John Boyd Thacher State Park

John Boyd Thacher State Park, is situated along the Helderberg Escarpment, one of the richest fossil-bearing formations in the world. Even as it safeguards six miles of limestone cliff-face, rock-strewn slopes, woodland and open fields, the park provides a marvelous panorama of the Hudson-Mohawk Valleys and the Adirondack and Green Mountains. The park has volleyball courts, playgrounds, ball fields and numerous picnic areas with nine reservable shelters. Interpretive programs are offered year-round, including guided tours of the famous Indian Ladder Trail. There are over 25 additional miles of trails for summer hiking and mountain biking, and winter cross-country skiing, snowshoeing, hiking, and snowmobiling.

http://nysparks.com/parks/128/

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March 10, 2023 Morning

Good morning! Yeah, it’s Friday! As they say, one month from now will be mid April and at least in the city it probably be starting greening up a bit. ๐ŸŒฟ Hello black flies.

Partly sunny and 21 degrees for the morning walk in Delmar. ๐ŸŒ… Calm wind. A little bit cool but sunny which is nice for a change. But it’s not expected to last. ๏ธThings will start to thaw out at around 9 am. ๐ŸŒก๏ธThe sun is in my eyes ๐Ÿ‘€ for the walk today though that won’t be an issue next week with the time change.

Today will have a chance of rain, mainly after 5pm. Increasing clouds ๐ŸŒž ๐Ÿ‘‰ ๐ŸŒฅ , with a high of 42 degrees at 2pm. One degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around March 8th. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. A year ago, we had mist in the morning with more sun in the afternoon. The high last year was 44 degrees. The record high of 72 was set in 1977. 5.7 inches of snow fell back in 1964.โ„

Yesterday was a Thursday and it was a busy one with a big background on my desk so edit. ๐Ÿ“„ So time went by quickly. ๐ŸŒ๐ŸŽ I eat a lot of fruit and then came home and had a small bowl of pasta with lots of green beans. And saved lots of pasta for future use. ๐ŸFinished up my 10,000 steps minimum over 50 days though ultimately I believe I walked closer to 800,000 steps ๐Ÿ‘ฃ over that time period.

Last night I was been doing some research on Kriging and election mapping though I realized it’s a bit more difficult without having the voter file geocoded and the Census household survey data not released yet from the Census for block level data. ๐Ÿ–ฅ Plus I’m actually not sure how valuable the results are as election districts are pretty small to start out. It’s going to be even harder in coming years as they’ve reduced the number of election districts to 231 from 319 in 2023.

Solar noon ๐ŸŒž is at 12:07 pm with sun having an altitude of 43.2ยฐ from the due south horizon (-27.6ยฐ vs. 6/21). A six foot person will cast a 6.4 foot shadow today compared to 2.2 feet on the first day of summer. The golden hour ๐Ÿ… starts at 5:18 pm with the sun in the west (259ยฐ). ๐Ÿ“ธ

The sunset is in the west (265ยฐ) with the sun dropping below the horizon at 5:56 pm after setting for 2 minutes and 54 seconds with dusk around 6:23 pm, which is one minute and 11 seconds later than yesterday. ๐ŸŒ‡ The best time to look at the stars is after 6:57 pm. At sunset, look out for rain showers ๐ŸŒง and temperatures around 40 degrees. There will be a northeast breeze at 5 mph. Today will have 11 hours and 42 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 53 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will rain and snow likely before 8pm, then snow. ๐ŸŒง Low of 30 degrees at 3am. Five degrees above normal, which is similar to a typical night around March 27th. North wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. In 2022, we had cloudy skies. It got down to 22 degrees. The record low of -10 occurred back in 1939.

Today in 1969, in Memphis, Tennessee, James Earl Ray pleads guilty to assassinating Martin Luther King, Jr. ๐Ÿ˜ตโ€๐Ÿ’ซ He later unsuccessfully attempts to recant.

