Fourth quarter GDP: US economic growth slows, rises by 2.6 percent
Economy
A new theory for why Americans can’t get a raise.
"The paper—written by José Azar of IESE Business School at the University of Navarra, Ioana Marinescu of the University of Pennsylvania, and Marshall Steinbaum of the Roosevelt Institute—argues that, across different cities and different fields, hiring is concentrated among a relatively small number of businesses, which may have given managers the ability to keep wages lower than if there were more companies vying for talent. This is not the same as saying there are simply too many job hunters chasing too few openings—the paper, which is still in an early draft form, is designed to rule out that possibility. Instead, its authors argue that the labor market may be plagued by what economists call a monopsony problem, where a lack of competition among employers gives businesses outsize power over workers, including the ability to tamp down on pay. If the researchers are right, it could have important implications for how we think about antitrust, unions, and the minimum wage."
The Strange Brands in Your Instagram Feed
"It all started with an Instagram ad for a coat, the West Louis (TM) Business-Man Windproof Long Coat to be specific. It looked like a decent camel coat, not fancy but fine. And I’d been looking for one just that color, so when the ad touting the coat popped up and the price was in the double-digits, I figured: hey, a deal! The brand, West Louis, seemed like another one of the small clothing companies that has me tagged in the vast Facebook-advertising ecosystem as someone who likes buying clothes: Faherty, Birdwell Beach Britches, Life After Denim, some wool underwear brand that claims I only need two pairs per week, sundry bootmakers."
"Perhaps the copy on the West Louis site was a little much, claiming “West Louis is the perfection of modern gentlemen clothing,” but in a world where an oil company can claim to “fuel connections,” who was I to fault a small entrepreneur for some purple prose? Several weeks later, the coat showed up in a black plastic bag emblazoned with the markings of China Post, that nation’s postal service. I tore it open and pulled out the coat. The material has the softness of a Las Vegas carpet and the rich sheen of a velour jumpsuit. The fabric is so synthetic, it could probably be refined into bunker fuel for a ship. It was, technically, the item I ordered, only shabbier than I expected in every aspect."
Economists Are Saying We Will Have A Happy — Really Happy — New Year
"The stage is set for continued solid growth in 2018," Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Markit, said in his annual forecast. "While economic risks remain, most are low-level threats to the overall picture for 2018."
“Neoliberalism” isn’t an empty epithet. It’s a real, powerful set of ideas.
Old style liberalism died in the 1970s due to the gas lines brought on by the government setting too low of a price on oil, too high of a price on air plane tickets and phone calls, and well meaning automobile safety regulations that lead to a doubling of car prices for cars that were increasingly complex and unreliable. The study of economics and the realization of the consequences of government policies lead to changes.
When times change and societal knowledge of the consequences of policy choices become known, political parties change.
America 2018 is no longer America 1968, ideas that once made sense may no longer make sense. We have a better idea today on how to regulate capitalism today then 50 years ago. Government can create fair, competitive markets that serve the public interest, set basic regulations in the public interest while allowing businesses flexibility to innovate and compete to produce high quality goods at lower prices.
The Human Cost of the Ghost Economy
"Last year I worked undercover at a temp agency in Los Angeles. While I took the assignment for an article I was working on, I’d also been unemployed for over a year. It seemed I was in that middling space of over-qualified for entry-level jobs, under-qualified for the jobs I most desired, and aged out or irrelevant as a labor union organizer, where I’d gained the bulk of my work experience."
"One altered resume later I joined a temp agency and became the biggest ghost of them all, a member of America’s invisible workforce: people who ship goods for big box stores like Wal-Mart or Marshalls, sort recyclables for Waste Management, fulfill online orders for Nike, bottle rum for Bacardi. I’d found my squad, a cadre of screw-ups, felons, floozies, single moms, the differently abled, students, immigrants, the homeless and hungry, the overqualified and under-qualified, all of us ghosted by the traditional marketplace."
How Inflation and Unemployment Are Related
"The inverse correlation between inflation and unemployment should be intuitively easy to grasp. Based on the fundamental principles of supply and demand, inflation ought to be low when unemployment is high, and vice versa."e
"However, this relationship is more complicated than it appears at first glance, and has broken down on a number of occasions over the past 45 years. As inflation and (un)employment are two of the most important economic variables that affect us in our daily lives, it is important to gain an understanding of their association."