essays

Being Uneconomical for an Uncertain Future

.There is a common line of thought that argues that we should undertake a massive restructuring of the economy, even if it has no current clear benefit, in preparation for some dramatic future change like climate change or peak oil. Folks like Bill McKibbean have the logic, unless we make drastic changes now, the future will be bleak.

Their logic reminds one a lot of the logic of a High School Guidance Counselor, pushing over-priced college educations at so-called “select institutions” that are very over pricd. They argue unless one gets an expensive college education, the future will be bleak. They say, unless you go seriously in debt, you will have no future and be without a good job.

Trees Lines

Nobody today can tell us for sure about when or if climate change will occur, or for that matter what the impacts of peak oil will be. We have projections and models that extrapolate data based on today’s conditions and projected changes, but they probably are not accurate as effects rarely are linear. It�s quite possible that effect our growing use of fossil fuels may be far different then anything yet predicted.

Yet, it�s also hard to object to efficiency standards and pollution controls on power plants that benefit society now. More energy while burning less fuel will benefit the economy by lowering costs over the long-run. More fuel efficient cars, while possibly more expensive up front, will provide drivers with lower fuel bills over the car�s life. Good standards that improve efficiency, conserve resources, and reduce pollution, help us now.

Medusa

I disagree with folk like Bill McKibbean who argue for a radical transformation of the economy based on a projection of climate change or peak oil. We should work to conserve resources and clean up our generating plants, but not because of a future projection, but to improve economic efficiency and the quality of our lives today. If with incidentally also help change the projection for bad things to happen tomorrow, then all the better.

I Support the Wisconsin State Workers

I rarely write essays on specific political events. I normally stick to broad topics or areas I have personal experiences about. I do not have the experience or knowledge to really judge what is happening out in afar away in the upper Midwest State, known primarily for its agriculture and for its various progressive leaders over the years. Yet, I feel particularly strongly about this issue and think its important to raise my voice about it.

Listening to the Rachel Maddow Podcast of Fridays show I learned many things. I learned about how Wisconsin is a state with eight towns named Union, with a proud tradition of being a state where average people band together to try to get a better bargain for themselves. Wisconsin is a place where farmers band together to negotiate a better price with big processors, a place where workers band together to get a fair wage.

Off the Cliff

Wisconsin, as I learned from Rachel Maddow, is the state that literally brought us the weekend. Workers banned together to form unions and demand a 40-hour work week, and to make not just Sunday a day of rest, but also Saturday too. The demands of organized workers lead not just to better conditions and more time off for the organized, but for all Americans. The idea that most people would work on Saturday and more then five days a week is unthinkable today.

We live in a society of laws and rules, designed to protect both individuals and institutions alike. While pursuant to the US Constitution, each state has the right to dedicate what terms public employees operate under, with most states allowing public employees to organize and join unions. The unions push for a fair bargain at the table for the workers they represent. Management and political leaders choose how much money they want to spend at each agency, and they negotiate with unions based on the money available. If managers can not get the cost savings they desire, managers can lay employees off to reach their spending targets. Fewer employees means less union dues and less clout for the union.

Stream of Water

The Wisconsin governor has the right to lay off state employees after asking for concessions from the union. The established rules make it clear that this is the executives right to do. Certainly more workers at a discounted price to Wisconsin in this troubled economic times would be the preferred solution to layoffs. This should come from the established process, not by changing the rules mid-negotiations. Just like its not fair to change the rules in the middle of a game of Chess to benefit one side over another, its not fair for the Wisconsin governor to change the rules just so he can a better deal from public employees

Wisconsin State Employees should continue have the right to unionize, and the Wisconsin Governor should not change the rules just because hes not making his desired progress in negotiations. Thats only fair.

My Comments on State Climate Action Plan

Climate Action Plan
NYSERDA
17 Columbia Circle
Albany, NY 12203-6399

Re: Climate Action Plan Interim Report

I am deeply concerned about the Climate Action Plan put forth by NYSERDA and other interested parties. Rather then advocating for sustainable, local communities, it advocates for large centralized facilities such as massive waste incinerators, massive power plants, and massive private automobile infrastructure.

Our over-reliance on such large centralized facilities, is largely responsible for environmental crisis we face. Climate Change Emissions are a symptom of our societys unsustainable nature. Its mother natures Engine Malfunction Light. The shocking changes, already underway in our ecosystem, demonstrate a multitude of problems that can not simply be fixed by sticking a better scrubber on our smoke stacks. Instead, we need a state that emphasizes sustainability, encourages sustainable acts, and builds infrastructure that gets us towards sustainability.

Here are several proposals in your report that create grave concerns and there more sustainable, lower cost solutions. Most sustainable solutions are not high-tech or even expensive, but require changing both governmental policies and infrastructure in minor ways to promote more climate-friendly actions. Lets not follow the insane policies of the past, that have brought on this Climate Crisis!

