Urban Life

Forecasting Motor Vehicle Collision

Forecasting Motor Vehicle Collision

12/20/21

Web player: https://podcastaddict.com/episode/132948892
Episode: https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/dataskeptic/forecasting-motor-vehicle-collision-rates.mp3?dest-id=2016

Dr. Darren Shannon, a Lecturer in Quantitative Finance in the Department of Accounting and Finance, University of Limerick, joins us today to talk about his work “Extending the Heston Model to Forecast Motor Vehicle Collision Rates.”

There are 21,986 log homes in NY State.

There are 21,986 log homes in NY State.

CountyNumber of Log Homes
Albany314
Allegany350
Broome317
Cattaraugus307
Cayuga275
Chautauqua335
Chemung167
Chenango437
Clinton68
Columbia347
Cortland192
Delaware977
Dutchess583
Erie409
Essex925
Franklin485
Fulton392
Genesee135
Greene777
Hamilton485
Herkimer498
Jefferson415
Lewis389
Livingston286
Madison347
Monroe217
Montgomery126
Niagara154
Oneida728
Onondaga376
Ontario495
Orange542
Orleans134
Oswego547
Otsego416
Putnam229
Rensselaer440
Rockland17
Saratoga664
Schenectady115
Schoharie478
Schuyler180
Seneca111
Steuben513
St. Lawrence711
Suffolk34
Sullivan617
Tioga309
Tompkins274
Ulster781
Warren1288
Washington501
Wayne279
Westchester3
Wyoming265
Yates242

The deadliest bridge disaster in US history was caused by a tiny crack just three millimeters deep | by Matt Reimann | Timeline

The deadliest bridge disaster in US history was caused by a tiny crack just three millimeters deep | by Matt Reimann | Timeline

harlene Wood was driving home at 5 p.m. on December 15, 1967, when she felt Silver Bridge shake. The bridge, built in 1928, spanned the Ohio River between Ohio and West Virginia, and served 4,000 vehicles every day. On this cold Friday, a single eyebar — a 55-foot-long section of steel, two inches thick and 12 inches wide — had suddenly fractured. Then the pin holding it in place fell loose, sending the bridge’s components into catastrophic failure. “It was like someone had lined up dominoes,” Wood recalled. “I could see car lights flashing as they were tumbling into the water. The car in front of me went in. Then there was silence.”

Silver Bridge inherited its name from its metallic aluminum paint, but it was notable as well for its distinct design. The American Bridge Company, which won the bid for the project, settled on the cheaper method of using eyebars instead of cables of steel wire, the sort used in famous suspension bridges like the Brooklyn and Golden Gate.

Mankind

Man’s ability to alter his environment has developed far more rapidly than his ability to foresee with certainty the effects of his alterations. It is only recently that we have begun to appreciate the danger posed by unregulated modification of the world around us, and have created watchdog agencies whose task it is to warn us, and protect us, when technological “advances” present dangers unappreciated—or unrevealed—by their supporters. Such agencies, unequipped with crystal balls and unable to read the future, are nonetheless charged with evaluating the effects of unprecedented environmental modifications, often made on a massive scale. Necessarily, they must deal with predictions and uncertainty, with developing evidence, with conflicting evidence, and, sometimes, with little or no evidence at all.

~ Ethyl Corp. v. Environmental Protection Agency (1976)