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February 27, 2023 Night

Good evening! Clouds but no snow yet and 33 degrees at the Elm Ave Park and Ride. ❄ There is a southeast breeze at 10 mph. 🍃. There is an inch of snow on the ground. ☃ ️The skies will clear tomorrow around 7 pm after the snow ends.

My thought 💭 tonight is the best laid plans don’t always work out. I was so excited that the DVD 📀 drive enclosure arrived in the mail ✉ today but when I opened it up I discovered it was for the wrong type of drive. It was only $11.50 and I can probably use the case for something else I guess.

I was so hoping to get the voter file 🗳 open that the State Board sent me on a DVD 📀 – I actually got the DVD to play on the drive installed on my computer but alas like on the work computer had previously confirmed they sent me a DVD that wasn’t properly written. I also discovered that the built in DVD drive drawer on my computer is broken but I did figure out a way to load disks by manually opening the drive and installing it after disabling the other partition in fstab.

I’m not going to go back to the board for the file. 📂 It just didn’t work out but I guess I probably wouldn’t have discovered much using machine learning to better understand voting patterns. I don’t know enough about machine learning and my computer isn’t that powerful and 318 EDs really isn’t enough to train things well especially if the districts are so blue in much of the county. Statewide data would be better but that a lot of processing.

I am going to still continue to learn about machine learning 🤖 aa I have a few books 📚 out of the library and I am going through the Stat Quest video series on YouTube. I’m sure there are many other ways I can use machine learning in statistics and map making. Plus it’s safer, no risk of running into trouble with work or building something with the voter file that isn’t allowed.

Tonight will snow, mainly after 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. 🌨 Low of 26 degrees at 4am. Five degrees above normal, which is similar to a typical night around March 15th. Southeast wind 10 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is l100%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. In 2022, we had partly cloudy skies in the evening, which became cloudy by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 26 degrees. The record low of -10 occurred back in 1950.

It’s going to snow, it’s winter. ☃ Probably not good for the morning walk 🚶 but I’ll get up at my normal time and do my best to keep moving. If it’s bad out I won’t do it but I’ll at least catch an earlier bus 🚍 in so I’m in bright and early. I’ve had a 40 day run of 10,000 plus steps or 5 plus miles a day but if the weather interrupts my progress it will be but for a day or two.

Tonight will have a First Quarter 🌓 Moon with 56% illuminated. At 8 PM, the moon was in the southwest (236°) at an altitude of 65° from the horizon, some 246,871 miles away from where you are looking up from the earth. 🚀 At the state speed limit of 55 mph, you’ll make it there by September 3^rd. Buckle up for safety! 💺 The Worm 🐛 Moon is on Tuesday, March 7. The darkest hour is at 12:09 am, followed by dawn at 6:07 am, and sun starting to rise at 6:36 am in the east (101°) and last for 2 minutes and 57 seconds. Sunrise is one minute and 35 seconds earlier than yesterday. 🌄 The golden hour ends at 7:14 am with sun in the east-southeast (107°). Tonight will have 12 hours and 47 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 50 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will snow, mainly before 4pm. 🌨 High of 33 degrees at 1pm. Six degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around February 8th. Southeast wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. A year ago, we had light rain in the morning with more sun in the afternoon. The high last year was 41 degrees. The record high of 63 was set in 1903. 9.7 inches of snow fell back in 1948.❄

In four weeks on March 27 the sun will be setting in the west (275°) at 7:16 pm (Daylight Savings Time),🌄 which is one hour, 33 minutes and 10 seconds later then tonight. In 2021 on that day, we had partly sunny and temperatures between 54 and 38 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 50 and 30 degrees. The record high of 78 degrees was set back in 1998. Days like that will be so nice but first through the snow storm.

