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Weather Update – August 8, 2022

A few more days of the hot and sultry weather 😅

I missed the worse of the most recent heat wave while I was out in the Finger Lakes, although the weekend was still hot but nothing like the mugginess and misery of Albany. But my office is air conditioned and by the evening when I get home it should have cooled down a bit. Hopefully it won’t be so hot when I have to go to the laundromat later tonight. At least it gets dark early now, back east, so that should help make the heat break earlier. Weekend currently looks real nice. I did bring my rain coat today.

Today.
Muggy !

Sunny then Scattered T-storms

Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Sunny and hot.

Heat index values as high as 99. South wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

and

94 degrees , 74 max dew point, 8:08
sunset.
Tonight.
Muggy !

Scattered T-storms

Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Mostly cloudy.

South wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

and

75 degrees , 72 max dew point, 5:54
sunrise.
Tuesday.
Muggy !

Heavy Rain

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then showers likely between 8am and 11am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 11am. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Partly sunny.

South wind around 7 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

and

86 degrees , 74 max dew point, 8:07
sunset.
Tuesday Night.
Muggy !

Chance of T-storms then Slight Chance of Showers

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a slight chance of showers between 11pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy.

Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

and

64 degrees , 69 max dew point, 5:55
sunrise.
Wednesday.
Feels like …
August 14th.

Partly Sunny then Slight Chance of Showers

A slight chance of showers

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after 2pm. Mostly sunny.

Light north wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

and

82 degrees , 65 max dew point, 8:05
sunset.
Wednesday Night.
Feels like …
July 15th.

Slight Chance of Showers

A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 20%.

and

63 degrees , 64 max dew point, 5:56
sunrise.
Thursday.
Hot !

Mostly Sunny

Mostly sunny.

 

and

87 degrees , 63 max dew point, 8:04
sunset.
Thursday Night.
Feels like …
August 13th.

Mostly Cloudy

Mostly cloudy.

 

and

61 degrees , 62 max dew point, 5:57
sunrise.
Friday.
Feels like …
September 5th.

Mostly Sunny

Mostly sunny.

 

and

78 degrees , 60 max dew point, 8:03
sunset.
Friday Night.
Feels like …
September 6th.

Partly Cloudy

Partly cloudy.

 

and

56 degrees , 5:58
sunrise.
Saturday.
Feels like …
September 5th.

Sunny

Sunny.

 

and

78 degrees , 55 max dew point, 8:01
sunset.
Saturday Night.
Feels like …
September 9th.

Partly Cloudy

Partly cloudy.

 

and

55 degrees , 5:59
sunrise.
Sunday.
Feels like …
August 28th.

Sunny

Sunny.

 

and

80 degrees , 56 max dew point, 8:00
sunset.

Statistics and my summer reading program 📖

Statistics and my summer reading program 📖

A big portion of my summer reading program this year has focused on reading books about statistical analysis. It’s very easy to get mislead by numbers but being able to accurately extract meaning from data is important for all facets of life – what choices you make daily, what decisions you make at work and at play.

I am trying to make better life choices, not be wrapped up in emotions or other things that can lead you astray. I want to think clearly and make good rational decisions based on the evidence and relative risk and benefits of actions.

The interesting thing about the abortion debate ðŸĪą

The interesting thing about the abortion debate ðŸĪą

The people who you here most passionate about abortion are those who can’t have an abortion – because they are too old to get pregnant.

Maybe it’s because they remember the time before abortion was legal but it also may be because retirees have much more free time to watch the talking heads and follow the news more carefully.

Of course indigestion isn’t that good of a motivating force. When you don’t have skin in the game, you can he angry but you have nothing ultimately to loose.

Tonight at Sunset – July 25, 2022

Tonight at Sunset 🌇

At sunset, look for partly clear skies 🌄 and temperatures around 76 degrees. The dew point will be 59 degrees. There will be a northwest breeze at 9 mph.

Solar noon 🌞 is at 1:03 pm with sun having an altitude of 67° from the due south horizon (-3.8° vs. 6/21). A six foot person will cast a 2.5 foot shadow today compared to 2.2 feet on the first day of summer. The golden hour 🏅 starts at 7:43 pm with the sun in the west-northwest (291°). ðŸ“ļ The sunset is in the west-northwest (298°) with the sun dropping below the horizon at 8:24 pm after setting for 3 minutes and 16 seconds with dusk around 8:55 pm, which is 58 seconds earlier than yesterday. 🌇 The best time to look at the stars is after 9:38 pm.

Tonight will have a Waining Crescent 🌘 Moon with 9% illuminated. At 6 AM, the moon was in the east (84°) at an altitude of 34° from the horizon, some 251,670 miles away from where you are looking up from the earth. 🚀 At the state speed limit of 55 mph, you’ll make it there by February 1st. Buckle up for safety! 💚 The moon will set in the borthwest (308°) at 6:42 pm. The Strugeon ðŸĄ Moon is on Tuesday, August 9.

