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New York lawmakers eye multiple redistricting amendments – POLITICO

New York lawmakers eye multiple redistricting amendments – POLITICO

As a result, lawmakers may pass multiple versions of a redistricting amendment and then take up a preferred measure next year for the required second passage. Any constitutional change must also be approved by voters in a referendum.

“Because our time is so short there’s some school of thought that maybe we pass multiple versions to create the options for second passage next year, but that’s still under consideration,” Deputy Senate Majority Leader Mike Gianaris said.

The changes may be simple, such as allowing mid-decade redistricting when another state redraws its House map. Or lawmakers may take an even more expansive approach and scrap the map-drawing commission entirely.

Will I be able to ride in this morning? 🌧️

Going to be tough with those rain clouds to the west threatening to make for a wet commute around 8 AM. Just showers but they can make you very wet riding your mountain bike to work.

I should call today to see where the truck cap stands, 🛻 but I’ll probably be busy and not wanting to curse out my luck. Maybe next week is better, though it would be nice if I had the truck cap before Memorial Day Weekend so I could move the solar and batteries over during the long weekend. 🏕️ I might hammock camp next weekend depending if it’s as warm and sunny as this weekend. Tomorrow though I’ll probably stay in town, maybe ride over to the Pine Hollow Arboretum and to the grocery store to pick up a few supplies – maybe some frozen fruit and more Stevia but I doubt I need to ride all the way over to Wally World for that. Although, it seems like my SD card reader isn’t working – cable strain issues cause it to fail next steps the bin and fire – so maybe I need.

Not sure if I will be able to make it in withut getting soaked 🚵 but I am going to try and just bring a rain coat. I like the bike ride in, much better then the stress of driving the SuperDuty in the city or taking the bus. Worse comes to worse, I can put the bike on the bus, like at the Bike Trail Station and catch the BusPlus most of the way to work. That limited stop service is pretty quick. 🚌 Or I won’t melt if I get a bit wet. ⛈ It’s not like I haven’t gotten into my office a bit wet a few times before.

With the summer season coming, 🛟 😎 🏄 and having some down time in the office, I’ve been working at fixing and improving some long standing bugs and broken links on blog, and continuing to develop content that hopefully will draw more traffic to blog for more revenue before the big bill is due to renew my hosting contract. While I’m certainly not getting rich off the blog – it produces $1,000 in ad revenue a year and maybe $500 or $600 in expenses – it’s better then for many years when I paid for the hosting without getting any ad revenue at all. It’s fun telling  my story, sharing things I find interesting, maps, charts, and other things of interest. 🔎 Especially with AI these days, there is much I can use to build both on my own knowledge and the wisdom of the internet distilled down by AI.

Map: St. Regis River Reservior
Map: High Falls Reservior

Amazon and Weekly Trash Pickup 🗑️

After getting burned on that bike I part I ordered from Amazon, and noting how often the stuff I order from the web retailer not only comes in unrecycable plastic but also is low quality and needs to quickly be discarded, I’ve become increasingly convinced that Amazon is little more then a trash generation service requiring a large waste basket and weekly trash service to get rid of all of the left overs.

I get the appeal of weekly trash truck – no smelly, toxic burn barrels full of plastic – a lot of it from Amazon, and the conveince of not having to haul all those cans to transfer station. Still I can’t help to think a lot of that trash doesn’t come from the grocery store but culture of convenience that Amazon offers. That only encourages people to buy more junk, both from their website and paper and plastic wrapped convenience meals sold to those who choose the easy lifestyle that involves more dumping to distant landfills and less composting and burning on site.

Thucydides Trap

The Thucydides Trap is a political theory stating that when an emerging power threatens to displace an established ruling power, the resulting structural stress makes war between them nearly inevitable. The concept is primarily used to analyze the tense geopolitical dynamic between the United States and China. 

Origins and Concept

  • Ancient Context: The term was coined by Harvard political scientist Graham Allison. It is derived from the ancient Greek historian Thucydides, who analyzed the Peloponnesian War. Thucydides famously noted: “It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.”
  • The Mechanism: The theory suggests that as the rising power becomes more assertive and confident, the dominant power grows increasingly fearful of losing its influence. This mutual fear, mistrust, and rivalry can spark conflict even if neither side actually wants it. 

The Historical Data

Allison and his research team at the Harvard Belfer Center analyzed 16 historical instances where a rising power challenged an established one: 

  • 12 of the 16 cases resulted in direct military conflict (e.g., World War I, the rise of the German Empire displacing British dominance).
  • 4 of the 16 cases managed to avoid war through careful statecraft, compromise, and painful adjustments on both sides (e.g., the Cold War, the rise of the United States displacing the British Empire in the late 19th and early 20th centuries). 