Looking ahead, 8 PM Dusk 🌆 is in 6 weeks, Arbor Day 🌳 is in 2 months, May 🕊 is in 9 weeks, 8:30 PM Sunset ️⛱️ is in 14 weeks, Average High is 80 🏖 is in 16 weeks, World Mosquito Day 🐞 is in 25 weeks, Labor Day 👨‍🏭 is in 27 weeks, September 11th 🇺🇸 is in 28 weeks, 7 PM Sunset 🌆 is in 29 weeks, More Night then Day 🌌 is in 7 months, Average Night Below Freezing 🌌 is in 37 weeks, Cyber Monday 🛍️ is in 9 months, First Sunday of Advent ✝️ is in 40 weeks, Bake Cookies Day 🍪 is in 42 weeks and Christmas 🎅 is in 43 weeks.

What a week it’s been … 🔥📜 👨🏻‍🚒

Over the past week I’ve literally spent 17 plus hours sorting through wet, smokey and increasingly moldy papers trying to save whatever Albany history I can before it’s forever gone. While maybe John Wolcott will never be as famous as Erastus Corning or Nelson Rockeller, the truth is activists like him preserved some of the city’s most important history and lands, raised important questions made a difference again the Democratic machine, often at great personal cost.

While he did pretty well when “Republican” Theresa Cook (ala that time Rezsin Adams ran as a “Republican” for county legislature) was running the county clerk’s office, other times he was attacked tooth and nail for his performance as a title searcher for the county, even though he was probably the best title searcher and researcher of deeds and history the county ever had. I came across his lawsuit today drying out his papers along with the numerous exhibits on Albany County corruption and sneaky misdeeds or the Erastus Corning machine and by that time Jim Coyne’s county operations. The Corning machine was only really interested in punishing male dissidents, they couldn’t see in their minds that women could have any influence of politics. Ultimately it was the federal District Court that sided with him and had him reinstated but he fought for years to get the pension credit he deserved going back to the days when he was a consultant for Fort Orange 787 dig. The Fort Orange file got wetter than I thought but we got it apart drying. It will be saved. And while, maybe the history books write differently, certainly it was John Wolcott who helped to take down Jim Coyne through alerting the FBI to Coyne’s crooked deal over the Knickerbocker Arena, although like with Fort Orange and Paul Huey, the credit can’t necessarily be just his own.

And then as I was going through the papers, putting dried ones away I heard a screech and bang, and a car crashed into the traffic light pole at South Swan and Morton Avenue, causing the 100 plus lb traffic light to break free of the wire. The clearly fleeing car then took off leaking what appeared to be coolant. Police showed up, hauled the broken stop light off the road, talked to the neighbors and took off. Not sure what happened to the fleeting crashed car, I was too busy sorting papers. Albany is going downhill rapidly, things were looking up in the city not that long ago. I’m just glad I’ve been taking the bus there rather than driving especially with the neighborhoods getting so rough. I still remember that last time I walked down to Sheridan Hollow to visit John, a firearm rang out as somebody shot out a car window.

While working on John’s papers, I’ve been going through the EIS for a project in Troy and some Pine Bush issues in Guilderland with some tax data and GIS Mapping. People have gotten to know all the amazing things that I can do and I get more and more requests. It seems like everywhere I’m going I’m getting sucked into fights against City Hall everywhere, me with public records and free software, going up against million dollar reports with expensive professional software, internal only data and decades of training and experience. But if we don’t raise questions and fight development then who will? It’s tough as these professionals have big budgets and skills, but if house wife Jane Jacobs could stop Robert Moses, then so can ordinary people like myself. Not going to win every fight but it’s good to raise questions and stop bad development where we can. Even if it’s a pain to the local Bob Moses of today. It’s important we protect open space. Even if it involves some risk to myself and makes me not trust or respect most government workers.

Beyond all those wet and smokey papers and battling City Hall it’s been a crazy week for sure. The legislative session is wrapping up and I’ve been swamped with work, I was going through agendas for work well into the night on Saturday night. It’s been a crush at work and when I’m not in the office most of the time until late I’ve been drying out papers. I did get some bird watching in at Five Rivers Environmental Education Center this morning – saw a red tailed hawk being harassed by a few sparrows on the way out walking out there. I continue to back up, photograph and store important documents electronically in case of a disaster.