Cookies Box Go Up in Smoke

Zero-Waste vs Garbage Incineration.

The Climate Action Plan is right to be concerned about fugitive methane emissions from landfills. The Plan suggests the construction of various forms of trash incinerators such as mass-burn or gasification or plasma-arc to eliminate organic waste from going into landfills. Yet, this is a very bad idea. Trash incinerators destroy valuable materials and recover minimal amounts of energy. Their smokestacks belch toxic materials into air, many compounds not yet fully understood. Waste materials that could be feedstock for industrial or agricultural purposes are destroyed in incinerators.

All forms of trash incinerators (be it refuse-derived fuel, mass-burn, gasification, or plasma-arc), take the carbon in garbage, combine it with oxygen, and release it directly in the air through a smoke stack as carbon dioxide. An average ton of garbage incinerated equals a ton of carbon dioxide in the air. It also represents many more tons of carbon dioxide in materials destroyed in the incinerator. Organic waste that could fertilize the ground are destroyed in incinerators, man-made materials like plastics burned in incinerators could be an industrial feedstock using a fraction of energy of new products.

Garbage Incinerators are expensive, the must always burn a full load to pay off their costs, always maximizing carbon emissions. The goal of any Climate Action Plan should NOT be to maximize carbon emissions! Garbage incineration is very expensive, it literally burns the publics cash, that could be used to improve recycling of technical materials and organics recovery through composting. Choose the sensible, cheaper alternative.

Rather then promote waste-incineration, the report should support a ban on organics disposal in landfills and incinerators, along with supporting Zero-Waste goals. The state should look towards minimizing waste, and recovering waste through recycling and source-separated organics processing such as anaerobic digestion or in-vessel composting. Reuse through secondary sales of used products should also be promoted. The Plan should call for garbage incinerators to be phased out, along with large landfills. Small, stable residual waste landfills are acceptable, only after all organic and usable technical materials are recovered first.

Turbine

Cleaner Energy vs Nuclear Power.

The Climate Action Plan trumpets Nuclear Power as the solution for large amounts of carbon-free base-load power. As the report correctly notes, at all times the electrical grid must be supplied with sufficient sources of energy to keep the lights on. Nuclear Power is a problematic proposition, as it requires large amounts of heat-trapping HFC gases to process the fuel, is very expensive, creates dangerous waste byproducts, and puts millions of New Yorkers at risk of serious injury or death. A terrorist strike or serious mistake at a nuclear plant such as Indian Point could kill millions of New Yorkers and destroy vast acreage of land forever. There is no repository nuclear waste, all of it must be stored on site of nuclear plants for the foreseeable future.

Nuclear Power is very expensive. It literally burns the publics cash, that could be used to promote energy conservation, and bring new renewable sources of electricity online. A single nuclear plant is estimated to cost $5-10 billion dollars, money that could instead go to subsidize the purchase of solar cells on residential houses, wind turbines in rural areas, micro-hydro and anaerobic-digestion on farms, and small-hydro on rivers and streams. Money spent on nuclear plants could also help people better insulate their houses. Choose the sensible, cheaper alternative.

Conventional fossil-fuels and clean biomass systems, have an important role in filling in the gap between renewable sources of energy and the needs of electric grid. Fossil fuel plants should increasingly serve to meet peak load, and balance the fluctuation of renewable sources of energy, and not provide base load power. Natural gas plants are particularly good at generating power to meet peak demand as necessary. In addition, consider new pump storage plants like Gilboa Power Project, in an environmentally sensitive context. Consolidated Edisions Storm King Pump Storage was a terrible idea.

The Climate Action Plan should emphasize conservation of energy, renewable energy, and especially small-scale sources of renewable energy like solar and micro-hydro. Continue the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, tighten limits to force electricity companies to build more renewable sources. Further develop the smart-grid, and call for the aggressive promotion of Net Metering. The plan should call small scale electricity generation, being as common as heating systems in houses. Call for phasing out of all nuclear power, starting by closing Indian Point in 2012.

Oil Well

Burn Less Fossil Fuels vs Carbon Sequestration.

The Climate Action Plan promotes Carbon Sequestration as a solution to carbon emissions from Power Plants. Carbon Sequestration is an unproven technology, in regions where it has been tested, there is growing evidence that carbon dioxide is peculating back up through the ground, damaging water supplies and being released back into the atmosphere. While this is seriously troubling, even more troubling is the amount of energy required to sequester carbon from power plants.

Current estimates suggest that 40% of a power plants energy is required to sequester carbon. That means 40% more coal must be mined, 40% more oil or gas must be removed from the earth. Carbon sequestration would mean 40% more landscapes would be defiled, 40% more water wells would be poisoned by hydrofracking, 40% more toxic non-carbon dioxide emissions would enter the air. From an broader environmental perspective, carbon sequestration will devastate habitats and accelerate the global decline of our plant. We should not burning more fossil-fuels just to sequester carbon.

