Fewer trips planned this summer ⛺

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Fewer trips planned this summer ⛺

This summer I have significantly fewer trips planned for several reasons:

  • Gas prices and inflation make traveling a lot more expensive with my Big Jacked Up Truck – to say nothing of rising food and beer prices.
  • I’m trying to cut expenses and put away more money, especially with the stock market down, so I have more ability to grow my savings and buy land eventually.
  • Work demands, as a Deputy Director means I’m a lot more busy and need to be available especially as we head into the busy fall season.
  • I do too much hard drinking, eating unhealthy foods and laying around in the sun when camping and it’s much healthier to stay home and walk out to Five Rivers.
  • I’m trying to save miles on Big Red so I can get a few more years out of him.

I didn’t get out of town at all in May and only one trip in April. Burnt Rossman and the Mine Kill State Park pool and other Schoharie attractions aren’t that far but with gas prices these days even that ain’t cheap.

But here is what I’m thinking summer/autumn will look like for me:

  • Mid July – Piseco-Powley and the Potholers when actually hot out
  • Late July / Early August – Finger Lakes National Forest and state parks but maybe not every day on vacation due to gas prices and inflation
  • Late August – Piseco Powley, some hiking. Unless I have to remote work on that vacation, then maybe Spectulator – Mason Lake or Old Route 8B if repaired
  • September – not sure if I will get away
  • October – Stoney Pond, Cazenovia
  • November – Maybe an autumn trip after Election Day but probably not with gas prices. Maybe something shorter close to home. Not sure if I’ll hunt this fall

Camp

Why the Father of Modern Statistics Didn’t Believe Smoking Caused Cancer – Priceonomics

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Why the Father of Modern Statistics Didn’t Believe Smoking Caused Cancer – Priceonomics

In the summer of 1957, Ronald Fisher, one of the fathers of modern statistics, sat down to write a strongly worded letter in defense of tobacco.

The letter was addressed to the British Medical Journal, which, just a few weeks earlier, had taken the editorial position that smoking cigarettes causes lung cancer. According to the journal’s editorial board, the time for amassing evidence and analyzing data was over. Now, they wrote, “all the modern devices of publicity” should be used to inform the public about the perils of tobacco.

According to Fisher, this was nothing short of statistically illiterate fear mongering. Surely the danger posed to the smoking masses was “not the mild and soothing weed,” he wrote, “but the organized creation of states of frantic alarm.”

Fisher was a well-known hothead (and an inveterate pipe smoker), but the letter and the resulting debate, which lasted until his death in 1962, was taken as a serious critique by the scientific community. After all, Ronald A. Fisher had spent much of his career devising ways to mathematically evaluate causal claims—claims exactly like the one that the British Medical Journal was making about smoking and cancer. Along the way, he had revolutionized the way that biological scientists conduct experiments and analyze data.

And yet we know how this debate ends. On one of the most significant public health questions of the 20th century, Fisher got it wrong.

I often think it’s silly how worked up people get about politics

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I often think it’s silly how worked up people get about politics. The fact is, as an individual, you don’t have a lot of control over the political system. You are as much of a victim of politics as everyone else is in the public. However, you real power in your own life choices, be it the community you choose to live in, the lifestyle you choose and the people you choose to associate with day to day.

Cortland, Broome counties watching water sources after tractor spills contents on Route 81 | WSTM

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Cortland, Broome counties watching water sources after tractor spills contents on Route 81 | WSTM

CORTLAND COUNTY, N.Y. — The Cortland County Health Department, Broome County, and Village of Marathon were all notified Thursday to monitor their water sources after an overturned tractor-trailer on the Route 81 Northbound overpass spilled its contents into the roadway and into Tioughnioga River Wednesday night.

When Cortland Fire crews arrived on the scene near Yaman Park around 7:30 p.m., they found that three containers had been thrown from the wreckage into the Tioughnioga River.

Crews say they began to identify and contain the cargo while the driver was evaluated for his injuries and his dog was rescued from the wreckage.

The substances spilled by the tractor-trailer were found to be oil-based herbicides and a surfactant, which is used to help the herbicides spread and stick to surfaces.

Weather Update – June 24, 2022

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Sunny and hot weekend ahead 🏖

The summer muggers will be upon us this weekend, but then rain showers and a front will approach Monday bringing cooler, less humid weather for the work week before the Independence Day Weekend. I haven’t decided if I will head out of town for Independence Day — it is a three day weekend, might be fun if I could tack an additional day on it. Maybe Schoharie or maybe up north, all depends on the weather.

Today.
Feels like …
July 4th.

Decreasing Clouds

Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny.

West wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the morning.

and

 83 degrees , 63 max dew point, 8:38
sunset.
Tonight.
Feels like …
June 22nd.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

Calm wind.

and

 59 degrees , 5:17
sunrise.
Saturday.
Hot !

Sunny

Sunny.

Calm wind.

and

 89 degrees , 61 max dew point, 8:38
sunset.
Saturday Night.
Feels like …
July 15th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

Light and variable wind.

and

 63 degrees , 62 max dew point, 5:17
sunrise.
Sunday.
Muggy !

Hot

Mostly sunny and hot.

Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon.

and

 92 degrees , 65 max dew point, 8:39
sunset.
Sunday Night.
Hot !

Slight Chance of T-storms then Showers is likely

A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Mostly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

and

 65 degrees , 64 max dew point, 5:18
sunrise.
Monday.
Feels like …
June 8th.

Showers is likely

Showers likely, mainly before 2pm. Mostly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 60%.

and

 77 degrees , 65 max dew point, 8:39
sunset.
Monday Night.
Feels like …
June 5th.

Chance of Showers then Partly Cloudy

A chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

 54 degrees , 5:18
sunrise.
Tuesday.
Feels like …
June 4th.

Mostly Sunny

Mostly sunny.

 

and

 76 degrees , 51 max dew point, 8:38
sunset.
Tuesday Night.
Feels like …
June 1st.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

 

and

 53 degrees , 5:18
sunrise.
Wednesday.
Feels like …
July 4th.

Sunny

Sunny.

 

and

 83 degrees , 54 max dew point, 8:38
sunset.
Wednesday Night.
Feels like …
June 15th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

 

and

 57 degrees , 5:19
sunrise.
Thursday.
Hot !

Sunny

Sunny.

 

and

 87 degrees , 57 max dew point, 8:38
sunset.