And then I’m also finally dealing with some of my own issues in my life. The counseling I’m getting is helping, it seems consistent with the advice I’m reading from trustworthy sources and publications on the internet. But change comes hard especially with bad habits of both negative thinking and repeated thoughts in thinking I’ve had ingrained for two decades now. I’m trying to change but it’s hard. I’m certainly learning a lot, becoming a better person because of counseling.

And I was doing better until the mixed emotions of Mr. Wolcott’s house fire – grief and sense of lostmy work sorting and carefully cataloging documents would be forever lost. But we saved a lot. But the shock and horror of it all, seeing that house in such disarray and burnt – that only a week ago before the fire when I was sorting and filing papers things looked so different. Plus all that stuff going to the Rensselaer landfill to be buried and forever viewed from my downtown office as a dirt and grass covered hill. Fire can be so bad, especially in the urban areas. Then I saw the other side tonight out in the country, the place I grew up. My parents neighbors, the ones who live in trailers and raise pigs and cows, were having a big ol bonfire, drinking beer burning an old couch, mattress and pallets with lots of black smoke. I’m so jealous of their homestead, even if they are what the government calls poor people who live in rundown trailers and barns. Kind of like that film about Appalachia I’ve been watching. But the country life is a life I’ll get to eventually, saving a bit each paycheck.

… Fire can destroy but it can cleanse too. That’s what my therapist reminds me.

November 3, 2019 Morning

Good morning! Happy Daylight Savings Time Ends 🛥️! I hope you remembered to set your clock back one hour. It’s a little after 8:30 AM now. Next Sunday is Average High is 50 🍂. Partly cloudy and 33 degrees in Delmar, NY. ⛅ Calm wind.Temperatures will drop below freezing at tomorrow around 1 am. ☃️

I think I’m feeling better today after spending most of the day in bed yesterday. 😷 I think I just needed to give myself a day to recover from the cold. Between my cheap moldy apartment and my basement office and just the cold weather it’s not difficult to get sick. Plus lately it’s been run, run run. 🏃I needed a day to recover and now I’m on the excerise bike as I write this post. 🚲

Today will be mostly sunny 🌞, with a high of 48 degrees at 12pm. Five degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around November 15th. Light and variable wind becoming west 6 to 11 mph in the morning. A year ago, we had light rain in the morning with some clearing in the afternoon. The high last year was 57 degrees. The record high of 75 was set in 1990. 0.9 inches of snow fell back in 1951.❄

In a little bit I’m going to take a shower 🚿 and then run to Tractor Supply 🚜 and Walmart 👝 to get propane and supplies. Nice bright 🔆 morning but it helps we set the clock back one hour. 🕒

Later on today I’m thinking about heading up Bennett Hill. 🚶 It’s always a nice little hike and it’s on the way to my parents house which is all the more important with the sun setting so early. 🗻

The sun will set at 4:46 pm with dusk around 5:15 pm, which is one minute and 16 seconds earlier than yesterday. 🌇 At sunset, look for partly clear skies 🌄 and temperatures around 46 degrees. There will be a west breeze at 8 mph. Today will have 10 hours and 14 minutes of daytime, an decrease of 2 minutes and 31 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will be mostly clear 🌃, with a low of 30 degrees at 6am. Four degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical night around November 21st. West wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. In 2018, we had light rain in the evening, which became cloudy by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 36 degrees. The record low of 17 occurred back in 1951.