With carbon sequestration, 40% more fossil fuel burned means 40% higher energy prices, not including the cost of actually sequestering the carbon. Money spent on mining all this extra coal or drilling for all this extra oil, could be better spent on conservation or renewable sources of power. Choose the sensible, cheaper alternative.

Instead the solution is make fossil fuels the energy source of last resort. Use lower-carbon fossil fuels like natural gas or oil rather then coal. Develop more renewable sources of power, use renewable sources to make up the majority of the base load. Use fossil fuel plants whenever necessary to make up the difference in electricity generation. Phase out fossil fuel plants, dont waste the public’s money on carbon sequestration.

Pickup with Ice

Public Transit and Walkable Communities vs Electric Cars.

The Climate Action Plan triumphs Electric Cars as the preferred solution for transportation. The plan incorrectly argues that private automobiles must forever be the most common way people get around cities. Electric cars are a new technology, while promising, probably have benefits much over stated by the report. It is very energy intensive to move 1-2 tons of steel down the road, and electrical energy is very technically challenging to store in large quantities.

It is possible that in the future, batteries will be developed to allow private automobiles to make short-trips around town, like the Chevy Volt. Someday it may be possible to even power large pickup trucks like the Chevy Silverado electrically for a short distance around town. Yet, due to the difficulties of storing large amounts of electricity, and the length of time required to chemically store large amounts electric power in batteries, it should not be assumed that we will see an all-electric fleet of vehicles in the foreseeable future. Towing the power-boat to Adirondacks behind your Chevy Silverado, probably wont be powered all by electricity, even 50 years from now. Such technology seems unrealistic. The Climate Action Plan should realize cars will continue to get at least a significant portion of their energy from fossil fuels.

Moreover, electrical cars get their energy from some source. While we hope that source is renewable, like from solar cells on peoples houses, the reality is the vast amount of electricity to power an urban fleet of cars is likely to come from fossil-fuels for the foreseeable future. Electricity does not come from god. The Climate Plan should also reflect that many if not most electricity powering cars will come from fossil-fuels that generate carbon emissions, for decades to come. Private automobiles even electrically powered cars discriminate against the young and elderly, and the disabled. Rather then focus on this high tech proposal, the Plan should: Choose the sensible, cheaper alternative.

While electric cars are futuristic, the lowest cost and largest reductions in carbon emissions will come from building walkable communities and expanding and improving mass-transit. Make it so people can leave the Chevy Silverado parked in their driveway for day to day routines. As the Capital Region Transit Authority showed in Schenectady, simply modernizing bus timetables, based on current needs, can increase ridership by 20% while not increasing service. Adding new transit services is very cheap compared to building new superhighways. Building sidewalks can reduce the number of trips to the store in private cars. Giving tax incentives for retail to locate in cities, serviced by transit, can further reduce carbon emissions. Done right, building walkable communities, serviced by quality public transit, can reduce carbon emissions by private automobiles by 80% or more, with the existing fleet of cars and trucks. Parked cars release NO climate change gases nor do they require new freeways cut through animal habitats.

Hybrid Bus

Good Transit vs High Speed Rail.

The Climate Action Plan calls for High Speed Rail. While a nice goal, one possibly to consider in the distant future, its more of a toy then a realistic plan. Save the high-speed rail models for your kids to play with on the living room floor. Most New Yorkers will probably never ride on a High Speed Rail line, even if it is built. Its a very expensive option, when simpler lower-cost options make much more sense. Choose the sensible, cheaper alternative.

Passenger rail service needs to be reliable and on-time. The state should consider the cost-effectiveness of creating a moderate-speed rail service, that uses dedicated track. Trains running consistently at 50-100 MPH may be fast enough, as long as stops are limited, and the service is reliable. The biggest problem with Amtrak currently is trains are often late or delayed due to freight trains on the tracks. Its also important to connect trains and airplanes with transit. Should railroads go right up to airports? Airports, especially Upstate, have almost no public transit service to and from them. Railroads have more access to transit, but in many cases its limited or indirect. Consider bundling train boarding passes with bus passes, for the last mile. Improving inter-model transportation should be vastly more important then high-speed rail.

Most people will still not use the passenger railroad, except on rare occasion. Most travel is intra-city, best serviced by streetcars or buses. Streetcars or trolleys that are electrically powered, preferably by renewable energy, are a very smart climate change solution. Most cities had them prior to 1950. Consider making streetcars fare-free to minimize boarding delays and maximizing their use. Buses in the short-run may be the most cost-effective service, but in the long-term, electric trolleys are quieter, faster, and dont burn foul smelling diesel.

