If Trump wants to stimulate the economy with cutting taxes, this is the best way to do it:

Have a weekly television show. President Donald Trump would draw four numbers from a bin like with the lottery. Anybody whose last four numbers of their social security number matched the numbers drawn would be mailed a $1,000 check from the US Treasury. 

Why this would be very stimulating to the economy and a very progressive tax cut that would help the working poor the most:

1. People are likely to spend an unexpected windfall rather than save it – go out and buy a television, a sofa, go out to dinner, fix up their home, take a vacation. 

2. An unexpected $1,000 is a big boost to the budget of somebody living paycheck to paycheck. To a millionaire it’s just another pesky check to deposit.

3. People love games of chance. Believing that they have a fairly good chance of winning $1,000 many people would go out and spend more money then they otherwise would spend. 

Good evening! Cloudy and 45 degrees in City of Albany. Calm wind.The skies will clear Wednesday around 5 am. As predicted the rain stopped and I think I’ll make it home in time to watch the PBS Newshour. That’s good because I got busy and never stopped to eat lunch. 
The sun will set at 7:16 pm with dusk around 7:44 pm, which is one minute and 9 seconds later than yesterday. At sunset, look for cloudy conditions and 45 degrees. There will be a calm wind. Not good weather for going to the park at any rate. 

Tonight will have isolated showers before 8pm. Patchy fog between 10pm and 1am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low of 39 degrees at 6am. Nine degrees above normal. Light southeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 20%. In 2016, it got down to 41 degrees with periods of rain. The record low of 3 occurred back in 1923.

New Moon tonight. The Full “Pink” Moon is on Tuesday, April 11th. The sun will rise at 6:43 am with the first light at 6:15 am, which is one minute and 45 seconds earlier than yesterday. Tonight will have 11 hours and 25 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 54 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will rain likely, mainly after 3pm. Areas of fog before 9am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high of 53 degrees at 2pm. Three degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 48 at 1pm. South wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. A year ago, we had rain and a high of 50 degrees. The record high of 85 was set in 1945. 14.2 inches of snow fell back in 1932.

I’m modestly concerned about the weather on Friday but if it is bad in the morning, I’ll take the bus and get Big Red in the evening. That might be the best route at any rate. 

Right now, a split verdict on the weekend. Saturday, a chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday, a chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Still kind of stuck in this cold pattern. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Typical average high for the weekend is 52 degrees.

In four weeks on April 24 the sun will be setting at 7:48 pm, which is 31 minutes and 56 seconds later then today. In 2016 on that day, we had partly sunny skies and temperatures between 58 and 35 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 62 and 40 degrees. The record high of 81 degrees was set back in 2001.

Looking ahead, Patriots Day is in 3 weeks, May Day is in 5 weeks and Memorial Day is in 9 weeks. I can’t wait for Black Fly Season. At least it beats winter. 

March 27, 2017 Weather Forecast

This interactive graph shows the hourly weather forecast for the next seven days. The bars represent the temperature, the pink line reprsents the dew point and the white line represents the dewpoint. Red dots are climate normals for the day. Orange dots are record temperatures. Green dots are last year's temperatures.

Yellow bars represent generally sunny conditions. The more gray the bar is, the more clouds expected. Blue bars represent a greater then 50% chance of rain. Purple bars represent a greater then 50% chance of snow. Orange bars represent a greater then 50% chance of thunderstorms. Red bars represent warm and muggy weather, under generally clear skies.

I was heading out to bus stop this morning, I realized that I forgot to check for my umbrella in the closet. It turned out it was in my bedroom, which is good because I really needed it. Umbrellas are good when your in a suit in the suburbs but get downtown with the wind whipping around the buildings they are pretty useless.

37 degrees and rain this morning. Rain through the morning, tapering off later. Looking at a high around 49 degrees. More sun come Wednesday. We have to watch Friday, as it may be icy at least in the higher elevations.

