Three Reasons the Stock Market Can Endure the War – WSJ
Pessimists have overused the image of Wile E. Coyote running off a cliff and not falling until after doing a double-take. If U.S. troops end up in another Middle East quagmire that drives oil to $200 a barrel, those who already sold their stocks will be in told-you-so mode as share prices follow the coyote to a hard landing.
So far, though, the fall is small given the scale of disruption. The S&P 500 is down 7.4% from its prewar high, only slightly more than falls over the same period in May 2019 or April 2018—neither at all memorable. Amid a global energy crisis that has already led to fuel rationing in some Asian countries, cautious Roadrunner fans see investor complacency.