Two Power Line

Impacts of Fugitive Emissions and Non-Climate Impacts of Natural Gas vs Cleaner Fossil Fuels.

Natural gas has a great potential to be a lower-carbon source of fossil fuels to fill in the gap when renewable energy cant meet all of the needs of electric grid. It burns very cleanly and efficiently, with minimal toxic emissions, and less carbon dioxide per unit of energy generated compared to other fossil fuels. Yet not only does burning natural gas release climate change gases, the natural gas (methane) is a potent greenhouse gas. The Climate Action Plan should account for fugitive emissions and emissions associated with drilling for natural gas.

High-volume hydrofracking is particularly worrisome when it comes to potential fugitive gases and those emissions relating to the drilling of wells. In addition, serious concerns have been raised about the regulation of gas drilling, in recent years, by state and federal governments. A slightly cooler climate is not an acceptable trade-off for polluted ground water or seriously defiled landscapes.

The Plan needs to carefully balance natural gas, and fully quantity its dangers to the climate. While it seems like Natural Gas is the most climate sensitive fuel compared to carbon-intensive coal (with its own methane emissions problems), its use needs to be constrained like all fossil-fuels to simply meet the needs that can not otherwise be met by renewable energy. All sources of energy have their problems, and all have some carbon footprint, and its important that they be carefully measured in the plan.

Big Tree

Local Solutions vs Global Solutions.

To often, the Climate Action Plan advocates for the wrong kind of solutions to reduce Climate Change Gas Emissions in our state. Our state faces an unprecedented fiscal crisis, and insisting on the most expensive solutions to reduce Climate Change Emissions ensures failure. Smaller, human scale solutions to Climate Change Emissions like better public transit service and sidewalks might be hard to measure, but they not only reduce emissions, but also make our communities more desirable.

Here are a few other small ideas the report should consider:

Agriculture: More on farm generation of electric power — dairies in particular are very energy intensive. More farmers markets in every neighborhood. Less regulation of farm operations to promote more farming. More slaughterhouses and processors. Many farmers have to truck cattle hundreds of miles, lots of GHG associated with that, discourages local food. More processors that buy local food.

Industrial: Increase recycling from residential and commercial sources to provide relatively clean feedstocks to plants. Develop more local recycling plants. Require industries to maximize their energy efficiency.

Residential: More education on benefits of off-the-grid living, net-metering, and other sources of electricity generated on site. More education, promotion, tax breaks for increasing insulation and energy efficiency. Tighten building standards further. Offer more convenient recycling options for a wider variety of wastes.

Commercial: Have tough efficiency standards for new buildings. Give tax breaks to businesses located on trunk lines of bus services. Mandate commercial recycling of waste.

Transportation: More trains and bus services, consider bringing back Streetcars and Trolleys. Mandating inter-connected streets and sidewalks

Thank you for consideration of my comments. If you need further clarifications on my ideas for improving the Climate Action Plan, feel free to contact me at andy -a-t- andyarthur.org or by phone at 518-281-9873.

Sincerely,

Andy Arthur
15A Elm Ave
Delmar, NY 12054

Was I Born Too Late?

There are days when I look out the window and wonder a pretty simple question: Was I Born Too Late?

 Window Past My Desk

Now none of us have control of when are born or when we die. We are all creatures of the time we live, the ziegest of world that surrounds us. But I have to wonder, Was I Born too Late?

 Enjoying the Fire

A look back at times past, when I should have celebrated what I once had when I could. I think back to freedoms of yesteryear, and wish I could have been there. I have to wonder, Was I Born too Late?

Completed Housing Development

I look at once green farm fields that are now housing developments. A woods a remember as a child is now a freeway. A remote area, now developed. I have to wonder, Was I Born too Late?

Peru Sky

There is no turning back. I can’t live a life that is not mine. I can not turn back the hands of time, or control things beyond my own control. I have to wonder, Was I Born too Late?

Edge of Helldiver Pond

Probably not.

I was born into the world that I live in today, and the best I can do is fight to make it a better place.

A Cold Winter’s Day Five Rivers

On a very cold Saturday afternoon, I decided to drive out to Five Rivers and take some pictures. I wanted to get pictures of the setting sun, but it did not happen due to the snow squal that came blowing in. Here’s what I got.

CCC Sheds

Pavilion Along the Pond

After Dark

Helderberg Mountains

Blowing Snow…

It certainly was cold enough there when I was walking. If it had been nicer, I probably would have headed out of town.

McMansion Hidden By the Snow

Snow Drifts Across the Field

Blowing Snow

Chopped

Deer Pics…

The deer really aren’t all afraid of humans at Five Rivers. You can almost walk up and touch them, as they know that hunting is prohibited in this area.

Why Are You Photographing Me?

White Tail Walking Away

Deer in Apple Orchard

CCC Sheds