The sun will set at 7:16 pm with dusk around 7:44 pm, which is one minute and 9 seconds later than yesterday. Today will have 12 hours and 32 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 54 seconds over yesterday. Already over 12 1/2 hours of daylight. Days are growing quickly.

Tonight will have patchy fog before 4am, then patchy fog after 5am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low of 39 degrees at 5am. Nine degrees above normal. Calm wind. In 2016, it got down to 41 degrees with periods of rain. The record low of 3 occurred back in 1923.

The blueberry waffles I had for breakfast were okay but I should not put them in the mix because they kind of made a mess and came out soft or at least use a lot less water. I guess it’s important to try new things. I should be able to clean up the mess once things cool down.

In the rush down to the bus stop I forgot to turn down the heat, but I guess it doesn’t matter that much because it’s going to be pretty mild out. I’m sure in a week or two I’ll have the heat off until autumn and soon have the windows open. I like having the fresh air in the morning, even if that means more road noise and my neighbors hearing me cuss out the world when I spill hot coffee on myself.

As previously noted, there are 3 weeks until Patriots Day when the sun will be setting at 7:40 pm with dusk at 8:10 pm. On that day in 2016, we had mostly sunny skies and temperatures between 76 and 36 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 59 degrees. We hit a record high of 91 back in 2002. Taxes are due the following day. So don’t forget to pay Trump’s War Department.

Over the past few months I’ve posted several graphics and charts about heroin abuse in our state. I thought it would be good to put together a brief synopsis, of the various graphs and maps I’ve done.

Heroin abuse doesn’t effect all counties equally, indeed some counties are particularly hard hit.

3 Yr Average For Visits To ER For Opioid Overdoses Per 10k Population

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Overall in the past decade, heroin deaths are up dramatically across the state.

Heroin and Opiods Deaths, 2003-2014

Indeed, heroin is the fastest growing reason people are checking themselves into drug rehab facilties in our state.

Chemical Dependence Treatment Program Admissions by Drug Type, 2007-2015

The growth of heroin has displaced the abuse of cocaine and crack in our state.

Services Delivered for Cocaine Users in New York State

Despite common myth, drug possession arrests nationally follow closely the racial breakdown, at least in 2015.

Race of those Arrested for Crimes (2015)

Good morning! Final Monday of March. Sixty days until the start of Memorial Day Weekend. Rain and 36 degrees in Delmar, NY. There is a south-southeast breeze at 8 mph. Definitely need your umbrella or rain coat today. The skies will clear Wednesday around 5 am.

Today will rain, mainly before 1pm. High of 49 degrees at 3pm. Typical for today. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. A year ago, we had mostly cloudy skies and a high of 58 degrees. The record high of 78 was set in 1998. 6.7 inches of snow fell back in 1959.

Good evening! Cloudy and 36 degrees in Delmar. There is a south-southeast breeze at 9 mph. The skies will clear Wednesday around 6 am. A big week is ahead of me so I’ll keep this post brief. 

Sunday night dinner was nice at my parents house house. Meatball riggis which should not be confused with meatball doggies. Inside joke or autocorrect on the phone. Pushed forward some internal updates to the blog and uploaded new maps and posts. Did my wash. Washed Big Red and bought some supplies at Walmart. Hopefully we are done with the road salt and I’ll keep Big Red out of the thick mud for a few days or hours. I’m sure I’ll be back hosing off Big Red sooner than later in the frigid cold weather. 

Tonight will rain, mainly after 11pm. Patchy fog after 3am. Low of 36 degrees at 10pm. Four degrees above normal. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. In 2016, it got down to 40 degrees under mostly cloudy skies. The record low of 11 occurred back in 1975.

