Inflation

Inflation is an existential threat to government programs

Often it seems like when liberals think of inflation, they downplay it – and don’t see it as the existential threat it is to their ideology. It’s more of a political football to them. But a good way to think about inflation is a government program flat funded at the same amount, under 7% inflation will be halved every seven years.

Inflation automatically trims government spending if appropriations don’t increase at the rate of inflation. Asking for big jumps in tax rates is unpopular in inflationary times, especially when people are already struggling to make ends meet with inflation.

For now, while the economy is good, revenues may keep up with inflation. Indeed these days it seems like many localities are reporting record sales tax collections. But at the same time, markets are slowing as the fed rates increase which really puts a damper on the stock market, which is chilling bonuses and other highly taxable sources of revenue. Inflation is corrosive. Like any form of corrosion, it might lurk in background, but eventually the rust becomes visible. Hardly all good news in the world of tax revenues.

The knife is coming for the back of liberalism, and it won’t be held by the Republicans or Conservatives. It will be held by inflation, which is the killer of government programs that become too expensive to fund are current levels of services.

NPR

December U.S. inflation up 3.4% : NPR

Inflation ticked up a little in December on the back of higher costs for housing and car insurance.

The overall cost of living in December was up 3.4% from a year ago, a slightly larger increase than the 3.1% rate in November, according to data from the Labor Department on Thursday.

The cost of motor vehicle insurance rose 1.5% in December from the previous month, marking a 20.3% increase compared to the previous year.

The cost of housing accounted for more than half the monthly increase in consumer prices. Food and energy prices were also up in December. The so-called "core" inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices, was 3.9% last month.

Interest Rates on Hold and Powell Speaks About Decision – The New York Times

Fed Meeting Live News: Interest Rates on Hold and Powell Speaks About Decision – The New York Times

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged on Wednesday while leaving the door open to a future increase, a cautious stance at a time when rapid inflation is retreating but is not yet vanquished.

Rates have been on hold in a range of 5.25 to 5.5 percent since July, up from near-zero as recently as March 2022. Policymakers think that borrowing costs are now high enough to weigh on economic growth if they are kept at this level over time.

By cooling demand, the Fed is hoping to prod companies to raise prices less quickly. While the economy has held up so far — growth was unusually strong this summer — inflation has come down since 2022. Overall price increases decelerated to 3.4 percent as of September, down from above 7 percent at their peak.