')->item(0)->removeChild($oldnode);


// load each placemark, search for maximum — used for making color judgements
foreach ($doc->getElementsByTagName('SimpleData') as $data) {
        if( $data->getAttribute('name') == $percentField) {
                $max[] = abs(substr($data->nodeValue,0)-0.5);
        }
}

// maximum in the political race
sort($max); $max = array_pop($max);
        
// calcuate multiplier for each race
$multiple = 255/$max;

// load each placemark, then set styling and percentage description
foreach ($doc->getElementsByTagName('Placemark') as $placemark) {
        foreach ($placemark->getElementsByTagName('SimpleData') as $data) {
                if( $data->getAttribute('name') == $percentField) {
                        $value = $data->nodeValue;
                        $color = substr($value,0);
                }
        }
        
        // decide if we want to do this blue or red, and then calculate
        // the amount of color versus white
        
        // republican leaning
        if ($color <= 0.5) {
                $colorStr = sprintf('%02x', 255-floor(abs($color-0.5)*$multiple));
                $colorStr = "a0{$colorStr}{$colorStr}ff";
        }
        
        // democratic leaning
        if ($color > 0.5) {
                $colorStr = sprintf('%02x', 255-floor(abs($color-0.5)*$multiple));
                $colorStr = "a0ff{$colorStr}{$colorStr}";
        }
        
        if ($color == 0) {
                $colorStr = '00ffffff';
        }
        
        // stylize the node based on color
        $node = $doc->createElement('Style');

        $linestyle = $doc->createElement('LineStyle');
        $node->appendChild($linestyle);
        $linestyle->appendChild($doc->createElement('width', 0.1));
        $linestyle->appendChild($doc->createElement('color', 'ffffffff'));
        
        $polystyle = $doc->createElement('PolyStyle');
        $node->appendChild($polystyle);
        $polystyle->appendChild($doc->createElement('color', $colorStr));       

        $oldnode = $placemark->getElementsByTagName('Style')->item(0); 
        
        $placemark->replaceChild($node, $oldnode);
                        
        // delete extended data to save KML space
        $data = $placemark->getElementsByTagName('ExtendedData')->item(0);
        $placemark->removeChild($data);
        
        // update the description
        $oldnode = $placemark->getElementsByTagName('description')->item(0); 
        $node = $doc->createElement('description', 'Recieved '.($color*100).'% of the vote.');
        $placemark->replaceChild($node, $oldnode); 
}

// finally write to the file
$doc->save($KMLfileName);

// calculate size in MB
$filesize = filesize($KMLfileName)/1024/1024;
if ( $filesize < 10) {
        $zipCommand = "zip ".substr($KMLfileName,0,-4).".kmz $KMLfileName";
        system($zipCommand);
        
        $kmzfilesize = filesize(substr($KMLfileName,0,-4).".kmz")/1024/1024;
        echo "KMZ is " .sprintf('%01.2f', $kmzfilesize)." MB, while the KML file is ".sprintf('%01.2f',$filesize)." MB.\n"; 
}
else {
        echo "Woah Horsey! The produced file is greater then 10 MB, at a size of ".sprintf('%01.2f',$filesize)." MB uncompressed. You need to simply your polygons before proceeding, otherwise Google Maps won't be able to read it. \n";
}

>

A Look Back at Sandy Gordon vs Debbie Bush

The Race Crunched.

ED DEM DEM % REP REP % CON CON % WF WF % ICE ICE % Write-In Over Vote Blank Blank Percent Total Votes Sandy Total Bush Total Sandy % Sandy Net Votes
Berne 1 88 37.13% 89 37.55% 34 14.35% 6 2.53% 20 8.44% 0 0 10 4% 248 94 143 39% -49
Berne 2 210 52.11% 113 28.04% 41 10.17% 12 2.98% 27 6.70% 0 1 4 1% 409 222 181 55% 41
Knox 3 97 40.59% 79 33.05% 36 15.06% 15 6.28% 12 5.02% 4 0 9 4% 253 112 127 46% -15
Rensselaerville 1 87 43.28% 50 24.88% 35 17.41% 13 6.47% 16 7.96% 0 0 2 1% 204 100 101 50% -1
Rensselaerville 2 87 37.50% 61 26.29% 53 22.84% 10 4.31% 21 9.05% 0 1 16 6% 250 97 135 42% -38
Rensselaerville 3 162 43.55% 106 28.49% 63 16.94% 22 5.91% 19 5.11% 0 0 13 3% 386 184 188 49% -4
Westerlo 1 130 37.57% 131 37.86% 63 18.21% 7 2.02% 15 4.34% 0 0 14 4% 361 137 209 39% -72
Westerlo 2 183 56.48% 84 25.93% 29 8.95% 8 2.47% 20 6.17% 0 0 26 7% 351 191 133 59% 58
Westerlo 3 105 34.31% 117 38.24% 53 17.32% 16 5.23% 15 4.90% 0 0 16 5% 323 121 185 39% -64
Total 1149 43.20% 830 31.20% 407 15.30% 109 4.10% 165 6.20% 4 2 110 4% 2785 1258 1402 47% -144

Maps Showing What Happened.

ED by ED percentage of votes for Sandy Gordon.

 Balm of Gilead

I often prefer to use Net Votes per Election District, as this more clearly shows were a person lost and won the race, because Turn out can very quite widely from Election District to Election District. Moreover, some Election Districts are more populus then others.

 Across the Lake To Balm of Gilead

Turn out was particularly high in districts that Sandy lost, particularly in Westerlo ED 3 (Dormansville), one of most conservative EDs in Albany County currently.

 Egypt

This map shows the Average Democratic Preformance of Statewide candidates by 2010 Voting Tabulation District, with the 2011 County Leg districts superimposed. Be aware that all statewide Democratic candidates preformed quite well across 2010 Albany County,but it also shows the weakness in Dormansville (Westerlo ED 3), and Cooksburg-Preston Hollow-Potters Hollow (Rensselearville ED 2). The entire district was and is marginal Democratic, and can easily swing into the Republican column.

 Bridge Over Stratton Pond Outflow

.

While Sandy Gordon got a higher percentage of votes on Democratic line then Debra Bush on the Republican line, the heavy Conservative-block vote in Renselearville EDs and South Westerlo (ED 1) provided a margin of victory for Debra Bush.

Springtime

Sandy Gordon lost 2/3rds of Knox in the redistricting. He preformed worst in the new portion of the district — specifically Westerlo — and failed to hold onto Renselearville.

While he faced a Tea-Party Movement in Renselearville that organized against him, if he had spent more time going door-to-door in this portion of district, along with introducing himself to Westerlo voters, he may have been able to hold on to his seat.

Regardless, it was tough year for Democratic Incumbents, especially those with a long record and many difficult votes to face, such as over-riding the tax-cap, which will hurt rural residents and those of the hilltowns who own a lot of land hardest.