2017 June 02

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Climate Change
Fish Creek (Saratoga)
Moose River Plains
Rural Freedom
Saving Money
Wilcox Lake Wild Forest

June 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

Good evening! Partly clear and 57 degrees in Delmar. There is a west-northwest breeze at 8 mph. The dew point is 44 degrees. Probably wouldn’t have been a bad weekend for camping but it’s going to be fairly cold and muddy up north, not to mention, black fly season. But for a while I’m sitting out back. 

Next weekend if the weather is decent, I will probably go camping. Maybe tent camping, we will see. I kind of want to see the Gas Up, maybe both weekends if dad wants to go. I just want more time to explore on my own. I guess if it’s warm I might go up to the Adirondacks but for now we are stuck in a somewhat cold pattern and I may be on call the next few weeks for work. I have to admit I’m more than a little bored with camping, it seems like I always end up going to the same places. I need to study maps more and come up with some new ideas for trips that aren’t so far away. Maybe I got to do more hiking. That said I’m bored with the long drives up to the Adirondacks all of the time. 

Tonight will be partly cloudy, with a low of 48 degrees at 4am. Five degrees below normal. West wind 3 to 8 mph. In 2016, it got down to 63 degrees with rain and mostly cloudy skies. The record low of 36 occurred back in 1986.

Waxing Gibbous Moon tonight with 61% illuminated. The moon will set around 2:52 am. The Full “Strawberry” Moon is next Friday. The sun will rise at 5:18 am with the first light at 4:44 am, which is 25 seconds earlier than yesterday. Tonight will have 8 hours and 50 minutes of darkness, a decrease of one minute and 9 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will be partly sunny, with a high of 68 degrees at 3pm. Six degrees below normal. Maximum dew point of 46 at 10am. Northwest wind 8 to 13 mph. A year ago, we had rain, mostly cloudy skies and a high of 79 degrees. The record high of 97 was set in 1925.

Looking ahead to Sunday, rain likely, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 67. South wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Maximum dew point of 53 at 5pm. Typical average high for the weekend is 75 degrees.

In four weeks on June 30 the sun will be setting at 8:36 pm, which is 9 minutes and 12 seconds later then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had mostly cloudy skies and temperatures between 84 and 57 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 81 and 60 degrees. The record high of 98 degrees was set back in 1964.

Looking ahead, Strawberry Moon is Next Friday, National Nude Day is in 6 weeks, September 1st is in 13 weeks and Autumn Begins is in 16 weeks.

Tomorrow I’m meeting my parents for breakfast and getting my oil changed. I’m kind of glad to leave it to the professionals. Maybe in the afternoon I’ll go hiking locally and do some fishing. We will see. I also need to do some cleaning in the kitchen. I also want to wire up a light under the seat in my truck so I can find stuff at night there. I never bought a switch but I can run into Advanced Auto and buy one. It should take five minutes to make up the cables and wire the switches. 
I am hoping the color changing string I’m getting to decorate the truck cap comes early enough in the week, so I can wire that up. Should also be really easy to do, but a lot also depends how late I’m stuck in the office each night. I’ll see as th one week progresses.

I’m off to bed. Good night! 

In May 2017, as we learned today, the unemployment rate fell to 4.3 percent, the lowest rate since the summer of 2001. Despite full employment, inflation in April 2017 was only 2.17 percent. The stock market is at record highs. 

The fact is that things rarely exist for long in such a goldy locks economy, conventional wisdom tells us that either inflation or unemployment will increase. You can’t have both for long. 

Something to consider on this beautiful summer evening…. 

Carbon Emissions, Pie Chart

This is a graph of sovereign states and territories by carbon dioxide emissions due to certain forms of human activity, based on the EDGAR database created by European Commission and Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency released in 2014. The following table lists the 2014 annual CO2 emissions estimates (in thousands of CO2 tonnes) along with a list of emissions per capita (in tonnes of CO2 per year) from same source. The data only considers carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels and cement manufacture, but not emissions from land use, land-use change and forestry. Emissions from international shipping or bunker fuels are also not included in national figures, which can make a huge difference for small countries with important ports. The top 10 largest emitter countries account for 68.2% of the world total. Other powerful, more potent greenhouse gases are not included in this data, including methane.

