2017 August 09

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August 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

How to Take Down Kim Jong Un

"But there is an opportunity in Kim’s obsession with survival. While he assumes the United States would not start a catastrophic war to stop his nuclear program, he also knows that were he to start that war, the U.S. would have no reason to hold back. We could, and likely would, destroy his regime. This means that even if we can’t prevent North Korea from gaining the ability to hit us or our allies, we can deter it from actually doing so, and thus have time to pursue, by means more effective than sanctions and less dangerous than war, our ultimate goal of a reunified Korea that threatens no one."

Suicides per 100k, by Gender and Age

Much of the stereotypes on suicide is that the victims of suicide are bullied teenage girls. Actually, women are much less likely to commit suicide then men, and it's usually older men -- especially those over age 75 who take their own lives. Data is suicides per 100,000 Americans in each demographic group. 2014 data.

Data Source: Suicide rates, by sex and age, United States, 2014. Page 2. CDC Data Briefs. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db241_table.pdf#2

Flag a Fence, Save a Sage-Grouse

"THE SNAP, SNAP, SNAP of plastic tags being popped onto barbed-wire fence echoes across the vast expanse of eastern Montana’s sagebrush steppe as young volunteers—and potential future conservationists—sweat in the sun with a common purpose: to save greater sage-grouse."

Effective Federal Funds Rate, 1954-2017

The federal funds rate remains historically low, despite recent increases, making it cheap to borrow and difficult to save in conventional savings accounts. Many smart people worry that such a low federal funds rate will eventually push too much money into the stock market, which will lead to a significant market correction.

Data Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (US), Effective Federal Funds Rate [FEDFUNDS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS, August 9, 2017.

August 9, 2017 Weather Forecast

This interactive graph shows the hourly weather forecast for the next seven days. The bars represent the temperature, the pink line reprsents the dew point and the white line represents the dewpoint. Red dots are climate normals for the day. Orange dots are record temperatures. Green dots are last year's temperatures.

Yellow bars represent generally sunny conditions. The more gray the bar is, the more clouds expected. Blue bars represent a greater then 50% chance of rain. Purple bars represent a greater then 50% chance of snow. Orange bars represent a greater then 50% chance of thunderstorms. Red bars represent warm and muggy weather, under generally clear skies.

Map: Second Pond Trail

Map: Second Pond Trail

The Siamese Ponds Wilderness (SPW) is one of the larger Wilderness designated areas in the Adirondack Park. It extends some 24 miles north and south and 18 miles east and west and contains approximately 46,138.43 hectares (114,010.1 acres) of Forest Preserve lands. Associated with the SPW are the Dug Mountain, Forks Mountain and Chatiemac Primitive Areas. During the early part of the nineteenth century, logging became an important industry in the region, and most of the Wilderness was heavily cut over. Devastating fires at the turn of the century continued to significantly impact this natural resource.

Today, however, the area shows little evidence of these past impacts and has become known for its natural beauty. Popular points of interest include the Siamese Ponds that gave the area its name, Puffer Pond, Puffer Mountain, Chimney Mountain, Auger Falls, and Thirteenth Lake.

http://www.dec.ny.gov/lands/22596.html
http://www.cnyhiking.com/SiamesePondsWilderness.htm

How climate change became a question of faith

"Every four years, the nation’s scientists from myriad federal agencies come together to release a comprehensive report synthesizing the current state of climate science. It’s become a routine affair, with a predictable process involving extensive analysis of studies, numerous drafts, and eventual approval from the White House before the public release of the latest National Climate Assessment. But this year was different.

Rather than follow traditional protocols and await approval from the Trump administration, these scientists urged The New York Times to release the document in draft form out of fear that the White House might suppress the findings. That fear likely stems from a general skepticism of climate science that runs through the Trump administration. The report, these scientists say, is too important to be sidelined by politics."

America’s Television Graveyards

"Years after most Americans switched to flat-screens, we're just now beginning to deal with the long-term ramifications of sustainably disposing of old cathode-ray televisions and computer monitors. This dangerous, labor-intensive, and costly undertaking will have to be done for each of the estimated 705 million CRT TVs sold in the United States since 1980. CRT processing, as it's called, happens at only a handful of the best e-waste recycling centers in the United States. In many cases, your old TV isn't recycled at all and is instead abandoned in a warehouse somewhere, left for society to deal with sometime in the future."

"At ECS, televisions affixed with Post-it Notes labeling each unit's weight have been arranged in a line, ready to be hammered, crowbarred, and sawed back into their component parts. There are old Sony Trinitrons, wood-paneled RCAs, and huge plastic Toshibas. Plastic TVs weigh up to 80 pounds, but larger, rear-projection CRTs can weigh as much as 500 pounds, and surely, in better days, had prominent spots in family rooms around the country."

"Demanufacturing the televisions is hard manual labor that works as a reverse assembly line, as the components from these old TVs are separated by hand and moved down a conveyor belt. First, they use a crowbar to remove the back case. They cut, strip, and sort the power cords. They remove internal screws with drills. What's left of the TV is then hammered, to separate the front screen from the cathode-ray vacuum tube. They strip the wires for copper. Wood will eventually be composted or turned into sawdust. Plastic is put through a shredder so that it can be melted. A handheld grinder spews sparks as it separates the screen from whatever is left of the tube. Then, more smashing—this time, the glass. "