I see that the NY GOP 🐘 is targeting me🎯 in their election ads. Good for them, I did vote for Deborah Busch for County Cornor. I think Republican control of the county coroner’s office would be a good check ☑ on the Democratic District Attorney. Plus she can cause less trouble in the coroner’s office than the legislature. Most county coroner’s are just funeral parlor owners trolling for business from relatives of the dead. 🎣 👺Rather than buying Facebook ads, you think that the GOP would at least circulate petitions for at least a few compentent candidates rather than leave 80% of the ballot blank. I guess if you know your going to loose, you might as well just waste your money on Facebook ads. 💵

Fixed the leak on the drain pipe on the sink with duck tape. ⭕ I thought about calling the landlord or even fixing it myself – it’s just a rusted clamp but duck tape is easier and I don’t want to remind the landlord of all the damage I’ve done to his building over the past twelve years. If it gives me more problems I’ll reevaluate. I’m a dirty hick and I drag in a lot of mud. 🐽

It looks like the weather is moderating for next weekend, the long Veterans Day Weekend. ⛺ Assuming there is not a shit ton of snow ⛄, actually none at all I want to camp at Stoney Pond although depending on the time and weather I could settle for Brookfield. I think Piseco-Powley Road is done for the year with Lake Effect season well underway. Probably camp on NY 8 and East Branch come Black Friday after doing some hiking.

As previously noted, next Sunday is Average High is 50 🍂 when the sun will be setting at 4:38 pm with dusk at 5:08 pm. On that day in 2018, we had partly sunny, rain showers and temperatures between 42 and 35 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 50 degrees. We hit a record high of 72 back in 1931.

October 1, 2019 Morning

Good morning! Happy October 🛥! Five weeks to Election Day 2019 🗳️. Heavy on the rain and 63 degrees in Delmar, NY. Got soaked picking up my truck. More rain though Wednesday and Thursday, might pull us out of the rain deficit. ☔ There is a south breeze at 9 mph. 🍃. The dew point is 55 degrees. The skies will clear around 3 pm.

Picked up Big Red from the shop. 🚙 Some of the pads were fairly worn one was pretty bad, I doubt I would have mad it back from West Virginia without some serious grinding. Plus the squeaking noise would have driven me to the loony bin well before then. I bet the mental health facilities in rural West Virginia probably aren’t that great. But the truck drives quiet now. I was thinking the old rotators would have been a good thing to stick under my camp stove to keep it from melting my table but they’re so heavy. Might make excellent weights for tying down a tarp. I might save the just for the scrap yard. I appreciate the estimate at the shop included all tax and fees, as lot of shops don’t include that. I got to learn to do my own brakes — they aren’t that difficult to do, but I often know it can be hard to free up really rusted, salt encrusted metal.

Wore the black boots 👢 today. With the rain and because of wearing my black shirt I thought they would look nice. I trying to reserve the black boots for work and the brown boots for wearing at home. I really got soaked picking up my truck. I could barely see out my windshield driving home, the new brakes got baptized by the rain. But they stop well and are very quiet. Squeak-squeak is gone, and it’s very quiet now. Looking at the pads, especially one, it’s obvious were the wear indicator was touching the rotator and making the shit ton of noise. Stones also over the years, got caught in the rotator and pad and chewed some good holes, but I guess that’s pretty normal especially

Going take Big Red out and a about a few nights this week. 🚗 Just to be safe and make sure everything is working fine, but I expect no problems. I also need to pick up some groceries and get various supplies for heading down to West Virginia. More MicroSD cards for my dash camera would be nice, especially now they are pretty cheap, especially at certain retailers.

Today will be cloudy ☁ and warm for October, with a high of 80 degrees at 4pm. 14 degrees above normal, which is similar to a typical day around August 23rd. Enjoy the warmth today, by the weekend it will be a plunge towards the cold side of things. Maximum dew point of 67 at 3pm. South wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. A year ago, we had mostly sunny skies in the morning, which became light drizzle by afternoon. The high last year was 59 degrees. The record high of 90 was set in 1927. There was a dusting of snow in 1946.❄

The sun will set at 6:37 pm with dusk around 7:05 pm, which is one minute and 46 seconds earlier than yesterday. 🌇 At sunset, look for partly cloudy skies 🌃 and temperatures around 77 degrees. The dew point will be 67 degrees. There will be a south breeze at 9 mph. Tomorrow will have 11 hours and 42 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 52 seconds over today.