Tomorrow will have rain showers and snow likely before 2pm, then a slight chance of rain showers between 2pm and 3pm. Cloudy ๐ŸŒง, with a high of 40 degrees at 2pm. Three degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around March 2nd. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. A year ago, we had mist in the morning with more sun in the afternoon. The high last year was 51 degrees. The record high of 70 was set in 1977. 4.1 inches of snow fell back in 1941.โ„

Looking ahead to Sunday, partly sunny, โ˜€ with a high near 44. Light northeast wind. Typical average high for the weekend is 43 degrees.

Looking ahead, next Friday is St. Patrick’s Day ๐Ÿ€ when the sun will be setting at 7:05 pm with dusk at 7:31 pm (Daylight Savings Time). That’s why the Saint Patrick’s Day parade is on Saturday of this week. On that day in 2022, we had partly cloudy, mild, rain showers and temperatures between 55 and 43 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 45 degrees. We hit a record high of 75 back in 1990.

Decided to drive down to the Hudson River after work.

March 9, 2023 Morning

Good morning! Happy Thursday. The direct drive of the week. Tomorrow we shove it down to over drive and the weekend. Mostly cloudy and 28 degrees for the morning walk in Delmar at 6:15 am. โ˜ There is a northwest breeze at 8 mph. ๐Ÿƒ. There is a dusting of snow on the ground. โ˜ƒ ๏ธThings will start to thaw out at around 9 am. ๐ŸŒก๏ธ

And so the cycle repeats. ๐Ÿ”ด Like a red rubber ball. Cold start to the morning but it’s still March. Going to be so dark come next week but I’ve already been practicing getting to bed ๐Ÿ› earlier. Today assuming that I finish up my 10,000 steps ๐Ÿ‘ฃ it will mark a 50 day straight run of walking my goal ๐Ÿฅ… though most days I beat my goal. Session day but I was out walking ๐Ÿšถ early and there is no reason why I can’t do an evening walk ๐ŸŒƒ too.

Today will be mostly cloudy ๐ŸŒฅ, with a high of 40 degrees at 3pm. Three degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around March 2nd. Northwest wind around 10 mph. A year ago, we had cloudy skies in the morning, which became light snow by afternoon. The high last year was 35 degrees. The record high of 81 was set in 2016. 6.9 inches of snow fell back in 1961.โ„

I don’t think it will reach into the eighties today, ๐Ÿ– but I remember those days well and the big ol fire ๐Ÿ”ฅ I had up at Burnt Rossman that weekend. It was beautiful weekend that week, no snow and not bone dry either as it rained a few days before.

Solar noon ๐ŸŒž is at 12:07 pm with sun having an altitude of 42.8ยฐ from the due south horizon (-28ยฐ vs. 6/21). A six foot person will cast a 6.5 foot shadow today compared to 2.2 feet on the first day of summer. The golden hour ๐Ÿ… starts at 5:17 pm with the sun in the west-southwest (258ยฐ). ๐Ÿ“ธ

I was annoyed that the remaining oranges I had bought ๐ŸŠ just this week went soft and moldy by Wednesday. I checked them at the store ๐Ÿฌ and they were good there. Two weeks in a row, once at Wally World and the other at Hannaford. I guess I need pigs ๐Ÿฝ and chickens ๐Ÿ” to eat them. Regardless, I think they must be getting out of season. I have sufficient apples ๐Ÿ and bananas ๐ŸŒ at work to make it through the week though and frozen fruit at home. I missed the farmers market this week to get potatoes ๐Ÿฅ” and mushrooms ๐Ÿ„ yesterday which is annoying.

The sunset is in the west (265ยฐ) with the sun dropping below the horizon at 5:55 pm after setting for 2 minutes and 54 seconds with dusk around 6:22 pm, which is one minute and 12 seconds later than yesterday. ๐ŸŒ‡ The best time to look at the stars is after 6:55 pm. At sunset, look for mostly cloudy skies โ˜ and temperatures around 38 degrees. There will be a north-northwest breeze at 8 mph. Today will have 11 hours and 42 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 53 seconds over yesterday.

