Weather Update – August 3, 2022

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Tonight and beyond 🌃

More unstable weather, heat and humidity ahead. But alas it’s summer and sometimes it is just sultry out. I am sure it will be much nicer here in the Finger Lakes though then back home.

Tonight.
Muggy !

Mostly Clear

 Mostly clear.

South wind 3 to 8 mph.

and

 72 degrees , 66 max dew point, 6:01
sunrise.
Thursday.
Muggy !

Sunny then Showers is likely

 A chance of showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Increasing clouds and hot.

Heat index values as high as 98. South wind 6 to 10 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

and

 93 degrees , 71 max dew point, 8:25
sunset.
Thursday Night.
Muggy !

T-storms is likely

 Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly between 8pm and 9pm. Mostly cloudy.

Light south wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

and

 69 degrees , 71 max dew point, 6:02
sunrise.
Friday.
Muggy !

Chance of T-storms then Showers is likely

 A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy.

Calm wind becoming west around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

and

 85 degrees , 72 max dew point, 8:24
sunset.
Friday Night.
Muggy !

Showers is likely then Slight Chance of T-storms

 Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy.

Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

and

 69 degrees , 72 max dew point, 6:03
sunrise.
Saturday.
Muggy !

Chance of T-storms

 A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny.

Chance of precipitation is 40%.

and

 89 degrees , 73 max dew point, 8:23
sunset.
Saturday Night.
Muggy !

Chance of T-storms then Mostly Clear

 A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly clear.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

 70 degrees , 72 max dew point, 6:04
sunrise.
Sunday.
Muggy !

Sunny then Chance of T-storms

 A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny and hot.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

 92 degrees , 74 max dew point, 8:21
sunset.
Sunday Night.
Muggy !

Chance of T-storms then Chance of Showers

 A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

 71 degrees , 71 max dew point, 6:06
sunrise.
Monday.
Muggy !

Showers is likely

 A chance of showers, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly sunny.

Chance of precipitation is 60%.

and

 89 degrees , 72 max dew point, 8:20
sunset.
Monday Night.
Muggy !

Showers is likely

 Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 60%.

and

 67 degrees , 70 max dew point, 6:07
sunrise.
Tuesday.
Feels like …
August 28th.

Chance of Showers

 A chance of showers. Partly sunny.

Chance of precipitation is 50%.

and

 80 degrees , 68 max dew point, 8:19
sunset.
Tuesday Night.
Feels like …
July 15th.

Mostly Cloudy

 Mostly cloudy.

and

 63 degrees , 65 max dew point, 6:08
sunrise.

Daily Update – August 3, 2022

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Good evening! A nice evening after a hot day swimming. 🏊‍♂️

Sitting by Foster Pond for a while, saw two shooting stars but also a fair amount of haze around.

Partly clear and 77 degrees at the Town of Hector. ✨ Moderate breeze, sometimes humid sometimes cool and refreshing. Seems to be mixing of the air currents between the lakes. The dew point is 62 degrees.

Spent the bulk of the day at Enfield Glen 🏊‍♂️ hiking in the morning through the Glen and the Lucifer Falls Loop and exploring the Grist Mill followed by spending the bulk of the day swimming in the gorge. Refilled my propane tank and camp back to camp, bought sweet corn 🌽 and made burgers 🍔 on the grill and then read 📖 until around 9:15.

It was kind of a nice day but hot by afternoon. 🏖 The swimming was nice but it was hot especially when I had to stay out of the water 💦 for a while for a work conference call. 📞 I think I might have picked up swimmers itch from the water but the stuff I use on my feet can be sprayed on my balls ⚽ to address that. 😂

Yesterday was a quieter day at camp ⛺, cloudy ⛅ but rain free and quiet. Dusty though when cars went by from it being so dry. Got through two books, 📚 took a nice afternoon nap after some fishing 🎣 and wildlife observation at Potomac Ponds. Kind of hot and dry, did a fair bit of drinking 🍻. I kind of enjoy the more relaxed pace this year.

Somebody emailed 📧 yesterday about making some KML Google Maps up and it sent me down the long journey of thinking 💭 how I could do it in R in an automated way. I had previously been doing it by exporting the geopackages from R into QGIS but I want more control and automation over the process.

Statistics and my summer reading program 📖

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Statistics and my summer reading program 📖

A big portion of my summer reading program this year has focused on reading books about statistical analysis. It’s very easy to get mislead by numbers but being able to accurately extract meaning from data is important for all facets of life – what choices you make daily, what decisions you make at work and at play.

I am trying to make better life choices, not be wrapped up in emotions or other things that can lead you astray. I want to think clearly and make good rational decisions based on the evidence and relative risk and benefits of actions.

The interesting thing about the abortion debate 🤱

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The interesting thing about the abortion debate 🤱

The people who you here most passionate about abortion are those who can’t have an abortion – because they are too old to get pregnant.

Maybe it’s because they remember the time before abortion was legal but it also may be because retirees have much more free time to watch the talking heads and follow the news more carefully.

Of course indigestion isn’t that good of a motivating force. When you don’t have skin in the game, you can he angry but you have nothing ultimately to loose.