Needless to say, Trump the felon is winning
Right now when you look at the Real Clear Politics averages both natonally and for swing-states, it’s pretty clear that if the election was held today, Donald Trump would be our next President.
Election 2024 | Trump | Biden | Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Poll Average | 46.1 | 44.9 | Trump +1.2 | |
5-Way RCP Average | 41.5 | 38.8 | Trump +2.7 | |
Top Battlegrounds | 47.7 | 44.6 | Trump +3.1 |
That said, Election Day is still six months off and a lot can change between now and then. But Biden has a long road ahead of him, and it’s going to be a steep one. While he’s still competitive and a lot can change over the next six months, the danger he faces is he’s the current incumbent and he’s the one who inevitably is where the buck stops — even if he’s not fully to blame for inflation, crime, or the many woes of our country today.