Modern Relevance: The US and China

Today, the theory is most prominently applied to US-China relations. China is the rising power challenging the United States’ long-held global and regional dominance. 

  • The Debate: Many scholars and policymakers worry that trade disputes, technological competition, and military posturing could plunge the two superpowers into “case number 17.”
  • The Warning: Chinese and US leaders often reference the trap as a cautionary tale, with experts advocating for a strategy of “peaceful competition” rather than fatalistic conflict. 
Thematic Map: Population Density of Madison County
Thematic Map: Elevation of Rensselaerville

Outflow

The marshy Middle Sprite Creek below the beaver dam on Hillabrandt Vly.

Saturday May 11, 2019 — Notes
Map: Tug Hill State Forest (Inman Gulf Area)

Is America Becoming Over Taken By Competitive Authoritarism?

Partisan politics lately seems to be dominating our political discussion, with political leaders often fighting for what they believe is best for their political party, then what is right for a country. Some people have gone as far as to suggest the current incumbent in the White House, President Trump is taking it to it’s extreme, hypercharging partisanship, weaponing the rules of democracy and law to benefit his most loyal supporters and his party. The term people use to describe such things is Competitive Authoritarianism.

Competitive Authoritarianism is a hybrid regime type where formal democratic institutions—such as multiparty elections—are the primary means of gaining political power, but systematic government abuse skews the playing field so heavily against the opposition that the system cannot be labeled a true democracy. 

Coined by political scientists Steven Levitsky and Lucan Way, the concept emphasizes that competition in these regimes is real but deeply unfair. Unlike full dictatorships, opposition parties are legal, compete vigorously, and can occasionally win, because the incumbent lacks the absolute capacity or legitimacy to ban elections entirely. However, the ruling party tilts the scales by using state resources as a weapon against critics, violating civil liberties, and co-opting independent arbiters like the judiciary and the press. 

Prominent political scientists—including Levitsky, Way, and Daniel Ziblatt—have increasingly argued that the United States under President Donald Trump has descended into a form of competitive authoritarianism. Commentators and scholars point to specific actions to justify this diagnosis: 

  • Weaponizing State Machinery: Critics argue that the administration uses federal regulatory and legal tools to target political opponents and civil society. Examples include DOJ investigations into adversaries, pressure and investigations via the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) against establishment media outlets, and the freezing of congressionally approved research funds to investigate universities.
  • Purging and Packing Institutions: Scholars point to the systematic replacing of career, non-partisan civil servants and prosecutors with political loyalists to eliminate structural checks on executive power.
  • Undermining “Referees”: Trump’s rhetoric and behavior are viewed as an effort to erode the independence of neutral arbiters. This includes public attacks on judges who rule against his administration, and the use of presidential pardons to shield allies or participants of the January 6 Capitol riot, sending a signal of institutional impunity.
  • Chilling Effects on Dissent: By broadening labels like “radical left” or “extremist” to encapsulate mainstream political critics and media organizations, observers argue the administration deliberately raises the social and legal costs of public opposition. 

Others reject this characterization, arguing that applying the label to Trump is inaccurate and mere alarmist rhetoric for partisan gain: 

  • Exercise of Legitimate Executive Power: Counter-arguments maintain that Trump’s policies—such as implementing aggressive tariffs, tightening borders, or demanding reforms from universities—represent the fulfillment of a democratic mandate and the deployment of lawful presidential authority, rather than systemic autocracy.
  • Resilience of American Democratic Vibrancy: Skeptics point out that the fundamental architecture of U.S. democracy remains functional. Media organizations and late-night hosts fiercely criticize the president daily without being shut down, citizens routinely organize mass protests, and independent courts regularly block executive actions.
  • Lack of Hegemonic Control: Unlike leaders like Viktor Orbán in Hungary or Hugo Chávez in Venezuela, Trump operates within a deeply decentralized federalist system. The U.S. president lacks the structural power to unilaterally rewrite the Constitution, abolish local elections, or fully subdue state-level governments.
  • Accusations of Political Bias: Critics of the label argue that framing policy disagreements or aggressive political rhetoric as “competitive authoritarianism” amounts to partisan fear-casting by academic elites who simply oppose Trump’s populist agenda. 

Ultimately hindsight is twenty-twenty. We really won’t know what comes of the actions of President Trump’s administration until it’s well in the rear view mirror. Many will prove to be overblown rhetoric, but other changes might stick. Certainly Trump isn’t afraid to use the lever of power that he has access to today.

Map: Empire State Topography
Map: Empire State Color Relief