2017 October 29

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Bedford County
Black Moshannon State Park
Blair County
Blue Ridge Parkway
Criminal Justice
Delmar, NY
Keyser, WV
Marie Antoinette Lookout
Marie Antoinette Scenic Overlook
Shenandoah Mountain
Taylor Pond Wild Forest

October 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

Good evening! Rain and 60 degrees in Delmar, NY. Slight breeze from the south-south east with occassional gusts of wind and bursts of rain  The dew point is 59 degrees. The weather will get worse as the night proceeds but should improve by morning. I recommend doing what I will be doing shortly — retiring to bed early — and just letting the worse of rain and wind blow over. The skies will clear tomorrow around noontime.

Today wasn’t a bad day. Got some much needed rest and relaxation at home, did some cleaning and unpacking of camping gear. Kitchen is well stocked, should I not be able to get my truck in for an inspection this week. But I think I will be able to do that. 

Tonight will rain and possibly a thunderstorm before 4am, then rain likely. Some of the storms could produce heavy rainfall. Low of 53 degrees at 6am. 15 degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 59 at 8pm. Windy, with a southeast wind 17 to 22 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. In 2016, we had cloudy skies with some clearing in the early hours of the next day. It got down to 43 degrees. The record low of 20 occurred back in 1969.

Tonight will have a with 72% illuminated.The moon will set tonight at 1:59 am. The Beaver Moon is on Friday night with showers is likely. The sun will rise at 7:26 am with the first light at 6:57 am, which is one minute and 14 seconds later than yesterday. Tonight will have 13 hours and 36 minutes of darkness, an increase of 2 minutes and 36 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will have a chance of rain before 8am, then a chance of showers between 8am and 2pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high of 53 degrees at 6am. One degrees below normal. Maximum dew point of 48 at 6am. Windy, with a west wind 25 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. A year ago, we had mostly cloudy skies. The high last year was 60 degrees. The record high of 80 was set in 1946. 0.1 inches of snow fell back in 1925.

Right now, a split verdict on the weekend. Saturday, partly sunny, with a high near 52. Sunday, a chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Typical average high for the weekend is 53 degrees.

Had Sunday dinner with Mom and Dad, the first one since mom has gotten back home. It was a nice dinner. It’s tough to watch your parents age, getting old is not neccessarily a wonderful, graceful thing. But I enjoy every minute I still have with them.

Heading to bed shortly, as even though the severe weather hasn’t started yet, I want to be asleep before we risk losing power. Maybe it’s a good thing that the landlord cut down all the trees in the yard — I no longer have to worry about a tree falling on my apartment or my truck. 

Back to work tomorrow. Yet another five day week. But hopefully it will be a productive one. I am covering for one of my colleagues tomorrow, so I expect a busy day.

In four weeks on November 26 the sun will be setting at 4:24 pm (Standard Time), which is one hour, 26 minutes and 34 seconds earlier then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had rain, drizzle, shallow fog, patches of fog, mist, cloudy skies and temperatures between 43 and 35 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 44 and 29 degrees. The record high of 67 degrees was set back in 1979.

Looking ahead, Daylight Savings Time Ends is in 1 week, Cold Moon is in 5 weeks, Christmas Eve is in 8 weeks, New Years Eve is in 9 weeks and 35th Birthday is in 2 months.

Why Is Triclosan in Toothpaste?

"Triclosan, an antibacterial ingredient recently banned by the Food and Drug Administration in some products but currently allowed in toothpaste, appears to accumulate on toothbrushes and can be released in the mouth, according to a study published this week in the journal Environmental Science & Technology."

"The FDA began prohibiting the sale of soaps and body washes that contain one or more of 19 antibacterials—including triclosan—last month because manufacturers haven’t proved that they’re safe for long-term daily use and more effective than regular soap and water for controlling certain infections. But because toothpaste is not included in the ban, triclosan can still be found in Colgate Total toothpastes (the only toothpaste line in the U.S. that contains the substance). Triclosan is also permitted in a slew of other items, including cosmetics, athletic clothing, and cleaning products."

Percentage of Goods Stolen and Recovered

If somebody steals your car, you have about a 60% chance of getting it back. Cattle, maybe a 11% chance. And everything else a much lower chance of recovery. Cattle rustling apparently is quite successful, but probably a lower chance of success then maybe stealing somebody's firearms and office equipment is hardest to recover.

Data Source: Property Stolen and Recovered by Type and Value, 2016. https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2016/crime-in-the-u.s.-2016/topic-pages/tables/table-16

Map: Catamount Trail

Map: Catamount Trail

Catamount is a smaller prominence in the Adirondack High Peaks region, but is considered by many to be one of the classic shorter hikes in the area. It is often overlooked because of it's smaller stature, which is a huge mistake. This mostly bare mountains offer one of the few sustained "Alpine type" peaks. The last 0.8 miles is mostly steep over bare rock with many scrambles and three point hiking challenges. because of it's relative isolation, the views from the summit are first rate. One of the best views of Ester and Whiteface mountain in the entire area.