I finally fixed the button on my salmon pink dress shirt ๐Ÿ‘šthat popped off in January. I didn’t have any needles I could find ๐Ÿชก and then I got busy and forgot about it as I had recently bought additional shirts but I kind of like that shirt.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy ๐ŸŒฅ, with a low of 25 degrees at 6am. One degree above normal, which is similar to a typical night around March 11th. North wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. In 2022, we had light snow in the evening, which became mist by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 20 degrees. The record low of 0 occurred back in 1996.

Today in 1959, Barbie doll makes its debut at the American International Toy Fair in New York. ๐Ÿง’ Dogs have been enjoying their heads every since. ๐Ÿถ

Right now, a split verdict on the weekend. ๐Ÿ˜• Saturday, a chance of snow, mixing with rain after 11am, then gradually ending. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. I’ll have to plan to walk early. Sunday, partly sunny, with a high near 43. About average for Sunday. Typical average high for the weekend is 43 degrees.

How the Average High is Sort of A Lie

The average high temperature reported on the news is actually a lie. ๐ŸŒก

They don’t usually report the average high but the climate normal high, which is not the average of recorded high temperatures over the past thirty years but a smoothed data set that has various adjustments to account for missing data and errors in measurements, along with suppressing other statistical anomalies like record breaking heat or cold on any one particular day.

Difference Between Climate Adjusted Average High and Actual Average High (March 1991-2020)
When they report on news the average high, it’s not what you think it is.
Day Climate Normal High 1991-2020 Highs Averaged Together 1991-2020 Difference
1 40.0 39.7 0.3
2 40.0 39.7 0.3
3 41.0 38.0 3.0
4 41.0 37.5 3.5
5 41.0 38.6 2.4
6 42.0 39.8 2.2
7 42.0 40.8 1.2
8 42.0 43.8 โˆ’1.8
9 43.0 42.8 0.2
10 43.0 43.8 โˆ’0.8
11 43.0 42.3 0.7
12 44.0 41.6 2.4
13 44.0 41.9 2.1
14 44.0 43.6 0.4
15 45.0 45.6 โˆ’0.6
16 45.0 44.0 1.0
17 45.0 44.8 0.2
18 46.0 43.5 2.5
19 46.0 44.7 1.3
20 47.0 45.8 1.2
21 47.0 45.3 1.7
22 48.0 43.5 4.5
23 48.0 42.9 5.1
24 48.0 47.1 0.9
25 49.0 48.8 0.2
26 49.0 49.0 0.0
27 50.0 51.3 โˆ’1.3
28 50.0 51.6 โˆ’1.6
29 51.0 52.4 โˆ’1.4
30 51.0 52.2 โˆ’1.2
31 52.0 53.3 โˆ’1.3
Andy Arthur, 3/6/23.
Data Source: National Weather Service, Albany.

NOAA Explains here: https://www.noaa.gov/explainers/understanding-climate-normals

So the average high is kind of like calling twinkies a food.

March 8, 2023 Morning

Good morning! What day is it? Well the as signs on the Staten Island Expressway say, Upgrade Maintain Speed. ๐Ÿ›ฃ๏ธ That and as you approach Verrazano spelled with one Z Bridge, Warning Sudden Stops. Don’t say the Triborough Authority didn’t warn you what is ahead with this week. โš 

Mostly cloudy and 26 degrees in the Delmar for the morning walk. โ˜ There is a northwest breeze at 14 mph. ๐Ÿƒ. The current wind chill is 15. There are 2 inches of snow on the ground. โ˜ƒ Continued cold and gray. ๏ธThings will start to thaw out at around 10 am. ๐ŸŒก๏ธ

I was up and walking ๐Ÿšถ at 6:05 this morning in preparation for next week when the morning is an hour earlier ๐Ÿ•’ based on the changing times of the clock. Today is a session day, so I need to iron my shirts ๐Ÿง‘๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ผ, shower ๐Ÿšฟ and catch the express downtown. If I get a minimum of 10,000 steps in today and tomorrow then it will be 50 days in a row, though most days I’ve far exceeded that number, averaging closer to 15k.