Data Source: https://www.wikiwand.com/en/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions

Weekly Carbon Dioxide Readings, 2015-present

68% of the Earth's land is north of the equator in the Northern Hemisphere, while only 32% is south of the equator in the Southern Hemisphere. During the summer in the Northern Hemisphere, there are a lot more plants that become green and turn carbon dioxide and sunlight into sugars using chlorophyll.

Data Source: Mauna Loa Observatory Readings, Weekly Averages 2015-2017. ftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_mm_mlo.txtftp://aftp.cmdl.noaa.gov/products/trends/co2/co2_weekly_mlo.txt

As much as horrifies my liberal friends I really love my Gadsden flag.

You don’t know how long I’ve wanted to own my own Don’t Tread on Me Flag but was too embarrassed to spend the $8 to buy it.

I’m a life long liberal Democrat who loves guns and burning things that government is involved in too much in our private lives.  I’ve always kind of liked the Tea Party message of defending the second amendment, individual empowerment and less government interference with the lives of private citizens.Government shouldn’t regulate individuals like it does large corporations. You might say my views are closer to Malcom X and Huey Newton then Donald Trump or Paul Ryan but I couldn’t find an inexpensive Black Panther flag that I liked. Moreover, nobody knows what the meaning of the Black Panthers is anymore. The Panthers flag just isn’t that nice color wise, especially next to my Blue Marble Earth Flag or now my Rainbow Flag. I thought about getting a Molon Labe flag but I didn’t like the colors or the military undertones. I’m not a war monger but I believe in citizen empowerment and the right of self-defense and self-reliance.

I’ve long flirted with the Tea Party because I love the Man (lol!) and his aerial highway patrols as much as the next person, but I also think that Obamacare has helped a lot of people even if I think that the subsidies should have been a lot more generous for middle class families. Why can’t government help people get healthcare and an affordable college education without spying on our emails or beating up on the farmers just trying to do their jobs? Animal rights and environmental extremists have gotten much too much control in our society today. People who are ill informed and act only emotion, have no role in our governing. I’m more concerned with air pollution from coal power plants and large landfills then marginal farmers in the mountains grazing cattle and rednecks burning trash and riding quads in the woods. Not every acre of land should be declared wilderness. We can have public lands with great backcountry camping and trails, hunting and fishing but we can also have logging and mineral production to help pay for upkeep of the land.

I believe we can have a government that works for the people and promote the common good without treading on people’s rights.

nycmap $id

FACT CHECK: Is President Trump Correct That Coal Mines Are Opening?

"The coal mines that are opening up produce a special kind of coal used in steelmaking, and are opening largely because of events unrelated to federal policy, experts say. The market for the kind of coal used in electricity — the biggest use for coal — remains down relative to where it was several years ago."

"In other words, the industry has rebounded slightly after years of layoffs and closures caused mainly by competition from cheap natural gas. And a handful of new mines in Wyoming, Alabama, Pennsylvania and West Virginia are either opening or slated to open in the next few years."

Full employment

"Full employment, in macroeconomics, is the level of employment rates where there is no cyclical or deficient-demand unemployment.[1] It is defined by the majority of mainstream economists as being an acceptable level of unemployment somewhere above 0%. The discrepancy from 0% arises due to non-cyclical types of unemployment, such as frictional unemployment (there will always be people who have quit or have lost a seasonal job and are in the process of getting a new job) and structural unemployment (mismatch between worker skills and job requirements). Unemployment above 0% is seen as necessary to control inflation in capitalist economies, to keep inflation from accelerating, i.e., from rising from year to year. This view is based on a theory centering on the concept of the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU); in the current era, the majority of mainstream economists mean NAIRU when speaking of "full" employment. The NAIRU has also been described by Milton Friedman, among others, as the "natural" rate of unemployment. Having many names, it has also been called the structural unemployment rate."