2017 October 13

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October 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

Good evening! I hope you made out okay on your Friday the 13thand nothing too bad happened to you. Between the day, the traffic, the random construction equipment lying in the road and the stopped pickup truck in traffic where it had hit a deer. Cars parked all over for the bar. But I made it home safely, my wash is done and partially packed. I got some dry goods at Hannaford for the first few nights of camping, I’ll buy more stuff as the week progresses. At least for the canned and boxed stuff, Hannaford had some really good prices. I am surprised. The water containers, stove, and a lot of gear is packed but I have more to do some the morning. I like to have things are clean and neat as possible for when I return and so I don’t have problems with bugs or mold if I can avoid it.

Mostly cloudy and 59 degrees in Delmar, NY. There is a south breeze at 9 mph. The dew point is 51 degrees. The skies will clear Monday around 1 am.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy, with a low of 55 degrees at 4am. 14 degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 51 at 10pm. South wind 7 to 9 mph. In 2016, we had mostly clear skies. It got down to 34 degrees. The record low of 21 occurred back in 1958.

While I suspect sleeping will be difficult tonight my alarm is set for 7 AM tomorrow, and I will finish packing and cleaning by 9 AM. I need to stop at the bank to get cash for the trip — especially small denomination bills to pay for camping and firewood — then I will try to be on the way down to County Bridge Campground outside of Troy, PA by 10 AM. I want to have time to stop a few places, then set up camp at that campground by 4 PM — while I still have ample daylight left. The next day I will most likely head down to Ohiopyle State Park and Flight 92 Memorial outside of Pittsburgh then West Virigina on Monday. Mid-week I want to spend some time poking around the back roads of the Shenadoah Valley, and then do some of the Blue Ridge Parkway. Maybe visit Harpers Ferry later in the week — then drive back up through Pennsylvania. Things are a bit in flux depending on my mood and how much time I want to spend at any particular location. I hope to have a great time and take many great pictures. Stay tuned.

Tonight will have a Waning Crescent Moon with 32% illuminated. The moon will rise tomorrow at 1:24 am. The New Moon is on Thursday night with mostly clear skies. The Beaver Moon is in 3 weeks. The sun will rise at 7:07 am with the first light at 6:39 am, which is one minute and 10 seconds later than yesterday. Tonight will have 12 hours and 53 minutes of darkness, an increase of 2 minutes and 48 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will have a slight chance of showers before 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high of 71 degrees at 3pm. 10 degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 60 at 1pm. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. A year ago, we had mostly cloudy skies. The high last year was 57 degrees. The record high of 81 was set in 1920.

Looking ahead to Sunday, a slight chance of showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Maximum dew point of 63 at 2pm. Typical average high for the weekend is 61 degrees.

In four weeks on November 10 the sun will be setting at 4:36 pm (Standard Time), which is one hour, 38 minutes and 24 seconds earlier then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had mostly cloudy skies and temperatures between 50 and 29 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 50 and 33 degrees. The record high of 72 degrees was set back in 1931.

DOE limits NOPR to RTOs with capacity markets as FERC denies extension request

"DOE's Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NOPR) has created some odd allies of convenience. Natural gas generators, renewable energy developers, electric cooperatives, munis and others joined together last week to ask FERC to extend its consideration timeframe for the controversial rule. They were joined later by industrial energy consumers and the National Association of Utility Regulatory Commissioners, the association for state utility regulators. The groups argued at least 90 days was necessary to evaluate the rule."

"The only entities to openly support FERC's proposed timeline were coal and nuclear generators, which would be the direct beneficiaries of the reforms. Even so, the commission dismissed the motions for extension in just 50 words."

"The DOE NOPR would provide cost recovery for merchant power plants in wholesale electricity markets that keep 90 days of fuel supplied onsite. But just which wholesale markets it would apply to became less clear in recent days. The version of the NOPR filed in the Federal Register on Oct. 10 states that cost recovery would apply to merchant plants in ISO and RTO jurisdictions with "energy and capacity markets." The original version of the NOPR, filed Sept. 29 at the FERC eLibrary, said nothing about a capacity market requirement. Of the six grid operators under FERC jurisdiction, three have capacity markets — ISO-New England, the New York ISO and the PJM Interconnection. The Southwest Power Pool and the California ISO do not have a capacity markets, and the Midcontinent ISO has a voluntary capacity market, making it unclear how the rule would be applied there. FERC does not comment on ongoing proceedings, but DOE spokesperson Shaylyn Hynes said her agency considers the later version filed in the Register to be the final proposal. "

Map: Bush Hill State Forest

Map: Bush Hill State Forest

The 3,278-acre Bush Hill State Forest provides many outdoor recreational opportunities, the most common of which are hunting and hiking.

The North Country Scenic Trail crosses Bush Hill State Forest from Harwood Lake and travels east roughly parallel with the Fox Cross Forest Road and exits the property on Stebbins Road. Trail location may vary due to timber harvesting.

There are 11 designated campsites on the unit that are all available on a first come first serve basis: 9 along Fox Cross Forest Road, 1 on Palmer Road, and 1 on Peet Hill Road. They are tent sites only. Sites are designated with a yellow, round camp marker sign. The sites are primitive tent sites with a fire ring and one parking space. You are allowed to build a small fire using dead and down wood only.

http://www.dec.ny.gov/lands/70686.html

Good morning! Happy Friday. Yeap, it’s the 13th, but that doesn’t make much of a difference to me. Mostly sunny and 53 degrees in Delmar, NY. Calm wind. Typical October morning with lots of sun. I am the only person on the bus heading downtown, as it seems like a lot of people took off this week. Next week I have off, so it’s hard to complain.

Today will be mostly sunny, with a high of 63 degrees at 3pm. Two degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 48 at 5pm. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the morning. A year ago, we had mostly cloudy skies. The high last year was 65 degrees. The record high of 81 was set in 1930. There was a dusting of snow in 1934.

The sun will set at 6:15 pm with dusk around 6:43 pm, which is one minute and 38 seconds earlier than yesterday. At sunset, look for partly cloudy conditions and 61 degrees. The dew point will be 48 degrees. There will be a south breeze at 9 mph. Today will have 11 hours and 7 minutes of daytime, a decrease of 2 minutes and 48 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will have a slight chance of showers between 1am and 2am, then a slight chance of showers or drizzle after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of 52 degrees at 5am. 12 degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 52 at 4am. South wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. In 2016, we had mostly clear skies. It got down to 34 degrees. The record low of 21 occurred back in 1958.