2017 February

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February 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

Map: Forked Lake West

Map: Forked Lake West

The 43,532 acre Sargent Ponds Wild Forest is located East of Raquette Lake, north of NY 28 and west of NY 30.

The area is a boreal swamp forest as much of this great spruce-balsam-white cedar tract borders the Raquette River, Marion River and Boulder Brook.

It is home to Forked Lake to the North and Buttermilk Falls, Long Lake to the West, and Owl Heads Firetower to the north.

Good evening! Sitting in bed watching Trump’s address to the nation. I’d sit outside but it’s starting to rain and I’m interested in what the president is talking about and his policies. I constantly watch Trump and while I disagree with many but not all of his policies, I do find something so interesting and attractive about the man. I even considered voting for him, until I decided on Jill Stein as my candidate for president. It would have been neat though had Hillary been elected our first woman president. 

Feeling somewhat better now after taking some sinus medication and a good dinner. Earlier though I was super congested with a headache and a sore face. This sinus medication I got from Shoprite works great. 

Outside as February comes to a close, a few sprinkles of rain and 50 degrees in Delmar, NY. There is a south-southeast breeze at 9 mph. The skies will clear Thursday around 9 am.

Tonight will have a chance of showers, mainly after 11pm. Cloudy, with a low of 50 degrees at 9pm. 27 degrees above normal. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. In 2016, it got down to 21 degrees with periods of rain. The record low of -9 occurred back in 1948.

Waxing Crescent Moon tonight with 19% illuminated. The moon will set around 9:50 pm. The First Quarter Moon is on Sunday night with mostly cloudy expected. The Full “Worm” Moon is on Sunday, March 12th. The sun will rise at 6:30 am with the first light at 6:02 am, which is 1 minutes and 37 seconds earlier then yesterday. Tonight will have 12 hours and 44 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 52 seconds over last night.

Tomorrow will have a chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds. Mostly cloudy, with a high of 65 degrees at 2pm. 26 degrees above normal. Maximum dew point of 56 at 1pm. Breezy, with a southwest wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. A year ago, we had rain and a high of 38 degrees. The record high of 61 was set in 1991. 10.7 inches of snow fell back in 2005.

A fairly sunny weekend coming up with cool temperatures. Saturday, sunny, with a high near 28. Sunday, partly sunny, with a high near 42.Typical average high for the weekend is 40 degrees.

In four weeks on March 28 the sun will be setting at 7:17 pm (Daylight Savings Time), which is 1 hour and 32 minutes later then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had rain and temperatures between 50 and 41 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 50 and 30 degrees. The record high of 85 degrees was set back in 1945.

Looking ahead, Spring is in 3 weeks, Average High is 50 is a month away., Tax Day is in 7 weeks, Arbor Day is in 2 months, Average High is 70 is in 11 weeks and Independence Day is in 18 weeks.

Trump Aims To ‘Eliminate’ Clean Water Rule

"President Trump signed documents Tuesday directing the Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to review the Obama administration's "Waters of the United States" rule. In doing so, Trump said he is "paving the way for the elimination" of the rule."

"Supporters say the regulation is needed to ensure safe drinking water. But a long list of opponents say it goes too far and poses a burden on them. The rule is currently on hold after a stay by the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals."

"It was a massive power grab," Trump said as he prepared to sign the documents, surrounded by a group of farmers, homebuilders and county commissioners. "Regulations and permits started treating our wonderful small farmers and small businesses as if they were a major industrial polluter. They treated them horribly."

Federal Debt Service Payments as Percent of Gross Domestic Product

A combination of low interest rates and a strong economy means the US is spending a typical amount of the entire US economy on federal debt servicing. In 1970s and 1980s, with inflation, a weak economy, and heavy deficit spending, the federal government was spending a much greater portion of the gross domestic product on debt service.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Federal Outlays: Interest as Percent of Gross Domestic Product [FYOIGDA188S], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYOIGDA188S, February 28, 2017.

Good morning! Today marks the final day of February. Three weeks to Spring. Mostly cloudy and 38 degrees in Delmar, NY. Calm wind. More clearing is expected later this morning.

Today will have a slight chance of rain before noon, then a chance of rain after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high of 54 degrees at 3pm. 16 degrees above normal. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. A year ago, we had mostly cloudy skies and a high of 57 degrees. The record high of 63 was set in 1903. 9.7 inches of snow fell back in 1948.

I think I have a bit of a a cold, at least I’m somewhat congested this morning. I’m not sure if I should have skipped the coffee this morning, indeed I reheated some and went to the store but then ended up having orange juice instead with the eggs.

The sun will set at 5:44 pm with dusk around 6:13 pm, which is 1 minutes and 14 seconds later than yesterday. Today will have 11 hours and 14 minutes of daylight, an increase of 1 minutes and 51 seconds over yesterday.

Tonight will have a chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low of 50 degrees at 9pm. 29 degrees above normal. South wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. In 2016, it got down to 21 degrees with periods of rain. The record low of -9 occurred back in 1948.

Yesterday I went to Rezsin’s house in the city and folded Pine Bush newsletters for about an hour. I wouldn’t have driven downtown but I wanted to get my truck washed but the nine foot bay is still closed. That sucks. I guess I will have to wait until the weekend now.

As previously noted, there are 3 weeks until Spring when the sun will be setting at 7:09 pm with dusk at 7:37 pm (Daylight Savings Time). On that day in 2016, we had snow and temperatures between 46 and 32 degrees. Typically, the high temperature is 46 degrees. We hit a record high of 78 back in 1921.

While yesterday I left a few windows open, I decided today would be too cold for doing that. I did however do that yesterday. I’m hoping spring will come shortly.

I look forward to hearing the president’s annual speech tonight. I know we’ve hard previews of what he going to say, but I would like to hear more details to be sure. I like the idea that he has of shrinking government, but I also think shrinking law enforcement and military should be part of the idea. In an era of declining crime, and no major wars or terrorist attacks, it doesn’t make sense to be spending so much borrowed money. There is just too much government, and it needs to be shrunk at all levels.