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Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Future? – The Atlantic

Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Future? – The Atlantic

The bet was on, and it was over the fate of humanity. On one side was the Stanford biologist Paul R. Ehrlich. In his 1968 best seller, The Population Bomb, Ehrlich insisted that it was too late to prevent a doomsday apocalypse resulting from overpopulation. Resource shortages would cause hundreds of millions of starvation deaths within a decade. It was cold, hard math: The human population was growing exponentially; the food supply was not. Ehrlich was an accomplished butterfly specialist. He knew that nature did not regulate animal populations delicately. Populations exploded, blowing past the available resources, and then crashed.

BBC – Are we on the road to civilization collapse?

BBC – Are we on the road to civilization collapse?

"Great civilisations are not murdered. Instead, they take their own lives. So concluded the historian Arnold Toynbee in his 12-volume magnum opus A Study of History. It was an exploration of the rise and fall of 28 different civilisations. He was right in some respects: civilisations are often responsible for their own decline. However, their self-destruction is usually assisted."

The Doomsday Clock Has Us At Two Minutes To Midnight

"Humanity remains dangerously close to the apocalypse. At least according to The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the group of scientists that manages the iconic Doomsday Clock. This year, the hands of the clock were left unchanged from 2018, remaining at an unnerving two minutes to midnight."

Dion – Abraham, Martin and John

"Has anybody here seen my old friend Martin,
Can you tell me where he's gone?
He freed a lotta people, but it seems the good die young
But I just looked around and he's gone.
Didn't you love the things they stood for?
Didn't they try to find some good for you and me?
And we'll be free,"

Why Vulnerability Can Be So Attractive

Why Vulnerability Can Be So Attractive

"Often, there’s a mismatch between how people perceive their vulnerabilities and how others interpret them. We tend to think showing vulnerability makes us seem weak, inadequate, and flawedβ€”a mess. But when others see our vulnerability, they might perceive something quite different, something alluring. A recent set of studies calls this phenomenon β€œthe beautiful mess effect.” It suggests that everyone should be less afraid of opening upβ€”at least in certain cases."