Politics

I wouldn’t be shocked if the Republicans end up sending a woman to the White House in 2025 🐘 👩🏼

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Donald Trump is the GOP favorite and likely to seize the presidential nomination in 2024. But, I am not really convinced that Trump will be the person that ends up in the White House come 2025. I think his legal problems, his declining health and age will keep him from returning to the White House even if the GOP can ride the wave of Joe Biden’s unpopularity back to the White House.

The truth is the GOP has a better chance of winning back the White House if not for Donald Trump. He is unpopular but so is Biden. Yet right now, Trump sucks all of the air out of the Republican primary. Trump may very well win the Republican Primary or many of the early states, but a dramatic change events leads him not to ultimately cinch the nomination. That leaves a potential opening, one that I doubt will be filled by Ron Desantis which many people view as the ultimate political faker, a stunt master of dubious political acts but who has little leadership capacity.

Who would fill this void? I am thinking a dark horse might be out there. And it might be a women, especially should Donald Trump pick somebody like South Dakota Kristi Noem as the Vice Presidential-candidate. A women leading the Republican ticket could help blunt the messaging around abortion and women’s rights, especially a strong women with working-class roots. Being a rancher and having that Western-spirit doesn’t hurt either. If Trump ultimately doesn’t win the presidency, I am sure the candidate he would most likely want to be in the White House is a hand-picked successor.

And even if it’s somebody else, a working-class (at least in appearance) women could be a very strong GOP candidate next year for President. People really don’t like elites or at least educated people who are too condescending and act like they no better then everybody else. Opposition to wokeness is likely key to winning the White House next-cycle, especially for a Republican candidate as most highly-educated people are increasingly becoming Democrats. But many don’t like that as they feel like scientists and educators too often wrap their science and education into their politics, and they want a new voice, who isn’t the traditional white male, but also doesn’t cowtoe to the establishment.

Gianaris on Republican concerns early voting by mail law

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Gianaris on Republican concerns early voting by mail law

Before the ink was dry on a series of 10 election reforms signed into law by Gov. Kathy Hochul on Wednesday, Republicans – including U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik – filed a lawsuit arguing that one of the reforms, which expands the use of mail-in balloting during the early voting period “reverses the will of the people."

That’s a reference to a 2021 ballot question expanding absentee voting that voters defeated by a margin of 55-45%.

But according to bill sponsor state Senate Deputy Majority Leader Mike Gianaris , the bill in question, the so-called "Early Mail Voting Act," is distinct from the question on the ballot in 2021.

“We’re not expanding absentee voting. We’re allowing people to vote by mail during the early voting period,” Gianaris told Capital Tonight. “The Constitution is very clear that the Legislature gets to determine the methods of voting."

The absentee process deals with people who may be absent or unavailable to get to the polls on Election Day. The statute signed into law by Hochul relates to a method of early voting.

“What we’re saying is that, as a method of early voting, which we now have in this state, you can go show up at the polls on any of those given early days, or you can vote by mail if you choose to,” explained Gianaris.

New York set to expand early voting by mail — but legal challenges are likely – Gothamist

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New York set to expand early voting by mail — but legal challenges are likely – Gothamist

The anticipated new law would allow all registered voters to request an early mail voting ballot from their local board of elections. It also requires the BOE to establish and maintain an online system where voters can apply for and track their early voting ballot applications, similar to the system already in place for voters to request an absentee ballot. Voters would then need to submit those early mail voting ballots before the polls close on Election Day.