2017 April 07

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April 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

Good evening! Cloudy and 37 degrees in City of Albany. There is a west-northwest breeze at 15 mph. The skies will clear tomorrow around noontime. I went home to pick up some dinner and my truck, and it was dang cold waiting out for the bus, especially with that wind whipping around. Bus was running late, but I made it home and back downtown within in hour. With my smartphone, I was never out of contact, especially when I was on the bus and not driving.

Tonight will have a chance of rain showers before 1am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of 34 degrees at 6am. One degrees below normal. Northwest wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. In 2016, it got down to 31 degrees with periods of rain and snow. The record low of 19 occurred back in 1982.

Waxing Gibbous Moon tonight with 80% illuminated. The moon will set around 5:33 am. The Full “Pink” Moon is on Tuesday night with mostly cloudy skies expected and chance of showers. The sun will rise at 6:24 am with the first light at 5:56 am, which is one minute and 42 seconds earlier than yesterday. Tonight will have 10 hours and 54 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 49 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will be partly sunny, with a high of 51 degrees at 4pm. Four degrees below normal. Breezy, with a northwest wind 14 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. With the wind it will be pretty chilly. A year ago, we had rain, snow and a high of 47 degrees. The record high of 88 was set in 1929. 4.5 inches of snow fell back in 1907.

On Sunday it will be very nice with ample sun, with a high near 64. Light west wind. Maximum dew point of 39 at 8pm.

Typical average high for the weekend is 55 degrees.

In four weeks on May 5 the sun will be setting at 8:00 pm, which is 31 minutes and 46 seconds later then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had cloudy skies and temperatures between 58 and 47 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 66 and 44 degrees. The record high of 91 degrees was set back in 1944.

Looking ahead, Good Friday is Next Friday, Arbor Day is in 3 weeks, Cinco de Mayo is in 4 weeks and Memorial Day Weekend is in 7 weeks.

Jobs Created in New York State, February 2012-2017

While state breakdowns of job creation are lagged by two weeks beyond the national numbers, it's interesting to look back at job creation numbers in our state for the past five years compared to the national numbers. While there has been job created for every month in the past five years nationally, some months in New York have seen job loses -- even though most months have seen gains rather then loses.

Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, All Employees: Total Nonfarm in New York [NYNA], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/NYNA, April 7, 2017.

US Population by State

One in four Americans resides in California, Texas or Florida.
More then half of all Americans reside in California, Texas, Florida, New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Ohio, Georgia and North Carolina.
Two out of three Americans reside in the 14 largest states in America.

Data: 2016 US Census Population Estimates.

Job Growth Loses Steam as U.S. Adds 98,000 in March

"Hiring in March was expected to drop after the monthly gains of more than 200,000 in the two previous months, but this was the weakest showing for the economy in nearly a year. Although it represents just one month’s data, it will raise questions about whether improving business sentiment is actually translating into any meaningful action by employers."

"On the other hand, at 4.5 percent in March, the unemployment rate is at its lowest point since May 2007, marking a milestone in the long road back from the Great Recession."

Monthly Job Creation, March 2012-2017

In March 2017, the economy only created 98,000 new jobs which suggests the US Economy is starting to slow down a bit. But the job creation numbers bounce around quite a bit, and sometimes job creation is slower towards the end of winter compared to spring and summer months when construction increase. That said, publicly it looks bad for President Donald Trump, when so much of his message is job creation.

Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, All Employees: Total Nonfarm Payrolls [PAYEMS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS, April 7, 2017.

April 7, 2017 Weather Forecast

Spring arrives tomorrow morning with clouds expected to subside as we head into the weekend. It wil be relatively cold on Saturday but with ample sun, then somewhat more clouds into Sunday, with temperatures moderating and heading up to mid to upper 70s for Monday and Tuesday. No frost is seen for the foreseeable future, so with the rain and these warm temperatures we should start seeing trees bud up and green popping up around the city.

Heading into the nine o’clock hour it is 44 degrees, cloudy and damp. More rain expected later, looks like the high temperatures will only be two or three degrees warmer. More sun tomorrow and temperatures around 50. I sure hope I don’t have to work but gawd I don’t know what to think at this point.

The sun will set at 7:29 pm with dusk around 7:57 pm, which is one minute and 8 seconds later than yesterday. Today will have 13 hours and 3 minutes of daytime, an increase of 2 minutes and 50 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will have a chance of rain showers before 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of 33 degrees at 5am. Two degrees below normal. Northwest wind around 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. In 2016, it got down to 31 degrees with periods of rain and snow. The record low of 19 occurred back in 1982.

Decided to catch the bus to work. We’ll see how things go later on tonight, I might swing by home later and get Big Red or make alternative arrangements. Hopefully it won’t be that long of a day. I just so hate driving in the city. I’m willing to wait a half hour for the bus them fight traffic downtown. Plus I can’t blog or play on my smartphone when driving, so using my fossil fuel burner to go downtown is a waste of time. I like having that quiet time to my self when I’m on the bus in the morning and afternoon.

I am pretty sure that I will be staying in town for Easter Weekend based on the latest forecast and because I have a lot of shit to get done because everything has gotten all backed up because I’ve been at work so much lately. That and I’m planning on going on vacation either that Tuesday evening or Wednesday day after Easter. I got to that wiring done by then and the new battery in. Plus I think it’s going to rain next weekend. Which is good because the week is going to be fairly warm and sunny, and until things green up, I don’t want things to dry out too much. Camping would suck if I couldn’t have a nice big fire every night.

As previously noted, next Friday is Good Friday when the sun will be setting at 7:37 pm with dusk at 8:06 pm. On that day in 2016, we had sunny skies and temperatures between 58 and 31 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 58 degrees. We hit a record high of 83 back in 1968.