Moving to Pennsylvania ?

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The past few months I’ve been writing down my thoughts on moving to different states when I eventually are in a place to become a land owner and an off grid home. Pennsylvania is an interesting option, especially in the Pennsylvania wild region (North-Central PA) but I have to admit as much as I liked my trips down there, I also have a lot of questions about the state’s future.

Narrow Road

I’ve always liked Pennsylvania as the rural towns have kind of a backwards charm to them. I think the state has a very strong land ethic, the state values conservation and a working landscape strongly. Pennsylvania has a very active and engaged sportsmen community, hunting, fishing and trapping are big in the state. Agriculture and forestry also is a big part of the economy and is taken seriously by state leaders.

PA 155 Frame 3

Pennsylvania has some fantastic mountains and hills in the Pennsylvania Wild Region. There are many roads and access points to the backcountry, active sporting community supporting and advocating for the land. Land that is used has an active activist community backing it, more than just a romantic view of nature. There are great parks, places to camp, hunt, fish and trap.

Allegheny River

It is an expensive state to live in, with high taxes but somewhat cheaper then New York. Open burning, burn barrels, and fires are generally allowed in that state, which is a big thing for me being the fire bug that I am. There are many off-grid hunting camps located near state lands, and while there are more rules and regulation for what you can and can’t not do on your own land, it’s far less restrictive then New York. Fireworks are much less restricted. Gas tax is a bit high though, which is the understatement of the decade.

Farm

The second amendment and hunting is well protected in Pennsylvania, although you do have to wonder about the future of the state. It’s a must-issue state for carry permits, there are not permits required to own ordinary handguns. Pennsylvania has the second largest rural population of any state, but it’s also has some big urban areas, with gun violence problems that could push the state to more restrictions. Some of the hunting laws are a bit restrictive though, with Sunday hunting banned, among other things.

Sounds really great. But could the state go blue in the near future? What new laws and restrictions could the activist-types push? Could there be new gun law enacted, even higher taxes, or more restrictions on open burning? What role would animals rights activists have on hobby farming and commercial agriculture alike? Pennsylvania has a great rural part of the state, but things could change in the future, with a change in the balance of power.

Previously, I wrote about …

The Mid-West

This book I am reading makes a good point about the Midwest – the land is cheap, people are friendly and laid back, zoning and codes regulations tend to be much less with less enforcement. Conservative cultural norms are more laid back, preferring that government stay off people’s land and out of private businesses.

Building and living in an off-grid ‘tiny’ house or cabin is much easier when you don’t have to deal with nearly as aggressive of code inspectors. Buying a handgun or other firearm for hunting and personal protection is just as easy – fill out the federal paperwork, have them do a quick background check, and pay the cashier, and walk out with your new gun. Outhouses and composting toilets are easier to get approved, if there is any review at all. As long as there isn’t a high fire risk, you’re free to burn your trash and debris, typically with no permit. Off-road shops, ATVs, snowmobiles, and alike abound, often with a good trail system to ride not too far from home. Good-sized white tails, geese, ducks for hunting and other wildlife abound in the rural landscape.

West Virginia for Living?

West Virginia is one of many charming states with a lot of good rural land to explore. I’ve certainly enjoyed my road trips down there, and I will probably go back there this autumn. There is are two off-grid living channel I follow on the Youtube, and it’s wild and wonderful down there.

But I’m not sure I would choose the state to live in. For one, the summers are brutally hot even in the mountains and the winters are cold and icy. The roads are often steep, twisty and narrow which makes vacation fun, but probably not so fun when they are covered with ice and snow and you have to get other places.

NPR

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Police Are Investing In New Technology. ‘Thin Blue Lie’ Asks, ‘Does It Work?’ : NPR

In the book, Stroud argues that for decades, politicians and law enforcement have often opted for quick, easy solutions to correct for problematic policing practices, rather than adopt more systematic overhauls. As a result, issues like excessive force have never been solved, he says.

"You have a system that is in place and you have officers who have often been on the job for 20 or 30 years, who were in leadership positions and they don't want to change," Stroud tells Michel Martin in an interview for NPR's All Things Considered.

Georges Garage – GMC Chevy GM Truck Brake Switch Replacement

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Been having trouble with cruise control, and in freezing weather, my truck not wanting to come out of park or the ABS/stablitrak light coming on. Fortunately, it appears I can fix all these issues in a few minutes, with a $20 switch. That makes me happy as a pig in shit, because I'm cheap and I like my cruise control to work, as I use it constantly. Here is a shorter video by KRE87 that I also studied.

When We Say 70 Percent, It Really Means 70 Percent | FiveThirtyEight

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When We Say 70 Percent, It Really Means 70 Percent | FiveThirtyEight

Sometimes, there are more sophisticated-seeming criticisms. “Sure, your forecasts are probabilistic,” people who think they’re very clever will say. “But all that means is that you can never be wrong. Even a 1 percent chance happens sometimes, after all. So what’s the point of it all?”

I don’t want to make it sound like we’ve had a rough go of things overall.1 But we do think it’s important that our forecasts are successful on their own terms — that is, in the way that we have always said they should be judged. That’s what our latest project — “How Good Are FiveThirtyEight Forecasts?” — is all about.

That way is principally via calibration. Calibration measures whether, over the long run, events occur about as often as you say they’re going to occur. For instance, of all the events that you forecast as having an 80 percent chance of happening, they should indeed occur about 80 out of 100 times; that’s good calibration. If these events happen only 60 out of 100 times, you have problems — your forecasts aren’t well-calibrated and are overconfident. But it’s just as bad if they occur 98 out of 100 times, in which case your forecasts are underconfident.