Today will be mostly cloudy ๐ŸŒฅ, with a high of 38 degrees at 2pm. Four degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around February 24th. Apparently the weather man forgot what month it Northwest wind around 14 mph. A year ago, we had mostly sunny skies in the morning, remaining cloudy in the afternoon. The high last year was 36 degrees. The record high of 68 was set in 2012. 6.5 inches of snow fell back in 2013.โ„

I figure it will be cold until it ain’t anymore. ๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ Probably go from 30 degrees to 90 degrees in like a day. Temperatures in New York State usually follow a logistic regression with the low tail cold and the high tail mad hot. ๐Ÿ˜ฐ I like wearing my vest two days a year.

Solar noon ๐ŸŒž is at 12:07 pm with sun having an altitude of 42.4ยฐ from the due south horizon (-28.4ยฐ vs. 6/21). A six foot person will cast a 6.6 foot shadow today compared to 2.2 feet on the first day of summer. The golden hour ๐Ÿ… starts at 5:16 pm with the sun in the west-southwest (258ยฐ). ๐Ÿ“ธ

The sunset is in the west (264ยฐ) with the sun dropping below the horizon at 5:53 pm after setting for 2 minutes and 55 seconds with dusk around 6:21 pm, which is one minute and 12 seconds later than yesterday. ๐ŸŒ‡ The best time to look at the stars is after 6:54 pm. At sunset, look for mostly cloudy skies โ˜ and temperatures around 37 degrees. There will be a northwest breeze at 13 mph. Tomorrow will have 11 hours and 39 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 54 seconds over today.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy ๐ŸŒฅ, with a low of 28 degrees at 4am. Four degrees above normal, which is similar to a typical night around March 21st. Northwest wind 10 to 14 mph. In 2022, we had cloudy skies in the evening, which became mostly clear by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 27 degrees. The record low of -14 occurred back in 1943.

In 1965, Thirty-five hundred United States Marines are the first American land combat forces committed during the Vietnam War. ๐Ÿช– But the war would be ramping up for several years in advance and it would stick around to the mid 1970s. It would be the nation’s longest war until the 21st century but the politicians say those wars don’t count as they were under paid volunteer government employees binded by their contracts and their colored skin and or poverty growing up.

Right now, a split verdict on the weekend. ๐Ÿ˜• Saturday, cloudy, with a high near 37. Sunday, partly sunny, with a high near 40. Typical average high for the weekend is 43 degrees. I do want to get out of town one of these weekends but probably not this weekend. But maybe Five Rivers for Saturday.

Friendly Strangers in black sedans will note that, next Wednesday is Ides of March โœ when the sun will be setting at 7:02 pm with dusk at 7:29 pm (Daylight Savings Time). On that day in 2022, we had cold weather, but mostly sunny and temperatures between 30 and 11 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 45 degrees. We hit a record high of 72 back in 2019.

Go Down

March 7, 2023 Morning

Good morning! Happy Tuesday. Partly cloudy and 29 degrees in Delmar, NY. โ›… There is a northwest breeze at 10 mph. ๐Ÿƒ. There are 5 inches of snow on the ground. โ˜ƒ ๏ธThings will start to thaw out at tomorrow around 10 am. ๐ŸŒก๏ธ

Out walking right at 6:15 AM this morning โ›… and it’s a partly cloudy, somewhat gray morning for sure. Clearing somewhat, but certainly cool with the breeze. But I’m out and getting my steps in this morning. ๐Ÿ‘ฃ Only 3 more days and I will have dun 50 days of 10,000 steps or more, with many of those days being closer to 20,000 then 10,000. The 10k goal is roughly 5 miles, while the 20k goal is 10 miles.

