Day: December 12, 2022

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Opinion | The Root Cause of Violent Crime Is Not What We Think It Is – The New York Times

Opinion | The Root Cause of Violent Crime Is Not What We Think It Is – The New York Times

And yet, as I have learned over more than two decades of work in this field, the black hole narrative cannot be changed by statistics alone. If you want policies that actually work, you have to change the political conversation from “tough candidates punishing bad people” to “strong communities keeping everyone safe.” Candidates who care about solving a problem pay attention to what caused it. Imagine a plumber who tells you to get more absorbent flooring but does not look for the leak.

Because the old narrative is so ingrained, candidates often assume that voters agree with it. But common sense and recent polling show that a majority of voters are concerned about crime and also supportive of changes in how we keep communities safe. This has fueled thousands of local innovations across the country. City governments, community groups and nonprofits are comparing notes on what works. And organizations like One Million Experiments are tracking innovations aimed at producing scalable solutions that do not rely on punishment. Reducing crime and reducing reliance on punishment only seem incompatible if you accept, as the narrative black hole dictates, that police and prisons are the only solution.

One Year Ago During the Week of December 12

Last year …

On Monday 12/13/21 we had mostly sunny 🌞 with high of 51 and a low of 31, which is 12 degrees above normal.

On Tuesday 12/14/21 we had mostly sunny 🌞 with high of 50 and a low of 29, which is 11 degrees above normal.

On Wednesday 12/15/21 we had rain showers 🌦 and partly cloudy 🌀 with high of 45 and a low of 25, which is seven degrees above normal.

On Thursday 12/16/21 we had partly sunny 🌞, warm 🌞 and rain showers 🌦 with high of 61 and a low of 45, which is 23 degrees above normal.

On Friday 12/17/21 we had partly sunny 🌞 and mild 🌞 with high of 58 and a low of 34, which is 20 degrees above normal.

On Saturday 12/18/21 we had rain 🌧 with high of 36 and a low of 32, which is a degree below normal.

On Sunday 12/19/21 we had partly cloudy 🌀 and rain showers 🌦 with high of 35 and a low of 19, which is two degrees below normal.

Weather Update – December 12, 2022

The week ahead … 😎

Today.
Feels like …
December 31st.

Scattered Flurries

Scattered flurries before 9am. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing.

North wind 8 to 10 mph.

and

34 degrees , 4:23
sunset.
Tonight.
Cold !

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

North wind 5 to 8 mph.

and

12 degrees , 4 max wind chill, 7:15
sunrise.
Tuesday.
Feels like …
December 31st.

Sunny

Sunny.

Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

and

34 degrees , 4 max wind chill, 4:23
sunset.
Tuesday Night.
Feels like …
January 2nd.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

Northwest wind 9 to 14 mph.

and

18 degrees , 6 max wind chill, 7:16
sunrise.
Wednesday.
Feels like …
January 15th.

Sunny

Sunny.

Northwest wind 8 to 13 mph.

and

32 degrees , 6 max wind chill, 4:24
sunset.
Wednesday Night.
Feels like …
January 11th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

and

16 degrees , 12 max wind chill, 7:16
sunrise.
Thursday.
Feels like …
December 15th.

Partly Sunny

Partly sunny.

and

38 degrees , 12 max wind chill, 4:24
sunset.
Thursday Night.
Feels like …
November 17th.

Chance of Rain/Snow then Rain/Snow

Rain and snow showers, mainly after 1am. Low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

and

31 degrees , 7:17
sunrise.
Friday.
Feels like …
December 6th.

Rain

Rain. High near 41. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

and

41 degrees , 4:24
sunset.
Friday Night.
Feels like …
November 13th.

Rain is likely then Rain/Snow is likely

Rain likely before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 70%.

and

32 degrees , 7:18
sunrise.
Saturday.
Feels like …
December 9th.

Chance of Rain/Snow

A chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny.

Chance of precipitation is 40%.

and

40 degrees , 4:24
sunset.
Saturday Night.
Feels like …
December 7th.

Mostly Cloudy

Mostly cloudy.

and

25 degrees , 7:18
sunrise.
Sunday.
Feels like …
December 22nd.

Partly Sunny

Partly sunny.

and

36 degrees , 4:25
sunset.

Daily Update – December 12, 2022

Good morning! Monday’s come back around again. 🌨

That is with a blanket of snow. I guess it came yesterday, but I was very lazy and didn’t get out at all yesterday, just looking out my window in despair at all the cold and snow coming down. And we might get even more come the weekend. Maybe a big one. I should think about getting out my skis, as I may take next week off and might camp for a few days and do skiing. Depends on how much snow.

Clouds and 26 degrees in Delmar. 🌧 There is a north breeze at 8 mph. πŸƒ. There are 5 inches of snow on the ground. β˜ƒ ️Things will start to thaw out at around noontime. 🌑️

Yesterday, I should have gone out to Five Rivers 🌨 but it started to snow early and I had very little interest in going out. Everything just seemed so cold, after spending three cold days in the Adirondacks. πŸ• It was nice getting out of town but it was very cold, especially in the morning. I do wish I had hot tented rather then sleeping in the unheated truck camper. πŸ›Œ Under the covers was fine but the cold in the morning, was well cold. ❄️

Came home on Saturday, 🌀 in part because I was sunburnt with the cold and I needed to head into town at any rate to check if I had to report to jury duty this week. πŸ‘©‍βš–οΈ Fortunately, no. I probably could have camped another night, but I didn’t want to drive home in the snow, which had already started by the time I got up on Sunday morning. β›Ί

It was a nice weekend up north β›„ but it was cold. Not windy, which helped but the mercury dropped down to the single digits both nights. And everything was wet, then icy after the mercury dropped. The wood was wet, leading to smokey campfires. πŸ”₯ If I was smart I would have pitched a tent and hot tented but I left my carbon monoxide detector home and I didn’t want to deal with setting up and taking down a tent for two days.

Finished up my freeCodeCamp Responsive HTML Class πŸ€– on Saturday evening and started the plunge into the Javascript and ES6 code. A lot of very useful features in ES6, many things I did not know before. The RegExp section is tedious, and the same old stuff but I guess it’s a good refresher.