Weather Update – July 25, 2022

Some brief relief ☚ïļ

The emphasis is brief relief tonight into tomorrow.  Wednesday won’t be too hot and humid but then the muggers will return for Thursday into my vacation. But slowly but surely I’m creeping towards vacation, and if it’s hot and humid, I’ll just spend a lot of time in various gorges and pools swimming out in the Finger Lakes. I am not inclined to bring my kayak, though that could change as time goes by. That said, it seems like the heat wave is done for now. It wasn’t a particularly nice weekend gone by with the heat.

It’s gotten late enough into the year now, we’ve switched to comparing to autumn days to spring days — so a cool day might be expressed now in how much things feel like late August or early September. We also have lost a noticeable amount of time — 13 minutes in the evening, and will daylight quicker as August proceeds. That said, all

Today.
Muggy !

Heavy Rain

Showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 10am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.

Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. South wind 8 to 13 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

and

86 degrees , 71 max dew point, 8:24
sunset.
Tonight.
Feels like …
August 26th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming calm after midnight.

and

59 degrees , 5:39
sunrise.
Tuesday.
Feels like …
August 14th.

Mostly Sunny

Mostly sunny.

West wind 3 to 8 mph.

and

82 degrees , 58 max dew point, 8:23
sunset.
Tuesday Night.
Feels like …
August 30th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

Northwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.

and

58 degrees , 5:40
sunrise.
Wednesday.
Hot !

Mostly Sunny

Mostly sunny.

Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.

and

85 degrees , 60 max dew point, 8:22
sunset.
Wednesday Night.
Muggy !

Slight Chance of Showers

A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 20%.

and

65 degrees , 65 max dew point, 5:41
sunrise.
Thursday.
Muggy !

Mostly Sunny then Chance of T-storms

A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

88 degrees , 68 max dew point, 8:21
sunset.
Thursday Night.
Hot !

Chance of T-storms then Mostly Cloudy

A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Mostly cloudy.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

65 degrees , 64 max dew point, 5:42
sunrise.
Friday.
Feels like …
July 15th.

Chance of Showers

A chance of showers. Mostly sunny.

Chance of precipitation is 30%.

and

84 degrees , 65 max dew point, 8:20
sunset.
Friday Night.
Feels like …
August 20th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

 

and

60 degrees , 5:44
sunrise.
Saturday.
Feels like …
July 15th.

Mostly Sunny

Mostly sunny.

 

and

84 degrees , 60 max dew point, 8:19
sunset.
Saturday Night.
Feels like …
August 20th.

Mostly Clear

Mostly clear.

 

and

60 degrees , 5:45
sunrise.
Sunday.
Hot !

Sunny

Sunny.

 

and

88 degrees , 61 max dew point, 8:18
sunset.

Daily Update – July 25, 2022

Good morning! The Monday before vacation. 🏖

It seems like that thunderstorm was gone before it barely even started. It was so quick, enough for me to cancel my morning walk, though what for I’m not sure. I did step outside for a while  before the thunderstorm and the nice cool breeze was nice. But now it’s just humid, damp and yucky.

Rain and a very brief thunderstorm and 72 degrees in Delmar, NY. ⛈ There is a south breeze at 8 mph. 🍃. The dew point is 68 degrees. The skies will clear around 4 pm.

Kind of a muggy, cloudy, icky morning. 🌧 Maybe not quite as hot and humid as yesterday, but still hardly nice. That said, yesterday was pretty much awful, I ended up staying home next to either the fan by my computer or laying on my bed. Learned a lot of new techniques though for manipulating geo-spatial data 🌍 in R — I actually posted that peak finding algorithm I developed yesterday early this morning.

Dropping Big Red off this morning to have the wheel bearing put in. 🔧 Most of the noise was the loose hub cap, but I’m still pretty sure that bearing is on its way out too. ðŸ›ŧ Worth it to get fixed for peace of mind — which ain’t free. ðŸĪŠ It would cost a lot more if I burned it up on vacation and had to get towed. I know what a bad wheel bearing sounds like from recent experience, and while it might not be grinding yet or the wheel falling clear off the truck, it’s clearly on it’s way to getting that point with the squeaking the curves and when abused. I make good money, and keeping the truck running well is better then having to buy a new one.

I should have my truck by mid-day I’m hoping so I can get it at lunch time, and hopefully not have to leave work early today. 🕛 It was stupid to leave work early on Friday, as I never ended up even driving my truck over the weekend, as it was hot — and I didn’t go anywhere because of the wheel bearing but mostly because it was hot and my parents didn’t have power yesterday due to a heat-related black out. Never lost power at my house. 🔌

Other then that, I want to take the relief from the heat and humidity over the next few days 😅 to get ready for vacation. My goal is to have everything packed Thursday night, run to the laundromat and be rolling by Friday morning by 7 AM. I want to top off my propane tank, ðŸŪ as it’s been a few camping trip since I last filled it but I am thinking I can do that along the way, maybe in Greene, NY. I would do Oneonta, but I the Tractor Supply is ways off the expressway. I might stop in Oneonta though to go to Dicks as have a gift card and want to buy another cast iron frying pan.