Today will be mostly cloudy โ›… , with a high of 32 degrees at 9am. 10 degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around January 25th. Breezy, with a northwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. A year ago, we had mostly sunny skies in the morning with sunny skies in the afternoon. The high last year was 33 degrees. The record high of 62 was set in 1974. 10.3 inches of snow fell back in 1967.โ„

Going to be a cold day today. ๐ŸŒฌ๏ธ I guess we are still in the lion ๐Ÿฆ stage of March though I will note that on March 9, 2016 it was 82 degrees fit at least a few minutes. There is hope, every minute we tick closer to April. ๐ŸŒท

Solar noon ๐ŸŒž is at 12:07 pm with sun having an altitude of 42° from the due south horizon (-28.8° vs. 6/21). A six foot person will cast a 6.7 foot shadow today compared to 2.2 feet on the first day of summer. The golden hour ๐Ÿ… starts at 5:15 pm with the sun in the west-southwest (257°). ๐Ÿ“ธ

The sunset is in the west (264°) with the sun dropping below the horizon at 5:52 pm after setting for 2 minutes and 55 seconds with dusk around 6:19 pm, which is one minute and 12 seconds later than yesterday. ๐ŸŒ‡ At dusk you’ll see the Waining Gibbous ๐ŸŒ– Moon in the east (84°) at an altitude of 3° from the horizon, 247,740 miles away. ๐Ÿš€ The best time to look at the stars is after 6:53 pm.

At sunset, look for mostly cloudy skies โ˜ and temperatures around 30 degrees. The wind chill around sunset will be 18. โ˜ƒ๏ธ Breezy, 18 mph breeze โ›… from the northwest with gusts up to 29mph. Today will have 11 hours and 36 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 53 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy ๐ŸŒ†, with a low of 23 degrees at 6am. One degree below normal, which is similar to a typical night around March 6th. Maximum wind chill around 15 at 6pm; Northwest wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Another fairly cold night. In 2022, we had clear skies in the evening, which became mostly clear by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 10 degrees. The record low of -02 occurred back in 1989.

Back in 1965, Bloody Sunday: a group of 600 civil rights marchers is brutally attacked by state and local police in Selma, Alabama. ๐Ÿคœ ๐Ÿ‘ฎ Have we made much progress? It’s mostly a lie. We’ve not made the progress on Civil Rights that the politicians claim.

The weekend has widely varying forecast. ๐Ÿคท It could rain, snow or just be cloudy. Saturday, a chance of rain and snow showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday, partly sunny, with a high near 40. Typical average high for the weekend is 43 degrees.

Looking ahead, there are 2 weeks until First Day of Spring ๐Ÿ’ฎ when the sun will be setting at 7:09 pm with dusk at 7:36 pm (Daylight Savings Time). On that day in 2022, we had sunny and temperatures between 63 and 25 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 47 degrees. We hit a record high of 78 back in 1921.

Setting Into the Clouds

March 6, 2023 Morning

Good morning! Monday’s come back around again. Mostly sunny and 34 degrees in Delmar, NY. ๐ŸŒ…There is a northwest breeze at 9 mph. ๐Ÿƒ with gusts up to 21 mph ๐Ÿ’จ๐Ÿ’จ๐Ÿ’จ. There are 7 inches of snow on the ground. โ˜ƒ ๏ธTemperatures will drop below freezing at around 8 pm. โ˜ƒ๏ธ

A pretty nice morning with a lot of sunshine โ˜€ but the wind is a bit obnoxious but the blue skies are nice for a change. Not that they are expected to last beyond today. Still mostly it will be relatively mild most of the week as spring ๐ŸŒธ approaches though a bit below normal for this part of March. Like always it will be cold until it’s no longer the case.