Tonight will have a slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy 🌧, with a low of 66 degrees at 6am. 21 degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 67 at 6pm. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. In 2018, we had light drizzle in the evening, which became light rain by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 52 degrees. The record low of 30 occurred back in 1972.

A picture perfect weekend on tap. 😎 Saturday, patchy frost before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 59. Sunday, partly sunny, with a high near 64. Maximum dew point of 51 at 7pm. Typical average high for the weekend is 64 degrees. I think it may be rainy driving through Pennsylvania down to West Virginia on Sunday, and Monday be a washout in the Canaan Heights, but the rest of the week looks nice. I’m bringing the heater and will have my tent so if it gets really miserable out, I’ll curl up next to the heater in the tent with a book, and stay warm and dry.

Ordered new jeans 👖 online and are quite happy with what I got. I used to buy jeans all the time at Walmart but they’d usually only have one pair in my size, so I’d end up making multiple trips. But as I usually end up buying a bunch of jeans at once — usually when I’m traveling for work — they all tend to wear out at once. It’s nice to have them be right at my door. They did come in a plastic shipping bag, but not much thicker then the usual ones you get a store. But I’m sure it will burn just fine. 🔥

I also bought a few prepper – don’t tread on me – pro second amendment t-shirts 👚 online. I just like being obnoxious on my days off from work, and I needed some more cheap shirts to wear out and about. 🐍 They were cheap. I was surprised they were shipped from Ballston Spa, NY. I thought it would come from some place out west like Arizona. I might order some more some point in the future — if I had ordered $5 I could have gotten free shipping but I didn’t want to spend quite so much.

I am very glad it’s a three paycheck month. Between the truck expense — which was more reasonable then I expected, vacation, needing some more clothes, and other things, it’s going to be an expensive month. 💰 Not that I expect vacation to be real expensive, but there is always fuel, some camping fees, food, and other supplies that get used up. Probably $500 at the end of day, but that’s not bad for a week in the wilds West Virginia — most of it will be gas.

Next month I’m leading the Save the Pine Bush hike along the Rapp Road. We are meeting by the West Doors of Macy’s and going to hike down Rapp Road to see the proposed Crossgates apartment complex site, along with some of the Rapp Road Historic Area and the Butterfly Corridor. 🦋 October 19th at 9 AM, meet by Macy’s West Entrance. Yesterday, I noticed on my Facebook profile that I’ve been checked out by Robert Susse, district manager of Macy’s. I wonder who gave him the heads up? The print shop gave them my name? 🐛 I guess it doesn’t matter, were not there to protest, just some old folks and maybe some young folks meeting up at a convenient place. What are they going to do? Use facial recognition and tell us to leave? If we have to move our cars, so be it.🅿

West Virginia trip is mostly planned out.🏞 I think the big last detail was where I was going to camp down at New River Gorge, but I think I know now which primitive campgrounds down will be best — and a bit more about the timing of each day. But I have maps and to a certain extent can make it up as go along. I have pretty much a route figured out, although things may change based on the weather.

One month 📅 from now will be November 🥧 when the sun will be setting at 5:48 pm with dusk at 6:18 pm.

September 18, 2019 Night

Good evening! Clear and 53 degrees at the Delmar. 🌟 Calm wind. Going to be a cold night. I thought about closing my windows but the heat is off and it’s not expected to get below freezing in Albany. I’ll just enjoy the hot coffee ☕ come morning.

Tonight will be mostly clear 🌃, with a low of 42 degrees at 5am. Eight degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical night around October 8th. Calm wind. In 2018, we had mostly clear skies in the evening, which became mostly clear by the early hours of the morning. It was somewhat humid. It got down to 60 degrees. The record low of 32 occurred back in 1959.

