2017 January

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January 2017
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Questions? Need an updated map? Email me andy@andyarthur.org.

“It snowed for a while today then it stopped. Now it’s all just slop. Wintery slop!” 

Good evening! Light snow and 27 degrees in City of Albany. There is a southeast breeze at 7 mph. 

We had an emergency evacuation of the skyscraper I work in downtown. It was a lot of stairs to go down, especially in a suit and tie with dress shoes on. Fortunately we didn’t have to wait outside because they got the alarm off shortly after I got down to the lobby. 

Waxing Crescent Moon tonight with 30% illuminated. The moon will set around 10:59 pm. The First Quarter Moon is on Saturday night with partly cloudy expected. The Full “Snow” Moon is on Saturday, February 11th. The sun will rise at 7:08 am with the first light at 6:39 am, which is 1 minutes and 2 seconds earlier then yesterday. Tonight will have 13 hours and 59 minutes of darkness, a decrease of 2 minutes and 24 seconds over last night.

Tonight will snow, mainly before 3am. The snow will end with a low of 24 degrees at 4am. Nine degrees above normal. Southeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. In 2016, it got down to 35 degrees with periods of rain. The record low of -20 occurred back in 1920.

More snow later but I’m not concerned about tomorrow as I expect it to stop early. Probably the sidewalks down to the express bus will be fine by morning. I might walk down to the library later. 

A nice weekend coming up with somewhat cool temperatures. Saturday, partly sunny, with a high near 27. Sunday, partly sunny, with a high near 31.Typical average high for the weekend is 32 degrees.

In four weeks on February 28 the sun will be setting at 5:44 pm, which is 36 minutes later then tonight. In 2016 on that day, we had mostly cloudy skies and temperatures between 57 and 32 degrees. Typically, you have temperatures between 38 and 20 degrees. The record high of 63 degrees was set back in 1903. Tomorrow it will be four weeks until March 1st. 

Looking ahead, Valentines Day is in 2 weeks, Spring is in 7 weeks, Average High is 50 is in 8 weeks, Tax Day is in 11 weeks, Average High is 70 is in 15 weeks and Independence Day is in 22 weeks.

Trump is right, America needs more walls.

Of course, Trump is proposing the walls in the exactly the wrong location – not in places where is going to do much good. We need more walls and levies along our river banks and streams to protect our cities, villages, towns and farmlands from increased storm surge and flooding from increasingly severe storms that are all but certain in future years.

The fact is the climate is changing, and we are having more flooding. Appalachia, with it’s steep slopes and deep river valleys has always been prone to flooding. Past storm control projects – like Mount Morris Dam at Letchworth State Park has protected the Geneseo Valley and Rochester from flooding after Hurricane Agnes, as have many smaller storm control projects across our country.

All the evidence points to the need for more levies and storm control dams needed in the future. We need, bigger, better sewage control plants to deal with increased water flows. Weather records are showing increasing rain falls across most of the eastern half of country, water that has to be carefully moved into streams in ways that minimize damage to infrastructure and our lands.

nycmap $id

We need to prepare, because climate change is not only something in the distant future, it’s something that is impacting our communities with increased flooding risks now.

The Paranoid Style in American Politics

"American politics has often been an arena for angry minds. In recent years we have seen angry minds at work mainly among extreme right-wingers, who have now demonstrated in the Goldwater movement how much political leverage can be got out of the animosities and passions of a small minority."

"But behind this I believe there is a style of mind that is far from new and that is not necessarily right-wing. I call it the paranoid style simply because no other word adequately evokes the sense of heated exaggeration, suspiciousness, and conspiratorial fantasy that I have in mind."

Map: Applachian Region Of New York State

Map: Applachian Region Of New York State

Appalachia (/ˌæpəˈlætʃə, -ˈleɪtʃə/) is a cultural region in the Eastern United States that stretches from the Southern Tier of New York to northern Alabama, Mississippi and Georgia. While the Appalachian Mountains stretch from Belle Isle (Newfoundland and Labrador) in Canada to Cheaha Mountain in Alabama, the cultural region of Appalachia typically refers only to the central and southern portions of the range. As of the 2010 United States Census, the region was home to approximately 25 million people.

DEC forest rangers rescue two in Greene County

"The first one occurred just after 1 p.m. when DEC received a call reporting that a 26-year-old woman who was hiking along the base of the upper falls at Kaaterskill Falls slipped and fell roughly 80 feet, suffering head trauma and other injuries. Nine forest rangers, assisted by several local firefighters, secured the woman and safely transported her to an awaiting helicopter, where she was airlifted to Albany Medical Center."

"The woman, who was reported Monday in fair condition, was determined to be hiking on an undesignated trail."

"Just after 2 p.m., Greene County 911 reported a 27-year-old man who had been ice climbing in Platte Cove in the Dark Side area fell some 50 feet, suffering head and back injuries. Eleven forest rangers, some of whom had been tending to the first victim, responded and secured the man. He was walked out with the assistance of a technical rope system and was transported to Albany Medical Center."

Punxsutawney Phil is seeing his shadow less these days compared to 30 years ago:

1887-1985: No Shadow 13%. (9 times, no shadow. 69 times, shadow, 10 times, no record.)
1986-2016: No Shadow 42%. (9 times, no shadow. 21 times, shadow.)

Statistically, the average since 1887, is the Ground Hog doesn’t see his shadow 14% of the time. But if you look at the most recent 30 year average, you see the Ground Hog is much more likely (42%) to predict an early spring.