Today will be mostly sunny ๐ŸŒž, with a high of 41 degrees at 3pm. One degrees below normal, which is similar to a typical day around March 5th. Northwest wind 9 to 15 mph. A year ago, we had cloudy skies in the morning with a few breaks of sun the afternoon. The high last year was 25 degrees. The record high of 63 was set in 1974. 10.5 inches of snow fell back in 1887.โ„

It should be a nice Monday, โ˜บ even if I do have to work ๐Ÿข in my office downtown. I should be able to get in quite a few steps in ๐Ÿ‘ฃ and do my best to enjoy the day. Not a session day until Wednesday ๐Ÿง‘๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ผ but also not a pay week. But since I’ve been eating healthier and less my food bills have been less. ๐Ÿ I put in $40 in fuel โ›ฝ in my truck and did a four minute wash ๐Ÿšฟ yesterday but it will be parked ๐Ÿ…ฟ until Sunday so I’m not going to be burning fuel.

Solar noon ๐ŸŒž is at 12:08 pm with sun having an altitude of 41.7ยฐ from the due south horizon (-29.2ยฐ vs. 6/21). A six foot person will cast a 6.7 foot shadow today compared to 2.2 feet on the first day of summer. The golden hour ๐Ÿ… starts at 5:13 pm with the sun in the west-southwest (257ยฐ). ๐Ÿ“ธ

The plan for today is to walk ๐Ÿšถ in Washington Park at lunch time and then in the evening to maximize my steps. ๐Ÿ‘ฃ Going to be a nice day by March standards but it would nice if it was a bit warmer and less snow and mud on the ground. Spring will come eventually.

The sunset is in the west (263ยฐ) with the sun dropping below the horizon at 5:51 pm after setting for 2 minutes and 55 seconds with dusk around 6:18 pm, which is one minute and 13 seconds later than yesterday. ๐ŸŒ‡ At dusk you’ll see the Full ๐ŸŒ Moon in the east (86ยฐ) at an altitude of 14ยฐ from the horizon, 249,751 miles away. ๐Ÿš€ The best time to look at the stars is after 6:52 pm. At sunset, look for partly clear skies ๐ŸŒ„ and temperatures around 38 degrees. There will be a northwest breeze at 13 mph. Today will have 11 hours and 30 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 53 seconds over yesterday.

I am bringing in a big load of fresh fruit for my office ๐Ÿ as I was running low by the second half of the week last week. Usually keep the frozen fruit for home and the fresh stuff for work where I don’t have a freezer. Always like to he nibbling on it through out the day to keep my blood sugar ๐Ÿš level so I’m not so hungry and wanting a big meal when I get home. I definitely feel healthier and more level headed, not sure if I slimmed down much but like anything it’s a journey and it takes time.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy ๐ŸŒฅ, with a low of 24 degrees at 5am. One degree above normal, which is similar to a typical night around March 8th. Northwest wind 9 to 11 mph. In 2022, we had cloudy skies in the evening, which became mostly clear by the early hours of the morning. It got down to 15 degrees. The record low of -6 occurred back in 1950.

Today in 1857, Supreme Court of the United States rules in the Dred Scott v. Sandford case. โš–๏ธ After the Civil War it was overruled much like Row v Wade was. ๐Ÿคฑ I don’t like the abortion promotion industry or sex outside of marriage and procreation or the disposablity of life. But whatever. I’m more okay with gas stations selling abortion pills or grocery stores but not in glossy cases with television commercials between Saturday children shows.

Not a particularly nice weekend on tap. ๐Ÿ˜ž Saturday, a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Sunday, a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Typical average high for the weekend is 43 degrees.

Looking ahead, there are 5 weeks until 8 PM Dusk ๐ŸŒ† when the sun will be setting at 7:32 pm with dusk at 8:00 pm (Daylight Savings Time). On that day in 2022, we had partly cloudy, warm and temperatures between 74 and 49 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 57 degrees. We hit a record high of 86 back in 1922.

 Rocks Were Falling