October 2, 2020 Night

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Good evening! Mostly clear under the Harvest Moon and 48 degrees in Delmar, NY. 🌕 Calm wind. A bit cool sitting out back but the moonlight is nice and it won’t be long before the evenings are too cold to sit out back.

It’s been a busy and crazy week 🤪 with so many changes to the world and work that seems non stop, sometimes going into the wee hours of the morning. 💤 Between retiring to bed early last night 🛏 and sleeping in on the dark rainy morning I did get well caught up on my sleep.

The whole thing about the president getting Coronavirus 👾 is both totally crazy and predictable. 😷 Nobody likes wearing a mask or having to social distance but it seems that it makes a big difference. Virus math is tough to beat. That said with the president’s advanced age and less than physically fit body 💪🏻 I can’t imagine he will survive it without serious health consequences.

I already really like my new blog theme 📝 which is probably one of the most minimalist themes I’ve ever used but I think it does a really nice job of displaying my photos 📸 and sharing my world. 👤 I like telling my story and then from time to time flipping on back. Fixed a few things in the mobile 📱 version but there is still more to fix.

Tonight will have patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, partly cloudy 🌃, with a low of 41 degrees at 6am. Three degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical night around October 10th. Light northwest wind. In 2019, we had mostly clear skies in the evening, which became cloudy by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 46 degrees. The record low of 29 occurred back in 1945.

Going to be another cool night but I like the fresh air 🍃 so I think I’ll leave the windows open and snuggle under the cover. 🛏 Going to be sixty tomorrow and with the sun will be plenty warm.

Tonight will have a Full 🌝 Moon with 98% illuminated. At 10 PM, the moon was in the east-southeast (111°) at an altitude of 28° from the horizon, some 252,227 miles away from where you are looking up from the earth. 🚀 At the state speed limit of 55 mph, you’ll make it there by April 12th. Buckle up for safety! 💺 The New Moon is on Sunday, October 18. The darkest hour is at 12:45 am, followed by dawn at 6:27 am, and sun starting to rise at 6:55 am in the east (94°) and last for 2 minutes and 54 seconds. Sunrise is one minute and 6 seconds later than yesterday. 🌄 The golden hour ends at 7:32 am with sun in the east (101°). Tonight will have 12 hours and 20 minutes of darkness, an increase of 2 minutes and 52 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will have patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny 🌞, with a high of 60 degrees at 2pm. Five degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around October 15th. Maximum dew point of 47 at 10am. Light and variable wind. A year ago, we had light rain in the morning, which became light rain by afternoon. It was somewhat humid. The high last year was 52 degrees. The record high of 83 was set in 1967. There was a dusting of snow in 1974.❄

I need to get contact solution and butter 🏪 so I probably need to go to the grocery store tomorrow. I might just also walk 🚶🏻 out to Five Rivers 🐦 and do some bird watching. Plus I want to trim my hair 💈 with the cutting tools I have and take a shower 🚿 – the last time I bathed was Tuesday because I’ve been remote working and I don’t need to be really clean for Zoom although I have been shaving and washing my face.

I want to get out camping 🏕 and traveling again soon but it’s tough being so busy with work these days. I’m hoping to do one trip out to Madison County on a few weeks – although probably not Columbus Day Weekend ⛵ as I want to avoid the crowds. 👪

In four weeks on October 30 the sun will be setting in the west-southwest (251°) at 5:50 pm,🌄 which is 44 minutes and 5 seconds earlier then tonight. In 2019 on that day, we had mostly cloudy, warm, rain showers and temperatures between 63 and 57 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 54 and 36 degrees. The record high of 80 degrees was set back in 1946.

Looking ahead, Average Night Below Freezing 🌌 is in 6 weeks, Buy Nothing Day 🛍️ is in 8 weeks, Average High is 40 🌨 is in 9 weeks, Bake Cookies Day 🍪 is in 11 weeks, Christmas 🎅 is in 12 weeks, New Years Day 2020 🎉 is in 13 weeks, Bubble Bath Day 🧼 is in 14 weeks, 37th Birthday 🎉 is in 17 weeks and Ground Hog Day 🐻 is in 4 months.

Apples

I do wonder a lot how Coronavirus ends

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I do wonder a lot how Coronavirus ends economically👾

They just keep printing money at the federal reserve and borrowing money at all levels of government. You can’t put all of life on credit forever, even if interest rates are low.

Both residential and commercial landlords aren’t collecting rent from many of their tenants and it seems likely that the back rent is forever gone from the economy. Sure the government can continue to print and borrow money but ultimately it’s a tax on the future. Local governments are losing tax revenues that will never be collected.

Ultimately it all will be paid off by higher rents on everybody in the future and higher taxes for all. And exploding federal deficit means more future money dedicated to debt services. Various borrowing schemes at the state and local level will only lead to more debt service costs down the line.

Does this mean inflation? In the very real sense that a paycheck goes less far because rent goes up and taxes increase then it is inflation. But will it be widely felt outside of the rental market or the relm of government taxes and fees? Not sure.

There may be a lot of resistance to government raising taxes by democratic forces, they might instead rely on service cuts. Likewise, while landlords might seek to raise rate to cover losses it’s not clear that there is enough residential or commercial tenants willing to or able to fill existing vacancies. Many landlords may just have to eat the losses.

The fuel crisis of 1973 was a very different crisis – oil is baked into the economy in many more ways – and its a lot less flexible than either landlords or government. While you could always use less oil, very few entities wasn’t able to negotiate a better price for it. Unions and workers were in a better position in mid 1970s to argue for higher wages than exist now. It’s not like Coronavirus is driving the cost of groceries or transportation – just the cost of government and possibly rent.

Most of the printed money by the federal reserve has gone into the stock market or savings accounts of the wealthy. Very little of economic stimulus for Coronavirus stays in working folks pockets, it’s mostly been passed through for emergency uses and ultimately ended up in the market where it exists just on paper – although I guess at some point it could be spent but for the forseeable future is unlikely to be spent.

NPR

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Trump To Be Hospitalized At Walter Reed Following Coronavirus Diagnosis : NPR

President Trump on Friday made an unannounced trip to Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Bethesda, Md, White House pool reporters awaiting his arrival said.

Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany said that "President Trump remains in good spirts, has mild symptoms, and has been working throughout the day. Out of an abundance of caution, and at the recommendation of his physician and medical experts, the President will be working from the presidential offices at Walter Reed for the next few days. President Trump appreciates the outpouring of support for both he and the First Lady."