Tonight will have a Waning Gibbous Moon 🌖 with 70% illuminated. The moon will set at 11:46 am. The Last Quarter Moon is on Friday night. The Hunter Moon 🌝 is on Saturday, October 12th. The sun will rise at 6:38 am with the first light at 6:09 am, which is one minute and 5 seconds later than yesterday. 🌄 Tonight will have 11 hours and 38 minutes of darkness, an increase of 2 minutes and 51 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will have patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny 🌞, with a high of 71 degrees at 3pm. Typical for tomorrow. Calm wind. A year ago, we had partly cloudy skies in the morning with some clearing in the afternoon. It was sticky. The high last year was 75 degrees. The record high of 90 was set in 1946.

Doug Bullock’s Speech to Save the Pine Bush was quite good. 📢 No bull horn this time. He will be missed in the county legislature – he’s still on the Working Families line but I think most people know it’s time to move on. He can continue his activism in new ways. I helped him out on his first campaign 12 years ago but the democrats in his district apparently wanted a change – and his progressive advocacy never won him much in the way of corporate contributions.🌲I don’t agree with Doug on every issue but he’s a good guy in politics, for all the right reasons. ✊

So it looks like the proposal to re-power the ANSWERS plant and generate electricity is officially dead. 🏭 They’re going to tear it down instead build more solar on the plaza and in Oneida County and replace more of the lighting with solid state fixtures. It was so weird that they announced it during the Save the Pine Bush Dinner 📢 while Doug Bullock was speaking a two days before the climate march. Doug has been very vocal about opposing the plans as has the folks in PAUSE and the No Fracked Gas pipeline people. 🌎 At this point, we really shouldn’t be investing in more fossil infrastructure and the truth is that they didn’t really need the co-generation plant – it was wish list type thing 📃. Can they build the hundreds of acres of solar needed to go 100% solar for the Plaza? Only time will tell. A hundred million dollars once allocated to build the co-generation plant 💵 can buy a lot of panels. I do wonder though about outsourcing the panels to Oneida County.

I probably would have been involved with Doug’s campaign but I don’t get involved in politics much any more. 🏤 Some of its my work takes a lot of my time but also I’m less interested in politics than in years past. I’m more interested in self improvement and investing in my own future. 💰 Those who fight the good fight are doing God’s work but I don’t want to be part of the messy nature of politics. I just want to buffer myself from the harm of climate change and eventually own my own land out in the country in a freer state. 🐷

In four weeks on October 16 the sun will be setting at 6:12 pm,🌄 which is 48 minutes and 27 seconds earlier then tonight. In 2018 on that day, we had partly sunny and temperatures between 56 and 36 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 60 and 39 degrees. The record high of 88 degrees was set back in 1947.

Tomorrow evening I’ll run to the store and get a camp chair, and maybe boots 👢 and get packed up for the weekend. I plan to head north as soon as the Pine Bush hike is over on Saturday. Should be a really nice evening.

I’ve gotten a few maps and done some more research 🗾 on the New River Gorge. Most of the other places in West Virginia I’m quite familiar with so I don’t expect to need much research but I did also get a map for hiking Dolly Sods. I got to get out my big West Virginia Monongahela National Forest map – I think I know where it is in the crawl space – and do some more planning. I have one of those free maps from AAA of West Virginia Roads outside of the National Forest but I’m thinking about getting a better quality Rand McNally map too for better details. This year’s trip I want better planned then in 2017 which was kind of a mess as I was dealing with my mom being in the hospital 🏥.

Looking ahead, More Night then Day 🌌 is in 1 weeks, Average High is 65 🍂 is in 2 weeks, Day After Election Day 🛀 is in 7 weeks, Average Night Below Freezing 🌌 is in 8 weeks, Average High is 40 🌨 is in 11 weeks, Christmas 🎅 is in 14 weeks, New Years Day 2019 🎉 is in 15 weeks, National Bird Day 🐦 is in 17 weeks, Winnie the Pooh Day 🍯 is in 4 months, 37th Birthday 🎉 is in 19 weeks and Inauguration Day 2021 👴🏻 is in 70 weeks.

