Seasons

August

The final month of summer has arrived. It’s the warmest and most mature month, and meadows run their wildest. The nights are not as long as previous months, and while it’s often hot and humid in the day, the nights start to have little hints of a fall chill that’s certain to come next month.

August is the time of Altamont fair and many people’s vacations. It will be time of sitting out and soaking up the sun, of long days out in the canoe, and climbing mountains in the early morning. They’ll be nights sitting around the campfire drinking beer and whisky, watching flames as the burn towards the sky.

Swimming Hole

August can be a lazy month. The last of the summertime season, the last time we are laid back before our youth go to school, and before things get more serious at work as people’s vacations end. The heat makes some outdoor activities challenging, so we choose to lay back.

There will be plenty of warm days in September, but it won’t be as much summer as the month of August will be. It will be different. September will see many of the final harvests of the year, our society’s agricultural bounty, and the signs of fall. Much hope and sadness we enter that month.

Lightning Strike Melted This Ford Super Duty’s Interior | The Drive

Lightning Strike Melted This Ford Super Duty’s Interior | The Drive

In case you've never seen a car get hit by lightning, it's pretty violent. I doubt there's any such thing as a gentle lightning strike, but when there are lots of electrical systems and metal involved, it only gets more dramatic. The aftermath of such an incident is rarely seen, but we've got exactly that with pictures of this toasty Ford Super Duty.

From the outside, it just looks like a cracked windshield; really, though, it's way more. A view from the driver's seat shows a blackened and melted mess with that same windshield severely scorched. Luckily, as the original poster Eric Wilkinson explained to The Drive, the truck was unoccupied when it happened.

Man on Fire

Man on Fire

For his entire life, Charles Moore sought to heed God’s call to change a broken world—fighting passionately for civil rights, helping the poor, and feeding the hungry. Until one day, in a desolate parking lot in Grand Saline, he decided he hadn’t done enough.

10 weeks until autumn

10 weeks until autumn … πŸ‚

Average High – 72 degrees
Daylight – 12 hours, 9 minutes
Sunrise – 6:43 AM
Sunset – 6:52 PM, which is 1 hour 39 minutes earlier then tonight

More Choppiness

Survivorship bias – Wikipedia

Survivorship bias – Wikipedia

Survivorship bias or survival bias is the logical error of concentrating on the people or things that made it past some selection process and overlooking those that did not, typically because of their lack of visibility. This can lead to some false conclusions in several different ways. It is a form of selection bias.

Survivorship bias can lead to overly optimistic beliefs because failures are ignored, such as when companies that no longer exist are excluded from analyses of financial performance. It can also lead to the false belief that the successes in a group have some special property, rather than just coincidence (correlation "proves" causality). For example, if three of the five students with the best college grades went to the same high school, that can lead one to believe that the high school must offer an excellent education when, in fact, it may be just a much larger school instead. This can be better understood by looking at the grades of all the other students from that high school, not just the ones who made the top-five selection process.

Another example of a distinct mode of survivorship bias would be thinking that an incident was not as dangerous as it was because everyone communicated with afterwards survived. Even if one knew that some people are dead, they would not have their voice to add to the conversation, leading to bias in the conversation.

Nostalgia is grounded in survivorship bias. Things weren't better back then, despite what you might think. Just the bad things from bad then didn't stick around.