Politics

How To Make Polls Better

How To Make Polls Better

12/3/20 by FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News, Nate Silver

Web player: https://podcastaddict.com/episode/116066212
Episode: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/traffic.megaphone.fm/ESP3484071767.mp3

Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them.

In Rural Hispanic Counties, Vote Moved toward Trump – Daily Yonder

Analysis: In Rural Hispanic Counties, Vote Moved toward Trump – Daily Yonder

Popular punditry identifies Hispanic and Latino voters as reliably Democratic blocs. But there appears to be more diversity of opinion among these voters, especially in rural areas.

I always thought that Hispanics were fairly conservative as many are conservative catholics and plus most of the Hispanics I've known over the years were rural, farm worker types. In more recent years I've met more urban Hispanics which are certainly more liberal economically but maybe not so much on issues like abortion. But then again, not all Hispanics are catholic. 

John Birch Society | American organization | Britannica

John Birch Society | American organization | Britannica

John Birch Society, private organization founded in the United States on Dec. 9, 1958, by Robert H.W. Welch, Jr. (1899–1985), a retired Boston candy manufacturer, for the purpose of combating communism and promoting various ultraconservative causes. The name derives from John Birch, an American Baptist missionary and U.S. Army intelligence officer who was killed by Chinese communists on Aug. 25, 1945, making him, in the society’s view, the first hero of the Cold War.

Happy 62nd birthday to the John Birch Society, unless of course your a fan of William F. Buckley. In your guts, you know they're nuts. You might celebrate by dipping Junior Mints candy in your coffee, the product Robert HW Welsh is most famous for manufacturing.

How The 2020 Election Changed The Electoral Map | FiveThirtyEight

How The 2020 Election Changed The Electoral Map | FiveThirtyEight

Biden was able to win these three states by improving on Clinton’s margins in predominantly suburban and exurban counties around big cities like Detroit, Milwaukee and Philadelphia, where more white voters with a college degree backed the Democratic presidential ticket — a trend that was true across the country. In fact, it was thanks to gains in these types of places that Biden was able to offset Trump’s otherwise much stronger performance in rural areas, as well as Trump’s slight improvement in the city of Philadelphia proper. Case in point: Even though Biden is on track to win by a slightly larger national margin than Barack Obama in 2012, his margins in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were much smaller than Obama’s in 2012.

Administration officials alarmed by White House push to fast track lucrative 5G spectrum contract, sources say – CNNPolitics

Administration officials alarmed by White House push to fast track lucrative 5G spectrum contract, sources say – CNNPolitics

Senior officials throughout various departments and agencies of the Trump administration tell CNN they are alarmed at White House pressure to grant what would essentially be a no-bid contract to lease the Department of Defense's mid-band spectrum -- premium real estate for the booming and lucrative 5G market -- to Rivada Networks, a company in which prominent Republicans and supporters of President Donald Trump have investments.

The pressure campaign to fast track Rivada's "Request for Proposal" (RFP) by using authorities that would preclude a competitive bidding process intensified in September, and has been led by White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, who was acting at Trump's behest, sources with knowledge tell CNN. To push his case, Meadows has sometimes used as his proxy an individual identified by sources in the telecommunications industry as a top financial management official in the US Army.

Sources tell CNN that Trump was encouraged to help Rivada by Fox News commentator and veteran GOP strategist Karl Rove, a lobbyist for, and investor in, Rivada.

Untold billions are at stake. A government auction of 70 megahertz of spectrum in August went for more than $4.5 billion. The Rivada bid would be for 350 megahertz of spectrum -- five times that amount.

Troupe

I don’t understand why the President is so opposed to theater 🎭 and calling for “troupe reductions in foreign lands”.

Is it really our business on what people go in other countries for entertainment?

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1336318760106471424