April 16, 2019 Night

Good evening! Partly cloudy and 49 degrees in Delmar, NY. ⛅ There is a west-northwest breeze at 15 mph. 🍃. I sat out back for a while after my evening walk but it’s quite cool with the breeze, so I decided to head inside, take out my contacts and retire to bed.

It was kind of a crazy 😜 at times day at work. Not bad but it made the time go by relatively quickly. I decided to walk down after work and catch the bus down by the old Union Station 🚉 right before the bus gets on the expressway. Looked like bad congestion heading north out of the city but not so much heading south.

I got home, cooked up some burgers 🍔 and laid back for a while. I listened to a podcast for a while. Eventually I went for my evening walk.

Playing with the overhead truck cap lights that are now based on the newer 2835 chip, they are probably twice as bright 🔆 while consuming half the power as before. Nice starry night but cold with the breeze for sure. 🌟 I enjoyed my evening walk which I did earlier then normal as I am tired.

Tonight will be partly cloudy 🌤, with a low of 34 degrees at 5am. Four degrees below normal, which is similiar to a typical night around April 7th. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph. In 2018, we had light drizzle in the evening, which became partly cloudy by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 33 degrees. The record low of 21 occurred back in 1971.

Tonight will have a Waxing Gibbous Moon 🌔 with 97% illuminated. The moon will set at 5:34 am. The 🌕 is on Thursday night with a mostly clear then chance of showers skies. The sun will rise at 6:11 am with the first light at 5:41 am, which is one minute and 36 seconds earlier than yesterday. 🌄 Tonight will have 10 hours and 30 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 44 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will be sunny 🌞, with a high of 62 degrees at 4pm. Three degrees above normal, which is similiar to a typical day around April 23rd. North wind 3 to 5 mph. That’s a nice change from the frigid weather it recent. A year ago, we had rain in the morning, which became cloudy by afternoon. The high last year was 45 degrees. The record high of 91 was set in 2002. 0.3 inches of snow fell back in 1965.❄

The forecast continues to call for mild but rainy weather for the Easter Weekend. 😞 Saturday, rain likely before 2pm, then showers likely after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Maximum dew point of 59 at 6am. Sunday, a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Maximum dew point of 46 at 7am. Typical average high for the weekend is 61 degrees.

While I have no outdoor plans for the weekend 💦 I do think that I’ll start packing up my truck for camping season ⛺ this weekend. The weather looks pretty good in the long range so the plan would be to camp and fish next weekend in the Adirondacks. Not the latest I’ve gotten out camping for the year but relatively late. A lot had to do with the relatively cold April and the lateness of Easter 🐰 this year. Last year in contrast I was busy with volunteering with Aidan O’Connor’s special election so I didn’t get up north until the first week of May. It’s unfortunate that he couldn’t pull it off in 2018, but it’s a pretty conservative district.

In four weeks on May 14 the sun will be setting at 8:10 pm,🌄 which is 31 minutes and 13 seconds later then tonight. In 2018 on that day, we had partly sunny and temperatures between 77 and 54 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 69 and 46 degrees. The record high of 93 degrees was set back in 1900.

I am not totally sure about giving up owning a car in a few years 🚙 but I’m still thinking about the numbers over going car less for a few year some point in the future. Maybe a $100,000 savings over a decade by not owning a car is an over estimate, but motoring is so expensive and most of the time my truck is parked. 🅿 I just prefer to walk or use transit around town. On the other hand I sure enjoy camping in the wilderness. So I don’t know. It’s one option, especially with the ease of ride sharing, bicycles 🚲 and public transport. 🚍 I still eventually want to own land out in the country and that will involve motoring but not in New York State so it’s sometime off in the future. Been great in the markets lately and I think I have a good plan but I also realize downs are coming at some point in the market. But I’m ready to ride the bear market too.

