2017 September

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September 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

Out walking this evening on my evening walk with the cloudy skies that are starting to break and the cool damp, it reminded me of those warm winter evenings we’ve been increasingly having. Whether or not we are willing to believe it, September 2017 is rapidly coming to a close. Indeed, I suspect this will be the last blog post of the month, and that in future years this will be the blog post I first see when I go back to the archives of this date.

September of this year will be more of a blur then anything else. I never expected to see my mom in the hospital or spent so much time there. The upside is she is well on the way to recovery. But it took a long time, and I was very concerned. It rained so much during my Labor Day Weekend Trip, although that Saturday hike back to Branch Pond was plesant. But that now seems like a distant memory. The third week of September trip to Little Falls and Piseco-Powley Road was special, as was the extended weekend trip up to Moose River Plains with such amazingly warm weather. But that’s now past, a chapter in the book closed, memories that have come and gone.

With today’s cool weather, it really started to feel like autumn and even brought back memories of winter. My evening walk with the vest made me think back to those days when it was icy out, and I was slipping and sliding on the icy sidewalks, and stepping through the snow drifts. In recent years I’ve gotten less crazy about insisting on walking every night in the coldest weather, but still winter will be upon on us before you know it.

My contacts are out and the lights are dimmed. I put my red light bulb in my clamp bulb and it’s shinning a dim red light over my room. I’m thinking of bedtime soon, so I get enough sleep, which is always a problem of mine in the winter. The days of summer are but a memory, but will return.

Good bye September, Hello October!

Map: Peekamoose And Table Mountains

Map: Peekamoose And Table Mountains

The Slide Mountain Wilderness, encompassing over 47,500 acres, is the largest and most popular wilderness area in the Catskills. Extensive foot trails provide access to the remote interior, often climbing over lofty peaks with spectacular views. Slide Mountain, the tallest peak in all of the Catskills, inspired poet and naturalist John Burroughs to write: "Here the works of man dwindle, in the heart of the southern Catskills." A plaque commemorating both the man and the mountain graces the face of the summit rock, in tribute to Burroughs and his vision.

http://www.dec.ny.gov/lands/9150.html

Good evening! Chilly and somewhat damp evening here in Delmar. Mostly cloudy and 53 degrees in Delmar. There is a north breeze at 10 mph. The dew point is 44 degrees. The skies will clear around 10 pm. Today was a pretty cool day, I ended up closing the windows, and Ihave my vest on right now. I refuse to turn on the heat on before November though — I am not made of money. That said, it was good that we get got the rain earlier in the day.

Tonight will have patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low of 39 degrees at 5am. Six degrees below normal.  Frost advisory for the higher elevations. I hope you bought sweet corn before it’s gone, and have brought your plants on in. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light in the evening. In 2016, we had light rain in the evening, remaining overcast into the early morning. It got down to 50 degrees. The record low of 28 occurred back in 1993.

Tonight will have a Waxing Gibbous Moon with 86% illuminated. The moon will set tonight at 3:14 am. The Hunter Moon is on Thursday night with partly cloudy skies. The sun will rise at 6:52 am with the first light at 6:24 am, which is one minute and 7 seconds later than yesterday. Tonight will have 12 hours and 16 minutes of darkness, an increase of 2 minutes and 52 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will have patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high of 66 degrees at 3pm. Typical weather. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. A year ago, we had cloudy skies. The high last year was 61 degrees. The record high of 90 was set in 1927. There was a dusting of snow in 1946.

In four weeks on October 28 the sun will be setting at 5:52 pm, which is 44 minutes and 44 seconds earlier then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had rain, drizzle, mist, mostly cloudy skies and temperatures between 47 and 34 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 55 and 36 degrees. The record high of 78 degrees was set back in 1971.’

Today was a relatively quiet day. I ended up spending a lot more time working on the code to print out the sunset time then I expected. It turned out it was harder then I expected to create an alogorithm to pick the closest day when every time the sunset decreases by 15 minutes. I eventually figured it out.

Went down to the library briefly to upload the code, then visited my mom in the hospital. Just a very quiet and gray afternoon for sure. Tomorrow is expected to be much sunnier, which will be nice. Cool but sunny. Maybe I will go hiking at Thacher Park for a while in the afternoon, it’s been a long time since I’ve been up there. I should check out that fancy new nature center they have up there, not that I really care.

Stopped at the store and bought some fish, onion rings, and potato fries. Cooked up with some brocoli. It’s nice that it’s cool enough that I can once again use the oven, but I’m sure that will add to the electricity bill. That said, winter is rapidly approaching, and I doubt I will be spending so much on gas and supplies for camping once November rolls around the corner. Tomorrow is October, but with my week long trip, and work comittments, I expect the month to be over before you know it. Heck, in twelve short weeks — essentially three months — it will be almost Christmas Eve (which is on a Sunday this year). Time goes by so quickly, and it will be winter before you know it.