Waning Crescent Moon tonight with 6% illuminated. The moon will rise around 5:09 am. The New Moon is on Tuesday night with showers expected. The Full “Pink” Moon is on Tuesday, April 11th. The sun will rise at 6:46 am with the first light at 6:18 am, which is one minute and 45 seconds earlier than yesterday. Tonight will have 11 hours and 28 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 53 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will rain some more, mainly before 1pm. Patchy fog before 1pm. High of 51 degrees at 5pm. Two degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 46 at 5pm. South wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. A year ago, we had mostly cloudy skies and a high of 58 degrees. The record high of 78 was set in 1998. 6.7 inches of snow fell back in 1959.

Over the weekend I’ve been reading more about off grid living technology. I’m fascinated by all the low voltage electricity, especially now that there is so much LED 12 volt lighting, especially those strips available. I think those manufactured unfinished cabins where you have to do the insulation and wiring yourself is quite neat because if you’re willing to live simply off grid  there is no need for high voltage wiring, plumbing and complicated infrastructure that most modern houses have. People save a lot of money this way, especially if you don’t need a lot of stuff and are interested in your energy consumption. 

Right now, a split verdict on next weekend. Saturday, rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. Yuck, it’s April. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday, a chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Chance of precipitation is 30%. That’s more reasonable. Maybe I can finally hook up that low voltage disconnect and the new power wire to the truck cap. Typical average high for the weekend is 52 degrees. 

In four weeks on April 23 the sun will be setting at 7:47 pm, which is 31 minutes and 45 seconds later then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had mostly cloudy skies and temperatures between 64 and 42 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 62 and 40 degrees. The record high of 87 degrees was set back in 2007.

Looking ahead, Palm Sunday is in 2 weeks, Easter is in 3 weeks, Mother’s Day is in 7 weeks, Memorial Day Weekend is in 2 months and Father’s Day is in 12 weeks.

Every year, I usually kick off the camping season with a big road trip somewhere. Here are some of the trips I’ve done in years past:

2016: Finger Lakes National Forest

April 2016 was a relatively cold month after a relatively warm winter. The first night I camped at Stony Pond in Nelson. It got down to 15 degrees.

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I visited the Montezuma Wildlife Refuge then camped off of Chicken Coop Road at the Finger Lakes National Forest.

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Rather cold weather up on Hector Backbone, so I strung up tarps to block the wind and built big campfires.

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Rather gray as things hadn’t really greened up yet.

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But in lower elevations, especially along Cayuga Lake, things where starting to bud up, like as seen with this picture of Taughannock State Park.

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2015: Balsam Pond, Long Pond and Chenango County

Rained a bit during the day but camping was great Balsam Pond.

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Beautiful sunrise on Balsam Pond.

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Nice afternoon fishing on Whitney Point Reservior, but I didn’t get many bites.

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2014: East Branch of Sacanadaga River

In 2014, I camped on the East Branch of Sacandaga River. It was a pretty night.

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I used my solar panel a bit under the sunny skies to keep the accessory battery charged.

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2013: Balsam Pond, Long Pond and Chenango County

In many ways my 2013 trip was similiar to my 2015 trip. I camped at Long Pond, which was very much so still frozen this year.

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Hiked up the Berry Hill Firetower.

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Visited Rogers Environmental Education Center.

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2012: Crane Mountain and Harrisburg NY

Hike both Crane Mountain and Hadley Mountain and camped off of Harrisburg Road in the Adirondacks.

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My truck didn’t have a cap then, so I camped in a tent.

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It was fun camping in my then new truck.

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Age of Supreme Court Judges including Retirees, 1970-2017

This chart shows the age of every Supreme Court Justice appointed after 1970, including those who have retired or deceased. Those justices who retired or deceased are highlighted dark gray, and their age is the year they left the court. Elena Kagan at age 56 is the youngest and most recently appointed Supreme Court justice. Two justices -- Anthony Kennedy and Ruth Ginsberg are above 80 and are highlighted in red. Justice Stephen Bryer, highlighted in yellow is age 70. Remaining justices, are under age 70.