2017 February 08

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February 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

“Some people say that this town don’t look good in snow. You don’t care, I know.” 

Good evening! Mostly cloudy and 32 degrees in Delmar. There is a northwest breeze at 8 mph. The skies will clear tomorrow around 5 pm. And get very cold. Winter like with steep windchills. I bet they have heat at Center Square Pub if I go there tomorrow after work. 

Tonight will snow likely, mainly after 5am. The snow could be heavy at times. Cloudy, with a low of 24 degrees at 6am. Six degrees above normal. North wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. In 2016, it got down to 23 degrees with periods of snow. The record low of -20 occurred back in 1934.

Waxing Gibbous Moon tonight with 87% illuminated. The moon will set around 6:58 am. The Full “Snow” Moon is on Saturday night with mostly cloudy then chance of snow. The sun will rise at 6:59 am with the first light at 6:30 am, which is 1 minutes and 16 seconds earlier then yesterday. Tonight will have 13 hours and 39 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 34 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will snow, mainly before 1pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High of 24 degrees at 6am. 10 degrees below normal. Blustery, with a north wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

The amount of precipitation on this storm are relatively modest, far less than last night’s rain but the snow will be very fluffy with the mercury hovering around 22 degrees in the morning. Blowing snow. Very bitterly cold windchills when the storm passes by, might have enough moisture and cold in the air for another two inches come late Friday. Big warm up for Sunday, heavy rain and possible flooding from snow melt. Check out my last post with snowfall predictions. 

A year ago tomorrow, we had snow and a high of 32 degrees. The record high of 57 was set in 1925. 13.7 inches of snow fell back in 1906.

Not a particularly nice weekend on tap. Saturday, a chance of light snow before noon, then a chance of snow showers, mainly between noon and 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Sunday, snow likely before 10am, then rain and snow likely between 10am and 1pm, then rain likely after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 60%.Typical average high for the weekend is 34 degrees.

In four weeks on March 8 the sun will be setting at 5:54 pm, which is 35 minutes later then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had mostly cloudy skies and temperatures between 60 and 32 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 41 and 23 degrees. The record high of 68 degrees was set back in 2012.

Looking ahead, March 1st is in 3 weeks, Ides of March is in 5 weeks, Average High is 60 is in 10 weeks, Flag Day is in 18 weeks and Summer is in 19 weeks.

Tomorrow expect snow covered roads for the morning commute. The good news is the evening commute should be much smoother. 

Based on the current track of the storm, I think we are looking at 6.6 inches of snow expected between Thursday 2:00 AM and 12:00 PM in Delmar. Here is how I estimate it will pile up from this storm:

  • 1 inch – 4 AM
  • 2 inches – 6 AM
  • 3 inches – 8 AM
  • 4 inches – 9 AM
  • 5 inches – 10 AM
  • 6 inches – 12 PM

Beach careful out there and take extra time, as the snow will be heaviest for the morning rush hour. 

It’s obvious that tougher federal criminal penalities are needed against those who would intentionally shut down an interstate highway, railroad, or airport. The fact is illegal blockades of high-speed roads, railroads, and airports are dangerous both to motorists and blockaders, not to mention first responders and those who drive truck for a living.

Nobody doesn’t think people shouldn’t be allowed to protest. There are many public places that are available for protests, without putting human life at risk. Those places may not be as dramatic or get the news coverage sought out by protesters, but they protect the public safety.

I’m all for people getting out and expressing their views. Like most people, I have a problem with some of our president’s choices. But don’t cause innocent moms and dads who are just trying to get home to their children to be held up unnecessarily, don’t cause crashes, don’t block truckers just trying to feed their families, and don’t keep firefighters from getting to fires.

It’s just common decency.

Population Change for NY’s Largest Municipalities, 2010 vs 1970

This interactive chart shows the change of population for 50 largest municipalities in New York State as of 2010, comparing the 2010 US Census Population to the 1970 US Census population. About half of the large municipalities have lost population, while half have gained population. Most of the municipalities who have lost population are upstate cities, while large suburban town, especially downstate, have gained population. Data Source: US Census Total Population County, 2010 vs 1970.

Map: Walmart Locations in NY State

Map: Walmart Locations in NY State

There are no Walmarts in NY City, but all counties in Upstate New York have at least one except for Allegany, Delaware, Fulton, Hamilton and Yates. It's fascinating how planned the number of Walmarts are in the state, with most of the rural counties getting 1-2 Walmart, then mid-size counties getting 3 Walmarts, and the largest upstate counties (Erie and Monroe) receiving 6 Walmarts.

The company must have a formula for locating a selected number of Walmarts in each county -- it's not just a distance based formula, or so it appears.