That said, I don’t want to make too many stops on my way out to the Finger Lakes, 🏕 as my goal is to get there early and set up camp where I want to stay both weekends. The earlier I leave the more likely I get the campsite I truly want before the after-work crowd arrives for the weekend. I just want to be all set for the weekend, have camp fully set up and can relax. Saturday I want to have all day, especially if it’s hot to spend swimming 🏊‍♀ïļ and taking advantage of ice cream ðŸĶ and other activities. Already thinking about what I will eat at the Glen Dairy Bar.

 

Upcoming Moon Cycles

Upcoming Moon Phases:

Day Month Day Phase Moon-Rise Moon-Set
Thursday July 28 Waining Crescent 🌘 Sunday 11:17 pm
east-northeast
64°
Sunday 10:51 am
west-northwest
295°
DOW Month Day Phase Moon-Rise Moon-Set
Friday July 29 New 🌚
Tuesday August 2 Waxing Crescent 🌒 Friday 2:36 am
east-northeast
68°
Friday 2:58 pm
west-northwest
290°
Saturday August 6 First Quarter 🌓 Tuesday 5:34 am
east
88°
Tuesday 5:54 pm
west
269°
Tuesday August 9 Waxing Gibbous 🌔 Friday 7:56 am
east-southeast
106°
Friday 8:22 pm
west-southwest
251°
Saturday August 13 Strugeon ðŸĄ Full 🌝 east-southeast
117°
west-southwest
244°
Tuesday August 16 Waining Gibbous 🌖 Friday 2:54 pm
east-southeast
106°
Friday 2:26 am
west-southwest
251°
Saturday August 20 Last Quarter 🌗 Tuesday 6:03 pm
east
82°
Tuesday 5:40 am
west
275°
Tuesday August 23 Waining Crescent 🌘 Friday 8:22 pm
east-northeast
68°
Friday 7:57 am
west-northwest
291°
DOW Month Day Phase Moon-Rise Moon-Set
Saturday August 27 New 🌚
Wednesday August 31 Waxing Crescent 🌒 Saturday 2:02 am
east-northeast
75°
Saturday 2:24 pm
west-northwest
283°
Sunday September 4 First Quarter 🌓 Wednesday 4:58 am
east
98°
Wednesday 5:21 pm
west-southwest
259°
Thursday September 8 Waxing Gibbous 🌔 Sunday 8:38 am
east-southeast
117°
Sunday 9:09 pm
west-southwest
243°
Sunday September 11 Harvest ðŸŒ― Full 🌝 east-southeast
113°
west-southwest
249°
Wednesday September 14 Waining Gibbous 🌖 Saturday 2:25 pm
east
97°
Saturday 2:00 am
west
260°
Sunday September 18 Last Quarter 🌗 Wednesday 5:29 pm
east-northeast
73°
Wednesday 5:05 am
west-northwest
284°
Thursday September 22 Waining Crescent 🌘 Sunday 8:46 pm
east-northeast
63°
Sunday 8:17 am
west-northwest
297°
DOW Month Day Phase Moon-Rise Moon-Set
Monday September 26 New 🌚
Friday September 30 Waxing Crescent 🌒 Monday 2:07 am
east
90°
Monday 2:28 pm
west
267°
Tuesday October 4 First Quarter 🌓 Friday 5:24 am
east-southeast
112°
Friday 5:52 pm
west-southwest
246°
Friday October 7 Waxing Gibbous 🌔 Monday 8:32 am
east-southeast
117°
Monday 9:02 pm
west-southwest
244°
Monday October 10 Hunter ðŸđ Full 🌝 east-southeast
105°
west-southwest
258°
Friday October 14 Waining Gibbous 🌖 Monday 2:37 pm
east
80°
Monday 2:13 am
west
277°
Tuesday October 18 Last Quarter 🌗 Friday 5:49 pm
east-northeast
64°
Friday 5:22 am
west-northwest
295°
Saturday October 22 Waining Crescent 🌘 Tuesday 9:08 pm
east-northeast
67°
Tuesday 8:43 am
west-northwest
294°
DOW Month Day Phase Moon-Rise Moon-Set
Wednesday October 26 New 🌚
Sunday October 30 Waxing Crescent 🌒 Wednesday 2:20 am
east-southeast
106°
Wednesday 2:45 pm
west-southwest
252°
Wednesday November 2 First Quarter 🌓 Saturday 5:13 am
east-southeast
117°
Saturday 5:44 pm
west-southwest
243°
Saturday November 5 Waxing Gibbous 🌔 Tuesday 8:21 am
east-southeast
112°
Tuesday 8:49 pm
west-southwest
250°
Wednesday November 9 Beaver ðŸŧ Full 🌝 east
89°
west
274°
Saturday November 12 Waining Gibbous 🌖 Tuesday 1:04 pm
east-northeast
72°
Tuesday 12:39 am
west-northwest
286°
Wednesday November 16 Last Quarter 🌗 Saturday 4:24 pm
east-northeast
63°
Saturday 3:57 am
west-northwest
297°
Monday November 21 Waining Crescent 🌘 Thursday 8:16 pm
east
79°
Thursday 7:53 am
west-northwest
283°