Good evening! Mostly clear and 44 degrees in Delmar, NY. There is a south breeze at 5 mph. ๐. Temperatures will drop below freezing at Thursday around 3 am. โ๏ธ
Mild evening ๐, enjoyed my evening walk. ๐ถ I ended up walking quite a few miles today, visiting a number of preserves and it was a nice day. Always try to spend a lot of time looking at the trees, observing birds ๐ฆ and wildlife, trying to go through life not too blind to the world around me. Spent a lot of time in the woods this weekend for sure. Even if I don’t travel far there is a lot of nature locally.
Driving ๐ back through Berne got me thinking how much the hill towns are not unlike small rural towns everywhere. ๐ฎ Looking at Sauk County Wisconsin over the past week on the YouTube, and thinking back to my trips to West Virginia and Pennsylvania got me thinking how many nice small towns outside of New York I could ultimately settle down in and have a lot more freedom ๐ than in New York State. Maybe the pasture isn’t greener everywhere but I see the plastic bag ban and these massive but low output solar farms as a sign of what’s to come and it’s not good. The same with the wilderness activists and anti frackers locking ๐ all our land. To say nothing of more and more suburban track housing and apartment complexes going up everywhere. I miss the small town life I grew up in but I can’t see buying property in New York at this point. Once I don’t have family in New York, I’m towing everything I can out of the state for greener pastures.
Tonight will be partly cloudy ๐ค, with a low of 34 degrees at 5am. 11 degrees above normal, which is similar to a typical night around April 6th. Going to be cool at night but it’s only the second week of March. At least my heat is off. โจ South wind 5 to 7 mph. In 2019, we had clear skies in the evening, which became clear by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 12 degrees. The record low of -14 occurred back in 1943.
Tonight will have the Worm Full ๐ผ/strong>๓ Moon. At 10 PM, the moon was in the east-southeast (119ยฐ) at an altitude of 44ยฐ from the horizon, some 227,258 miles away from where you are looking up from the earth. ๐It’s a pretty big moon with a lot of moonlight. Didn’t need the brights on much driving home from the parents house. At the state speed limit of 55 mph, you’ll make it there by August 28th. Buckle up for safety! ๐บ The darkest hour is at 12:07 am, followed by dawn at 6:51 am, and sun starting to rise at 7:20 am in the east (96ยฐ) and last for 2 minutes and 54 seconds. Sunrise is one minute and 42 seconds earlier than today. ๐ Still dark morning ahead. The golden hour ends at 7:57 am with sun in the east-southeast (102ยฐ).Tonight will have 12 hours and 22 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 54 seconds over last night.
Tomorrow will be sunny ๐, with a high of 68 degrees at 4pm. 27 degrees above normal, which is similar to a typical day around May 10th. Outstanding. South wind 6 to 9 mph. But red flag ๐ฉ conditions so tomorrow is a day you shouldn’t be burning stuff you shouldn’t be ๐ฅ but my neighbors was having a nice fire out back. A year ago, we had cloudy skies in the morning with more sun in the afternoon. The high last year was 42 degrees. The record high of 81 was set in 2016. 6.9 inches of snow fell back in 1961.โ
In four weeks on April 5 the sun will be setting in the west (279ยฐ) at 7:26 pm,๐ which is 32 minutes and 25 seconds later then tonight. In 2019 on that day, we had partly cloudy skies, rain showers and chilly temperatures between 42 and 25 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 54 and 33 degrees. Yes, you can still have winter in April. The record high of 82 degrees was set back in 1928.
Looking ahead, Ides of March โ is in 1 week, Pink Moon ๐ is a month away, Palm Sunday ๐ด is in 4 weeks, Easter ๐ฐ is in 5 weeks, Mothers Day ๐ฉโ is in 9 weeks, Pack Rat Day ๐ is in 10 weeks, Strawberry Moon ๐ is in 13 weeks and Fathers Day ๐จ is in 14 weeks.
๐บ๐ธ๐ฆ Only 74 days remain until the start of Memorial Day Weekend!๐ฆ ๐บ๐ธ
While I think it makes sense for the Democratic Party to field a candidate against President Trump, all the evidence points to him being re-elected with a larger margin.
President Trump’s approval ratings while low, are fairly consistent with his ratings when he ran last time. He’s not lost much public support in the past four years.
The candidate the Democratic Party has fielded against him is essentially the same as the candidate that ran against him in 2016. There is little difference between Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, they’re both centrist, career politicians who are of advanced age.
The economy is strong and inflation is low. While there are pockets of poverty and chances for things to go badly between now and November, the truth is for many Americans this is pretty good times, the best since the late 1960s.
Incumbents usually win re-election. The last president not re-elected was George HW Bush, he lost during a deep recession in 1992 to young, colorful governor of Arkansas. Bill Clinton was colorful and new at the time, something you can’t say about Biden.
That said, I think it’s worthwhile for the Democrats to put a opponent up against President Trump.
We have no idea what will happen between now and November. President Trump could do something that is incredibly unpopular or illegal and he could lose support of his base. He could have a heart attack and pass away. There is no guarantee that Trump will be a viable candidate come November, and the democratic nominee could be a fall back for the voters. You got to play to have a chance to win.
Running a candidate against President Trump gives the Democratic Party a chance to fundraiser and expand public knowledge of their policy proposals. It will allow them to show the public that they have good ideas too and to consider voting for democrats down ballot.
Running a candidate against Trump means the Republican Party will have to spend resources defending the president. This will divert attention of the GOP, allowing Democrats to focus on winning races down ballot, especially in the US Senate where combined control of the House and Senate could give the Democratic Party significant control of national policy with President Trump acting as a check with his veto pen. In exchange, Congress could investigate the president to ensure he’s remaining ethical.