But first I am going to go for my evening walk, especially while it’s still decent enough to do that. And enjoy my autumn while I still can because next year is expected to be a much more busier at work.

Looking ahead, the Average High is 60 is in 2 weeks, Daylight Savings Time Ends is in 5 weeks, the Cold Moon is in 9 weeks and New Years Eve is in 13 weeks.

Employment Types by NYS Region

This graph shows the sectors of the economy that are largest in each region of the state. One limitation of this data is it only includes employers that pay into the Unemployment Insurance system -- so family-owned business like farms or logging businesses often aren't shown in this data. But it gives you an idea where the jobs are -- government work is especially important in the Mohawk Valley and North Country.

Data Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Annual Data. https://data.ny.gov/Economic-Development/Quarterly-Census-of-Employment-and-Wages-Annual-Da/shc7-xcbw/data

Upcoming Sunsets

Next Wednesday the sun will be setting at 6:30 PM. Then it will get progressively earlier, with a big jump once standard time starts on November 5th. But slowly, but surely, the days will get longer, especially around President Day.

6:30 pm sunset – Wednesday, October 4
6:15 pm sunset – Friday, October 13
6:00 pm sunset – Sunday, October 22
5:45 pm sunset – Thursday, November 2
Standard Time Begins – Sunset on Sunday, November 5 is at 4:42 pm
4:30 pm sunset – Friday, November 17
Earliest Sunset – Saturday, December 9 at 4:22 pm
4:30 pm sunset – Wednesday, December 27
4:45 pm sunset – Friday, January 12
5:00 pm sunset – Wednesday, January 24
5:15 pm sunset – Sunday, February 4
5:30 pm sunset – Friday, February 16

Good morning! Where did September go? I am blaming Donald Trump. Five weeks to Beaver Moon. Cold, gray, and cloudy and 52 degrees in Delmar, NY — which is the norm for Saturday’s in Trumps America. Except for the past two weekends, I can’t remember a time nice Saturday weather-wise. All that hot air coming from the NY Post President occasionally residing in Washington. There is a north breeze at 8 mph. The dew point is 45 degrees. The skies will clear around 5 pm.

Today will have a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high of 56 degrees at 2pm. 10 degrees below normal. North wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. A year ago, we had cloudy skies. The high last year was 64 degrees. The record high of 88 was set in 1905.

The sun will set at 6:37 pm with dusk around 7:05 pm, which is one minute and 45 seconds earlier than yesterday. At sunset, look for partly cloudy conditions and 53 degrees. There will be a north breeze at 7 mph. Today will have 11 hours and 44 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 51 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low of 38 degrees at 5am. Seven degrees below normal. North wind 3 to 5 mph. In 2016, we had light rain in the evening, remaining overcast into the early morning. It got down to 50 degrees. The record low of 28 occurred back in 1993.

Blueberry waffles for breakfast. Which is pretty much the norm these days, as I like the ease of make waffles in the morning and the fresh breakfasts.

Planning continues for my Columbus Day Week Trip. I think I have most of the details figured out now, although I’ve changed my mind a bit from last night on the routing. See that I will most likely have cell service in Thomas, WV, I will probably spend at least two nights camping out in the general vicinity of Cannan Valley. That and I and I want to visit Blackwater Falls State Park, which I previously overlooked. I found all the maps I needed — half of them were still sitting downstairs while the other half where right into he crawl space.

Going down otherwise library in a bit and I have a lot of miscellaneous things to do and some cleaning. But other then that with the weather being so sucky, I plan on a fairly quiet Saturday.

Looking ahead, there are 5 weeks until Beaver Moon when the sun will be setting at 5:43 pm with dusk at 6:13 pm. On that day in 2016, we had mostly sunny skies and temperatures between 53 and 31 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 53 degrees. We hit a record high of 76 back in 1994.

Map: Firearm Ownership In The United States

Map: Firearm Ownership In The United States

Lately there has been a lot of people making dot-density maps up, with one dot representing a person or a series of people. I thought those maps were kind of interesting, so I decided to play with QGIS and see what I could make. I found a website that offered an estimate of what percentage of a state's residents own firearms and multiplied it against population. As I figured it would make too many dots to do one dot per gun owner, I made a map of one dot per 1,000 gun owners in each state -- giving people a relative density of gun ownership in each state.

Data Source: https://www.wikiwand.com/en/Gun_violence_in_the_United_States_by_state