Looking ahead, Average High is 70 🐮 is a month away, Fathers Day 👨 is in 2 months, Last Sunset After 8:30 PM 🌆 is in 3 months, Constitution Day 📜 is in 22 weeks, October 🛥 is in 24 weeks and Election Day 2020 🗳️ is in 81 weeks.

A Look Back at Sandy Gordon vs Debbie Bush

The Race Crunched.

ED	DEM	DEM %	REP	REP %	CON	CON %	WF	WF %	ICE	ICE %	Write-In	Over Vote	Blank	Blank Percent	Total Votes	Sandy Total	Bush Total	Sandy %	Sandy Net Votes
Berne 1	88	37.13%	89	37.55%	34	14.35%	6	2.53%	20	8.44%	0	0	10	4%	248	94	143	39%	-49
Berne 2	210	52.11%	113	28.04%	41	10.17%	12	2.98%	27	6.70%	0	1	4	1%	409	222	181	55%	41
Knox 3	97	40.59%	79	33.05%	36	15.06%	15	6.28%	12	5.02%	4	0	9	4%	253	112	127	46%	-15
Rensselaerville 1	87	43.28%	50	24.88%	35	17.41%	13	6.47%	16	7.96%	0	0	2	1%	204	100	101	50%	-1
Rensselaerville 2	87	37.50%	61	26.29%	53	22.84%	10	4.31%	21	9.05%	0	1	16	6%	250	97	135	42%	-38
Rensselaerville 3	162	43.55%	106	28.49%	63	16.94%	22	5.91%	19	5.11%	0	0	13	3%	386	184	188	49%	-4
Westerlo 1	130	37.57%	131	37.86%	63	18.21%	7	2.02%	15	4.34%	0	0	14	4%	361	137	209	39%	-72
Westerlo 2	183	56.48%	84	25.93%	29	8.95%	8	2.47%	20	6.17%	0	0	26	7%	351	191	133	59%	58
Westerlo 3	105	34.31%	117	38.24%	53	17.32%	16	5.23%	15	4.90%	0	0	16	5%	323	121	185	39%	-64
Total	1149	43.20%	830	31.20%	407	15.30%	109	4.10%	165	6.20%	4	2	110	4%	2785	1258	1402	47%	-144

Maps Showing What Happened.

ED by ED percentage of votes for Sandy Gordon.

I often prefer to use Net Votes per Election District, as this more clearly shows were a person lost and won the race, because Turn out can very quite widely from Election District to Election District. Moreover, some Election Districts are more populus then others.

Turn out was particularly high in districts that Sandy lost, particularly in Westerlo ED 3 (Dormansville), one of most conservative EDs in Albany County currently.

This map shows the Average Democratic Preformance of Statewide candidates by 2010 Voting Tabulation District, with the 2011 County Leg districts superimposed. Be aware that all statewide Democratic candidates preformed quite well across 2010 Albany County,but it also shows the weakness in Dormansville (Westerlo ED 3), and Cooksburg-Preston Hollow-Potters Hollow (Rensselearville ED 2). The entire district was and is marginal Democratic, and can easily swing into the Republican column.

While Sandy Gordon got a higher percentage of votes on Democratic line then Debra Bush on the Republican line, the heavy Conservative-block vote in Renselearville EDs and South Westerlo (ED 1) provided a margin of victory for Debra Bush.

Sandy Gordon lost 2/3rds of Knox in the redistricting. He preformed worst in the new portion of the district — specifically Westerlo — and failed to hold onto Renselearville.

While he faced a Tea-Party Movement in Renselearville that organized against him, if he had spent more time going door-to-door in this portion of district, along with introducing himself to Westerlo voters, he may have been able to hold on to his seat.

Regardless, it was tough year for Democratic Incumbents, especially those with a long record and many difficult votes to face, such as over-riding the tax-cap, which will hurt rural residents and those of the hilltowns who own a lot of land hardest.

Andy Arthur.org

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